Shrug, I'd be really shocked if they did anything like the map I've drawn here, but it's "fair".
Districts 1-4. Long Island, clean lines, single town splits.
D1 52-47 Obama, 84 white - 8 hispanic
D2 53-47 Obama, 75 white - 13 hispanic - 8 black
D3 53-46 Obama, 76 white - 9 black - 9 hispanic
D4 56-44 Obama, 70 white - 11 hispanic - 11 black
I don't think I drew any Long Island incumbent out of their seat, though who knows. Just goes to show you don't need creative mapping to make King fight for his seat for once I suppose.
D5 67-33 Obama, 40 white - 26 asian - 23 hispanic - 7 black
Broadly speaking Ackerman's old district. Open seat, actually - neither Ackerman nor Weiner lives here. I guess Weiner ought to just move.
D6 86-14 Obama, 49 black - 18 hispanic - 17 white - 8 asian
Meeks' district. Which is very reasonably drawn as is.
D7 71-28 Obama, 41 white - 32 hispanic - 20 asian
The district Joe Crowley has always wanted but would never think of asking for as it destroys deals elsewhere. Weiner also lives here.
D8 84-15 Obama, 49 white - 26 hispanic - 15 asian - 6 black
Arguably just a cleaned-up version of Velazquez' seat - Lower Manhattan, Williamsburg, a bit of Queens - but I suppose Jerry Nadler would be favored for it and the VRA police wants a word with me. Though he doesn't live here. Anybody know where Velazquez actually lives, btw?
D9 96-4 Obama, 68 black - 21 hispanic - 6 white
And my earlier version that I lost was even more packed with Blacks, lol. For one, it excluded all of Brownsville (if that's what it's called, I didn't look it up) whereas now it's split. For another, I was a little more careful this time with what I did with
D10 80-19 Obama, 46 black - 29 white - 16 hispanic - 6 asian
No idea which Black representative would run for which.
D11 68-32 Obama, 57 white - 20 hispanic - 14 asian
Yeah, the one major group in New York City royally screwed over by the current alignment is White Brooklyn Democrats, shared up between Nadler, Velazquez, the Staten seat and the Black seats. As a result, this is bona fide wide open.
D12 51-48 McCain, 70 white - 12 hispanic - 8 black - 8 asian
Always thought it ugly how Nadler's district wrapped around its Brooklyn portion. I thought Grimm was from Brooklyn; wiki has him on Staten wtf? Anyways, it'd take Republicans another Fossella style meltdown to lose here again.
D13 81-18 Obama, 68 white - 17 hispanic - 7 asian - 6 black
Upper Manhattan. The color line on the east side is ridiculously well defined on 96th street, the west side's is weird. Used to be that the poor lived closer to the river in Manhattan, but not anymore. Anyways that long north-south split is a retread from the 80s. Sets up Nadler against Maloney, though he might want to try the 8th instead. Actually, I suppose he's favored in a primary in either.
D14 95-4 Obama, 56 hispanic - 36 black
Rangel's district crosses the Harlem River. He's used to representing Hispanics (though not quite so many... but he had whites too in the last 20 years), he's never had a racially motivated primary challenge to my knowledge. 'Course, with his ethics problems, who knows.
D15 93-6 Obama, 59 hispanic - 30 black - 5 white
Northern boundary mostly traces the end of residual white population quite closely (except in the central portion). Serrano's district is still demoted from most Democratic in the country to third most Democratic in the state.
D16 75-24 Obama, 40 white - 30 black - 23 hispanic
North Bronx, Yonkers, Mount Vernon, Pelham. And exactly that. Custombuilt for Eliot Engel I suppose.
D17 60-39 Obama, 73 white - 13 hispanic - 8 black
Suburban Westchester. Nita Lowey. Hayworth lives here too.
D18 52-47 Obama, 76 white - 11 hispanic - 9 black
Rockland, Orange, southern Sullivan. Open I think, and wide open in a general election. Heh, it could be won and lost repeatedly on the Kiryas Joel bloc vote.
D19 54-44 Obama, 85 white - 6 black - 6 hispanic
Another Hudson Valley seat. Hinchey and Gibson. Hinchey might
well be too weak to hold this, but a generic Democrat ought to win I think.
D20 58-40 Obama, 87 white - 7 black
Albany, Schenectady, Saratoga Springs (city line is the district line too). Safe Paul Tonko.
D21 53-46 Obama, 93 white
Owens might hold it, but it's generically Republican at a congressional level.
D22 51-47 McCain, 93 white
Here we get to the awkward part of the New York state map. This iteration is far from perfect, obviously, but most of the others I've seen are worse. Anybody got a good suggestion - good not from partisan considerations, but just what belongs together versus the district totals we're forced to work with? I just don't like splitting urban areas when I can avoid it. Hanna would be happy though.
D23 56-43 Obama, 88 white - 7 black
Forced me to go west from Syracuse. IIRC the current version is not much less Democratic, actually? Still a little surprised Buerkle managed to regain that seat. If ever a seat was supposed to be "lost for good" it's that one.
D24 50-48 Obama, 92 white
Awkward part of New York state, second instalment. It got worse. I do hold that Binghampton, Ithaca, Elmira belong in a district together... though not ideally one that stretches exclusively west from there. Thomas Reed is the incumbent and would be strongly favored to hold it... until the next Democratic wave. Those pesky collegepeople will always be a problem though.
D25 58-40 Obama, 78 white - 13 black - 5 hispanic (Rochester)
D26 53-46 McCain, 92 white
D27 62-36 Obama, 78 white - 15 black (Buffalo)
Nothing to see here. Safe for Slaughter, Lee, and Higgins.