Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: January 02, 2011, 12:33:59 AM » |
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What will likely happen is what always happens in these re-elections - if the voters choose to re-elect Obama, they will regardless of who's running against him; if they don't want him back, his opponent probably just has to show that they're a competent wooden spoon or something similar.
Three key points to remember for now:
1) There is no guarantee 2010 will be anything like 2012. It could be much better or much worse or no relation, but the same. Get the drift?
2) The two mistakes that the public makes the most about all politicians, and this error can be extended to prognosticators, is a) assuming that the past will repeat itself; and b) assuming that when one fails, choosing any other option will lead to a better result.
3) Obama, moreso than all Presidents in the last 30 years and perhaps before, will be given a second chance by the voters who pulled the lever for him. Given the circumstances he is in, and the type of person he is, failure, once more, is by far the more likely option and if it is not failure, it will be only by the benefit of time. But the second chance will be given, if it has not already been extended (and it probably has) - he never had to really work for it (but then again, he has never really worked for much of anything, so what a shock!)
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