US House Redistricting: Florida

[Devils30]

FL-27 should elect a hispanic Dem, although Alan Grayson might be able to win the primary there. This map appears to end Allen West's career, the guy is a bit crazy and probably would have had a tough fight anyway. Kerry likely won 53-54% in FL-22 so West is fighting an uphill battle. FL-25 could also be competitive b/c Rivera's ethics issues and it went from a small McCain win to slight Obama. The 16th can go Dem in a wave year but Rooney is fairly well-liked and will hold it despite being 51-52% Obama barring a tsunami year for Dems.

[Devils30]

Of course this map favors the GOP but it's honestly a notable improvement over the current one. FL-22 is now clearly a D leaning district. FL-10 will be in play at some point in the near future when Young retires. I agree about FL-2 being a good blue dog district at 47% Obama. FL-25 is a Democratic trending area of Dade county that easily could become a tossup or D leaning by the middle of the decade(younger Cubans are not nearly as republican). FL-16 would take the right year for a Dem to win b/c Rooney is popular but it's in play during a wave. FL-8,24 went for McCain by less than 1 point and have several high growth heavily hispanic areas (Polk County in 8, Seminole in 24). By 2018 this map may not be that awful for Dems but they should still challenge it anyway. A court would likely give them an additional seat out of Orange County and make FL-22 safe.

[Devils30]

Great news for the Dems, West is running in Rooney's district (old 16, new 18). District went 51-48 Obama in 2008 and looks to be R+1ish.  Considering his history of inflammatory remarks, I'd give the Dems even money of winning it right now. Add to the fact they should win a now open FL-22, it could be a 2 seat Dem gain in south FL rather than just West.

[Devils30]

Great news for the Dems, West is running in Rooney's district (old 16, new 18). District went 51-48 Obama in 2008 and looks to be R+1ish.  Considering his history of inflammatory remarks, I'd give the Dems even money of winning it right now. Add to the fact they should win a now open FL-22, it could be a 2 seat Dem gain in south FL rather than just West.

Its incredible how much you and others just hate that there is an outspoken, conservative black man in the House.  Black Democrats say inflammatory stuff all the time, yet you don't try to get them out of office.  It's pathetic

Give me a break. The guy hires a woman as his chief of staff (who later declined it) who said at a rally "If ballots don't work, bullets will." He compares the Dems to the nazis using language such as Goebbels propaganda machine and keeps mentioning how 2012 will be a bloodbath. Whether the guy is mentally competent is a bigger question than whether he wins election in his new district.