CNN national poll: Republicans most inclined to back Huckabee

[Mr. Morden]

CNN national poll of Republicans:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/12/28/cnn.2012.poll.pdf

Would you be likely to support the following candidates for the 2012 GOP nomination?:

Huckabee
likely 67%
not likely 31%

Romney
likely 59%
not likely 40%

Gingrich
likely 54%
not likely 44%

Palin
likely 49%
not likely 51%

Also, on the Democratic side, only 19% of Dems want someone other than Obama to lead the party on the 2012 ticket, the lowest percentage this year:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/12/28/cnn-2012-poll-obama-palin-going-in-different-directions/

[fezzyfestoon]

Very telling of the Republican Party these days.  Glad I'm out.

[Psychic Octopus]

Nice to see Palin not breaking 50%.

[Saxwsylvania]

Very telling of the Republican Party these days.  Glad I'm out.

Please don't leave.  We can't concede the rich frat boy vote.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

CNN national poll of Republicans:

Would you be likely to support the following candidates for the 2012 GOP nomination?:

Palin
likely 49%
not likely 51%

my taste in a nominee has always matched that of the primary electorate, and my changes in attitude (switching between candidates) are usually a couple of months ahead of the primary electorate

Example:  In 2000, I was an early supporter of McCain until he started attacking the Religious Right, then I switched to Bush.  In 2004, I was with McCain early, then tried on several of the other candidates, then ended up back with McCain.

if the jmfcst-as-bellwether pattern holds in 2012, Pence should be considered the GOP favorite at this point in time and Palin should be expected to flame out when push comes to shove. 

Although I was an early supporter of Palin for VP in 2008, even before McCain picked her, she has proven not up to the task and should spend her time on GOTV efforts like she did in the 2008 Georgia Senate run-off campaign.

once again, jmfcst is the GOP bellwether

[Keystone Phil]

More of that unstoppable Sarah Palin action!

[tmthforu94]

CNN national poll of Republicans:

Would you be likely to support the following candidates for the 2012 GOP nomination?:

Palin
likely 49%
not likely 51%

my taste in a nominee has always matched that of the primary electorate, and my changes in attitude (switching between candidates) are usually a couple of months ahead of the primary electorate

Example:  In 2000, I was an early supporter of McCain until he started attacking the Religious Right, then I switched to Bush.  In 2004, I was with McCain early, then tried on several of the other candidates, then ended up back with McCain.

if the jmfcst-as-bellwether pattern holds in 2012, Pence should be considered the GOP favorite at this point in time and Palin should be expected to flame out when push comes to shove. 

Although I was an early supporter of Palin for VP in 2008, even before McCain picked her, she has proven not up to the task and should spend her time on GOTV efforts like she did in the 2008 Georgia Senate run-off campaign.

once again, jmfcst is the GOP bellwether

McCain didn't run in 2004.

[Napoleon]

It seems like he was actually meaning to refer to 2008.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

CNN national poll of Republicans:

Would you be likely to support the following candidates for the 2012 GOP nomination?:

Palin
likely 49%
not likely 51%

my taste in a nominee has always matched that of the primary electorate, and my changes in attitude (switching between candidates) are usually a couple of months ahead of the primary electorate

Example:  In 2000, I was an early supporter of McCain until he started attacking the Religious Right, then I switched to Bush.  In 2004, I was with McCain early, then tried on several of the other candidates, then ended up back with McCain.

if the jmfcst-as-bellwether pattern holds in 2012, Pence should be considered the GOP favorite at this point in time and Palin should be expected to flame out when push comes to shove. 

Although I was an early supporter of Palin for VP in 2008, even before McCain picked her, she has proven not up to the task and should spend her time on GOTV efforts like she did in the 2008 Georgia Senate run-off campaign.

once again, jmfcst is the GOP bellwether

McCain didn't run in 2004.

2008...2004....what's the difference

[Poundingtherock]

This isn't even a primary poll.

There's no "head-to-head," so what the hell is this question trying to gauge?  Why wouldn't a Huckabee supporter or a Romney supporter tell CNN that they don't want Palin to be the nominee?  Could it be that they want their own guy to be the nominee?

[Keystone Phil]

Very telling of the Republican Party these days.  Glad I'm out.

Please stop with all of the drama, Fezzy.    We don't need this becoming another one of your bitch fests.

Very telling of the Republican Party these days.  Glad I'm out.

Please don't leave.  We can't concede the rich frat boy vote.

Ha!

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Good. In a primary between those 4, I'd vote Huckabee.

[fezzyfestoon]

Very telling of the Republican Party these days.  Glad I'm out.

Please stop with all of the drama, Fezzy.    We don't need this becoming another one of your bitch fests.

Very telling of the Republican Party these days.  Glad I'm out.

Please don't leave.  We can't concede the rich frat boy vote.

Ha!

hahaha

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Even Republicans don't like Palin. That's hilarious.

[RogueBeaver]

Huckabee has given precisely zero indication of running, but like Palin he's included in all the polls. That said, he's a big spender like Palin was with nanny-state tendencies, plus 2 Willie Horton problems. Favorability polls mean little unless they're underwater or under 50%, not the case here.

[The Mikado]

The thing is, like (though, of course, not to the same degree as) Palin, he has such wide brand recognition that he can afford to stay out of the race longer than the others.  This gives him a real advantage of letting the others test the waters.  I don't think we'll see Huckabee announce for or against running until May at least.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Huckabee has given precisely zero indication of running, but like Palin he's included in all the polls. That said, he's a big spender like Palin was with nanny-state tendencies, plus 2 Willie Horton problems. Favorability polls mean little unless they're underwater or under 50%, not the case here.

     Well, Palin's favorability is under 50%. If nothing else, that's good news for the Republicans, considering Palin's fundamental unelectability.

[Liberalrocks]

I can't believe I am about to defend Sarah Palin here, but I am. This is a CNN poll and I am wondering how they polled the republican electorate. I would assume they polled a majority more moderate republicans here. I hardly believe she is at a net negative rating in her own party. This is the only poll I've seen where she has a net negative out of the republican party. Once those tea party nuts get going her support will rise. Sarah needs to hope that Huckabee doesn't run as I have seen multiple polls that indicate she is the second choice of a large majority of his base. If Huck is out she has a better chance at the nomination. With Huck out I could see her winning early in South Carolina and possibly coming in at number 2 in Iowa.

[Mr. Morden]

I hardly believe she is at a net negative rating in her own party. This is the only poll I've seen where she has a net negative out of the republican party.

This isn't a "favorability" poll.  It's a poll of "Could you see yourself backing this person in the primaries?".  Two different things.  Clearly, a majority of Republicans like Palin.  How many of those people would potentially be open to backing her in the primaries is a separate question.