Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 30, 2016, 06:48:40 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  General Politics
| |-+  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  US House Redistricting: New York
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 37 38 39 40 41 [42] Print
Author Topic: US House Redistricting: New York  (Read 94969 times)
freepcrusher
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2582
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1025 on: May 03, 2012, 12:54:14 pm »
Ignore

anyone hear that Slaughter broke her foot? Hopefully she can serve one last term and then retire. Who would a good dem candidate be for the seat? Maybe Harry Bronson?
Logged

-1.38, -1.38
jimrtex
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7561
France


View Profile
« Reply #1026 on: May 03, 2012, 08:16:56 pm »
Ignore

anyone hear that Slaughter broke her foot? Hopefully she can serve one last term and then retire. Who would a good dem candidate be for the seat? Maybe Harry Bronson?
She can't run?
Logged
Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
Vazdul
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4369
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1027 on: May 03, 2012, 10:16:11 pm »
Ignore

anyone hear that Slaughter broke her foot? Hopefully she can serve one last term and then retire. Who would a good dem candidate be for the seat? Maybe Harry Bronson?
She can't run?

With a broken foot, I'd think running would be quite difficult. Tongue
Logged

Seriously, it was time to change back to the real avatar.
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34109
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #1028 on: December 26, 2014, 11:08:38 am »
Ignore

In an idle moment, after the Pubs bagged three seats in NY in the last go round,I was wondering if it would ever be possible for the Pubs to get a majority of the House seats in NY.  They have nine, and needed fourteen, or five more. NY 2, NY-4, NY-18 are possible, and after the Pub came so close in Rochester, NY-25 is not impossible. However, that last one, NY-17, is a very steep climb indeed. So probably not. But wait a minute, if the Court had drawn that South Brooklyn seat, which it didn't, would that not it be possible then?  Should the court have drawn the seat? Was it possible to do so, hewing to the VRA (bearing in mind that Article 5 is now dead), and good redistricting principles (now I would like to think a bit older and wiser at it, and now no longer "fooled" by all this community of interest hype)? So I redrew one of my prior maps, and voila, it is. Indeed, the south Brooklyn seat would be by far the most Pub in NY, with a PVI of something like 10, believe it or not (56% McCain).

I wonder how my map would do in the little contest Muon2 is hosting for Virginia (not sure how erosity for intra-county lines is measured in that contest). I jiggled the lines on Long Island to minimize Town chops (Towns, not villages), as well as Borough chops in NYC.



« Last Edit: December 31, 2014, 05:16:58 pm by Torie »Logged

When asked how it feels to be on a ticket with Wendy Long and Donald Trump freshman Rep. John Katko (R) responded “That’s why God made scotch.”
muon2
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11701


View Profile
« Reply #1029 on: December 26, 2014, 05:58:53 pm »

In an idle moment, after the Pubs bagged three seats in NY in the last go round,I was wondering if it would ever be possible for the Pubs to get a majority of the House seats in NY.  They have nine, and needed fourteen, or five more. NY 2, NY-4, NY-18 are possible, and after the Pub came so close in Rochester, NY-25 is not impossible. However, that last one, NY-17, is a very steep climb indeed. So probably not. But wait a minute, if the Court had drawn that South Brooklyn seat, which it didn't, would that not it be possible then?  Should the court have drawn the seat? Was it possible to do so, hewing to the VRA (bearing in mind that Article 5 is now dead), and good redistricting principles (now I would like to think a bit older and wiser at it, and now no longer "fooled" by all this community of interest hype)? So I redrew one of my prior maps, and voila, it is. Indeed, the south Brooklyn seat would be by far the most Pub in NY, with a PVI of something like 10, believe it or not (56% McCain).

I wonder how my map would do in the little contest Muon2 is hosting for Virginia (not sure how erosity for intra-county lines is measured in that contest). I giggled the lines on Long Island to minimize Town chops (Towns, not villages), as well as Borough chops in NYC.




Nothing strikes me as particularly unreasonable, particularly as you seem to hew to both towns and villages, which is good in my book. Within the boroughs I'd have to see how the lines match up with the official NYC community areas as that would be the natural neutral set of subunits.

As for how your keen mapping skills might fare compared to others, I can only suggest you add your thoughts on a VA redo.
« Last Edit: December 26, 2014, 06:25:05 pm by muon2 »Logged



2016 PVI map of the Electoral College, with each state's size proportional to its vote in the EC. Grey states are even (PVI 0 or 1), pale states are lean-likely (PVI 2 through 5), dark states are solid (PVI 6 or more).
Oldiesfreak1854
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12142
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 1.91

P P P
View Profile WWW
« Reply #1030 on: January 08, 2015, 10:09:22 pm »
Ignore

How do you think it will change now that they've created a commission to do it?

I think it could help the GOP, since the Dems won't be able to gerrymander anymore.
Logged

Quote from: Dwight D. Eisenhower
There is nothing wrong with America that the faith, love of freedom, intelligence, and energy of
her citizens cannot cure.

We need more liberal Republicans.

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=224939.new#new
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13798


View Profile
« Reply #1031 on: January 09, 2015, 09:30:09 am »
Ignore

How do you think it will change now that they've created a commission to do it?

I think it could help the GOP, since the Dems won't be able to gerrymander anymore.

When did the Dems gerrymander New York other than the state assembly? Not in 2012 or in 2002, certainly.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34109
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #1032 on: January 11, 2015, 03:29:29 pm »
Ignore

How do you think it will change now that they've created a commission to do it?

I think it could help the GOP, since the Dems won't be able to gerrymander anymore.

When did the Dems gerrymander New York other than the state assembly? Not in 2012 or in 2002, certainly.

Well, as a technical matter, the Dems gerrymandered in 2002 - hand in hand with the Pubs, in a rather disgusting display of incumbent protectionism, giving rise to the Slaughter barbell excrescence, and the Hinchey writhing serpentine affair. Slaughter was very sad to lose her barbell, as she whimpered about at least not getting Ithaca as a consolation prize. Turns out that she was near prescient to be worried. I am not sure the Dems have ever gerrymandered the NY CD's in a solo affair, which is most odd for such a Dem state. The Pubs have been incredibly lucky.
« Last Edit: January 11, 2015, 03:31:11 pm by Torie »Logged

When asked how it feels to be on a ticket with Wendy Long and Donald Trump freshman Rep. John Katko (R) responded “That’s why God made scotch.”
Pages: 1 ... 37 38 39 40 41 [42] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines