US House Redistricting: New York

[danny]

Rockland, Orange, southern Sullivan. Open I think, and wide open in a general election. Heh, it could be won and lost repeatedly on the Kiryas Joel bloc vote.

Not just Kiryas Joel, you put the Ramapo Hasids who are currently in Engels district in here as well.

[danny]

http://projects.nytimes.com/census/2010/map?view=PopChangeView&lat=40.7606&lng=-73.974&l=14

NYT's beautiful map lets you sort by all the racial characteristics

Wow, thanks, great map, and it has the entire country, I'm going to spend so much time on this thing.

[danny]

Hmmm... don't know about turnout. But as to the Republican vote share among Orthodox Jews in Rockland County... "maxed out" is a word that comes to mind.

my point wasn't based on % but turn out even if the Orthodox vote goes slightly towards the democrats % wise if the jewish vote increases it's turn out that can have major effects.

Do you have a source or numbers regarding turnout? Total number of voters is always going to look low compared to the total population because of the large under 18 population.

[danny]

Might be more trouble w/ other Orthodox, though, (do they still speak much Yiddish in Lithuanian yeshivas? I don't know)

I checked and the best I came up with were http://www.mla.org/map_data_results&state_id=34&place_id=38580&cty_id=(home to the Beth Medrash Govoha.
So that would probably be an English majority with significant Yiddish and Hebrew minorities amongst the Litvishers. Does that count as a linguistic minority?

[danny]

If Yiddish is a problem because it originated in Europe, than wouldn't Spanish have the same problem?