I must say that i would agree with almost anything said by French here, and the most important one being so far:
it's stupid to trust polling this far out.
And as Antonio well pointed out, PS is definitely liberal by both American and European standards, that's the problem of PS they concretely have no substance but 'socially oriented-pragmatism' I'd say, in short they do the most 'socialist policies' the markets allow them to do when they are in power (though, now speaking of PS in power begins to become an old memory), and in the same time they can't find a rhetoric corresponding to what they do in power, which makes a big miss of credibility and which really doesn't help them.
Yes, there is a whole blow nowadays about 'Marine could do the 2 run!!' because people would be less afraid by her than by her father, and because she would well use blatant populism about populist fears, with her it is Islamization, security, and (we're in France, and in a post 2008 era) fight against 'Global Capitalism'. For the fight against 'Global Capitalism', she can't fight the far-left we have on that, we have a large punchy offer, she can't win on that, on the Islamization/Security stuffs, well, she can do some nasty noise that can have some impacts on the society, but I think she can't earn much electorally on that, Sarkozy clearly hunted on the right of the right, and he has the advantage to be able to do things, and well, you might have noticed that this summer...he did some things. And if people want a big mouth to contest the system that Jean-Marie le Pen could have been, people could have someone like Mélenchon this time. Moreover, she is a big mouth, but a mouth without much power, it makes a big noise when it happens, but not much density, really I don't believe to the Marine danger in 2012 so far.
That being said, 'France further on the right'? Sure, Sarkozy will be reelected.
Against who? Dunno, DSK, Aubry, (who knows) Royal or Hollande, or...Mélenchon.
