UK local by-elections 2011
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YL
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« Reply #50 on: April 08, 2011, 12:48:18 PM »
« edited: April 08, 2011, 12:57:34 PM by YorkshireLiberal »

Came 4th

SNP 1049 (45.5;+28.6)
Lab 463 (20.1; +6.1)
Ind 245 / 202 / 75 (22.7; -29.2)
LD 236 (10.2; -5.3)
Con 33 (1.4; -0.4)


These aren't the first preference results.  They're what's on the Highland Council website
http://www.highland.gov.uk/yourcouncil/elections/highlandcouncilelections/byelection-ward3/ward3-results.htm
but it also says that the SNP candidate reached the quota of 1047 at the "end of stage 3".  So the 1049 can't be their first preference vote, and the percentages are probably wrong.

Three candidates were eliminated: the Tory and the two independents with the lowest vote listed above.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #51 on: April 09, 2011, 04:02:08 AM »

Yes - these are third count vote totals (except for the two candidates eliminated after the first and second counts.)

It seems that the 202 vote independent's vote was not redistributed - he merely would have been next in line had any further eliminations been necessary. It's worded a bit sillily.

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« Reply #52 on: May 15, 2011, 01:19:30 PM »

Having now had chance to draw breath after the May elections, the local by-elections are back with two contests on Thursday 19th May.

DYCE/BUCKSBURN/DANESTONE, Aberdeen City Council; caused by the death of a long-serving Lib Dem councillor.  This ward covers the north-west of the Aberdeen city council area.  Dyce is best known as the location of Aberdeen Airport, the main heliport for the North Sea oil industry, while Bucksburn is a residential area further towards the city centre and Danestone is a newish estate on the other side of the River Don.  When the ward was created in 2007 it voted SNP 36.2 LD 26.2 Lab 24.9 C 8.3 Ind 2.4 Grn 2.0, but the SNP only ran one candidate so the seats split LD 2 SNP 1 Lab 1, the second Lib Dem getting transfers from the SNP surplus and the also-rans to defeat the Conservatives for the final seat.  The ward is part of the Aberdeen Donside constituency which the SNP held at this month's Holyrood elections, at which the SNP councillor for this ward was elected to Holyrood from the regional list.  On that form an SNP gain should be in prospect.  Candidates are LD/SNP/Lab/C/Grn/Ind.

ST JOHNS AND BROOKWOOD, Surrey County Council; caused by the resignation of a Conservative councillor.  This division covers the west of the town of Woking either side of the South Western Main Line and the Basingstoke Canal.  The division includes the Arts and Crafts suburb of Hook Heath to the east, part of the Knaphill area to the north and to the west the Brookwood Cemetery, the largest cemetery in Britain which was built in the 1850s to house the dead of London and was once served by its own railway station in London.  In 2005 and 2009 this was a highly marginal Conservative division, the Tories beating off the Lib Dem challenge by 187 votes in 2005 and just 63 votes in 2009 (C 43.0 LD 41.4 UKIP 11.8 Lab 3.8 ).  The division covers three wards of Woking Borough Council: St Johns and Hook Heath is strongly Conservative (the party polled 68% there earlier this month); Hermitage and Knaphill South is the main source of Lib Dem strength although their majority was slashed two weeks ago; Brookwood was last up in 2008 and its (live) voters delivered a Tory gain from Lib Dem by just 11 votes.  Candidates are C/LD/UKIP/Lab.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #53 on: May 19, 2011, 06:19:35 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2011, 06:21:15 PM by ObserverIE »

St. John's/Brookwood

Con 48.9
Lib Dem 38.6
Lab 6.9
UKIP 5.6

(from BritainVotes)
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #54 on: May 20, 2011, 07:13:20 AM »
« Edited: May 20, 2011, 07:19:40 AM by ObserverIE »

Dyce/Bucksburn/Danestone

SNP 51.4
Lab 23.1
Lib Dem 11.0
Con 8.7
Ind 3.7
Green 2.2

(from BBC via Andrea at Vote2007)
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afleitch
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« Reply #55 on: May 20, 2011, 07:32:28 AM »

Dyce/Bucksburn/Danestone

SNP 51.4
Lab 23.1
Lib Dem 11.0
Con 8.7
Ind 3.7
Green 2.2

(from BBC via Andrea at Vote2007)

That's

SNP +15.2%
LAB -1.8%
LIB -15.2%
CON +0.4%
GRN +0.2%
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« Reply #56 on: May 28, 2011, 10:51:56 AM »

No by-elections last week.  There is one by-election on 2nd June:

CANONS, Harrow; caused by the death of a Conservative councillor.  This ward is at the north-east corner of the London Borough of Harrow and is served by Canons Park and Stanmore stations at the western end of the Jubilee Line.  This is the third most Jewish ward in England, with a Jewish population of 36% at the 2001 census.  Politically it's a very safe Conservative ward; since 2002 the lowest Tory score was 56.7% in a 2007 by-election which saw a further 8.5% for an independent who had failed to get the Conservative nomination, and in 2002 the Conservatives had 74.1% in a straight fight with Labour (this was the year that almost all of the Lib Dem candidates in Harrow messed up their nominations).  For more electoral information on Harrow I must point you to the website of 2002 Labour candidate for this ward Colin Gray.  The 2010 result was C 59.6 Lab 24.0 LD 16.4; candidates for the by-election are just the three main parties.
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« Reply #57 on: June 03, 2011, 07:08:29 AM »

Canons

Con 59.7
Lab 30.9
Lib Dem 9.4

(from http://www.harrow.gov.uk/info/200154/results/2339/canons_by-elections_results_2011)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #58 on: June 03, 2011, 11:46:12 AM »

Good result for Labour in a ward utterly dominated by suburban prosperity, good result for the Tories (and Johnson) as well; evidence that that their (his) prosperous suburban base is holding up well.
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« Reply #59 on: June 05, 2011, 05:57:44 PM »

By-elections on 9th June:

BO'NESS AND BLACKNESS, Falkirk Council; caused by the death of an SNP councillor.  Borrowstounness (always abbreviated to Bo'ness) is a small town on the Firth of Forth about seven miles east of Falkirk.  It was once the eastern end of the Antonine Wall; in more modern times the town's main economy was based on its port and coal-mining, while now it's a commuter centre for Edinburgh and Falkirk.  In 2007 the shares of the vote were SNP 47.2 Lab 31.9 C 12.7 Ind 4.3 SSP 3.8, with the SNP winning one seat on first preferences and a second on transfers from the second Labour candidate, the top Labour candidate reaching quota on Independent transfers.  Since then there has been a by-election in November 2009 following the death of the other SNP councillor (the two elected in 2007 were brothers); the SNP held this in the first round, the votes being SNP 57.5 Lab 29.5 C 12.8 LD 2.8.  The ward is part of the Falkirk East seat at Holyrood which was an SNP gain last month.  Candidates for the by-election are SNP, Lab, C and Independent.

BROMPTON, Kensington and Chelsea; caused by the death of a Conservative councillor.  This ward is at the eastern end of Kensington, served by Knightsbridge and South Kensington stations on the Piccadilly Line; for tourists it includes the Natural History Museum, the Science Museum, the Victoria and Albert Museum, the Brompton Oratory and Harrods.  Politically - this is affluent Kensington, what do you expect but a super-safe Tory ward?  That's exactly what you've got: last year the ward voted C 67.4 LD 19.4 Lab 13.2, and in 2006 the Tories polled 77.3%.  It would be a brave or foolish person who predicted anything other than a Conservative hold.  Candidates for the by-election are just the three main parties.

CHELMSFORD CENTRAL, Essex County Council; caused by the death of a Lib Dem councillor.  The county town of Essex, Chelmsford became an industrial centre in the 19th century, with Marconi setting up the world's first radio factory here; the town remains a major employment centre even though thousands of people commute from here to London.  This division covers the central business district and the Moulsham area to its south.  It was marginal LD/C in 2005 but the Lib Dems increased their majority in 2009, the votes being LD 44.5 C 33.6 Grn 8.2 Lab 7.7 BNP 6.1.  Candidates for the by-election are just the three main parties.

QUEENS GATE, Kensington and Chelsea; caused by the death of a Conservative councillor.  Immediately west of Brompton ward (see above), this ward covers a more residential area between Kensington Road and Cromwell Road, served by High Street Kensington station on the District Line.  Apart from that, pretty much all the comments for Brompton ward apply equally to this ward; the shares of the vote last year were C 62.0 LD 19.3 Lab 12.1.  The by-election is being fought by the three main parties plus UKIP.

TAIN AND EASTER ROSS, Highland Council; caused by the death of an SNP councillor who had been elected as an Independent.  Tain is a town on the east coast of Ross and Cromarty located on the A9 and the Far North Line, most famous for being the home of the Glenmorangie Distillery; the ward includes a large chunk of Easter Ross as far south as Kilmuir on the Cromarty Firth.  This being the Scottish Highlands, individuals matter a lot more than parties; for what it's worth, the shares of the vote in 2007 were Ind 63.3 LD 16.2 SNP 12.0 Lab 3.8 C 3.2 SSP 1.5, with more than half of the Independent votes going to Alasdair Rhind who was easily elected in the first round.  His surplus enabled Alan Torrance (whose death caused this by-election) to move from fourth place into third, which position he held for the rest of the counting, ironically squeezing out the SNP candidate.  (The Lib Dem candidate won the other seat.)  Candidates for the by-election are SNP, Lib Dem and three independents.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #60 on: June 06, 2011, 09:33:19 AM »


TAIN AND EASTER ROSS, Highland Council. Tain is a town on the east coast of Ross and Cromarty
The grammatically correct way to phrase that is "Tain is a town in Easter Ross". Tongue
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« Reply #61 on: June 06, 2011, 02:11:56 PM »

CHELMSFORD CENTRAL, Essex County Council; caused by the death of a Lib Dem councillor.  The county town of Essex, Chelmsford became an industrial centre in the 19th century, with Marconi setting up the world's first radio factory here; the town remains a major employment centre even though thousands of people commute from here to London.  This division covers the central business district and the Moulsham area to its south.  It was marginal LD/C in 2005 but the Lib Dems increased their majority in 2009, the votes being LD 44.5 C 33.6 Grn 8.2 Lab 7.7 BNP 6.1.  Candidates for the by-election are just the three main parties.


that's a shame, because that is exactly the kind of place the Greens need to start winning, that 8.2 was not remotely a fluke, and nowhere near their best result in Essex, and they need to block their's and the LibDems' protest votes going back to labour
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« Reply #62 on: June 06, 2011, 06:06:16 PM »


TAIN AND EASTER ROSS, Highland Council. Tain is a town on the east coast of Ross and Cromarty
The grammatically correct way to phrase that is "Tain is a town in Easter Ross". Tongue


That would then raise the question as to why the ward wasn't just called Easter Ross...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #63 on: June 07, 2011, 02:22:31 PM »

Partly because half the ward's population is in Tain, and partly because the term Easter Ross sometimes is understood to include Dingwall, which is not in the ward.
The Black Isle, though also strictly speaking on the east coast of Ross & Cromarty (and more or less including the long-suppressed tiny county of Cromarty), is not in Easter Ross.
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« Reply #64 on: June 07, 2011, 03:09:27 PM »

Partly because half the ward's population is in Tain, and partly because the term Easter Ross sometimes is understood to include Dingwall, which is not in the ward.
The Black Isle, though also strictly speaking on the east coast of Ross & Cromarty (and more or less including the long-suppressed tiny county of Cromarty), is not in Easter Ross.

Cromartyshire had about thirteen separate pieces, one of which was Ullapool.  Which is on the other coast.  You can see why they got rid of it.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #65 on: June 07, 2011, 03:16:57 PM »

Yah, most of the territory was over in Wester Ross actually. I thought the populated bits were mostly the ones in the Black Isle, though.

Of course, Cromartyshire was created out of the landholdings of this horrid person. Not only the most
bizarre, but also (until 1974) the newest county to have existed in Britain.
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« Reply #66 on: June 08, 2011, 05:44:12 PM »

Some extra snippets from the excellent Britain Votes blog:

* The Tory candidate in Brompton is Louis Mosley, grandson of Oswald.
* The former Lib Dem councillor in Chelmsford Central died while waiting for an operation that repeatedly got cancelled - and she was on the board of directors of the hospital involved.

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« Reply #67 on: June 09, 2011, 02:10:40 AM »

Some extra snippets from the excellent Britain Votes blog:

* The Tory candidate in Brompton is Louis Mosley, grandson of Oswald.
* The former Lib Dem councillor in Chelmsford Central died while waiting for an operation that repeatedly got cancelled - and she was on the board of directors of the hospital involved.



Any news on a potential Stock byelection in Essex if/when Lord Hanningfield resigns?
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« Reply #68 on: June 09, 2011, 09:04:14 AM »

The former Lib Dem councillor in Chelmsford Central died while waiting for an operation that repeatedly got cancelled - and she was on the board of directors of the hospital involved.

 Undecided
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« Reply #69 on: June 09, 2011, 06:30:23 PM »

Kensington and Chelsea, Brompton
Con 79.6 (+12.2)
Lab 11.0 (-2.2)
Lib Dem 9.4 (-10.0)

Kensington and Chelsea, Queens Gate
Con 73.7 (+3.9)
Lib Dem 11.1 (-8.2)
Lab 9.1 (-1.8 )
UKIP 6.0 (+6.0)

(via http://twitter.com/BritainVotes)

Essex, Chelmsford Central
Con 43.6 (+10.0)
Lib Dem 38.6 (-5.9)
Lab 17.8 (+10.1)

Falkirk, Bo'ness and Blackness (compared with 2007 result/compared with 2009 by-election)
SNP 57.8 (+10.6 / +0.3)
Lab 31.8 (-0.1 / + 2.3)
Con 8.2 (-4.5 / -4.6)
Ind 2.1 (-2.2 / +2.1)

(from Mark Senior and Andrea at Vote 2007)
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« Reply #70 on: June 09, 2011, 11:08:30 PM »

Tain and Easter Ross will only begin to count Friday morning.
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« Reply #71 on: June 10, 2011, 05:20:21 PM »

Tain and Easter Ross first preferences:
SNP 837
Fiona Robertson 811
Ruaridh Mackenzie 467
LD 307
Michael Herd 97

After transfers:
Fiona Robertson 1204
SNP 1037
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« Reply #72 on: June 11, 2011, 01:31:01 PM »

Ten by-elections next week so not as much detail as usual.

ABBEY, Dumfries and Galloway; caused by the resignation of a Conservative councillor.  This is a mainly rural ward covering the area south-west of Dumfries around the large hill of Criffel; the main settlement is the town of Dalbeattie.  First preferences in 2007 were C 33.8 Lab 28.1 SNP 17.8 Ind 15.4 LD 4.9, with the seats splitting C 2 SNP 1 Lab 1.  There was then a by-election in May 2008 which the Conservatives held, the shares being C 40.8 Lab 33.2 SNP 18.0 Ind 4.1 LD 3.9 and the 2PP C 54.0 Lab 46.0.  Candidates for this by-election are just C/Lab/SNP.

ARLLECHWEDD, Gwynedd; caused by the death of a Lib Dem councillor.  To quote Al in another place:
Quote
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All I can add to that is that the 2008 and 2004 results were both straight LD/PC fights with very similar results: the Lib Dems won 290-268 in 2004 and 296-265 in 2008.

BURTON TOWN, Staffordshire County Council; caused by the death of a Labour councillor.  This division covers virtually all of the original town of Burton-on-Trent, and in particular includes all of the town's famous breweries.  This was one of only three Labour seats in Staffordshire that survived the Tory landslide of 2009, and even then the result was pretty close, Lab 34.4 LD 27.7 C 22.8 BNP 15.1.  Labour should perform much better this time.

BYKER, Newcastle upon Tyne; postponed from 5 May.  This is an inner-city ward east of the city centre, which was extensively redeveloped in the 1960s.  For non-Geordies Byker is most famous for the BBC children's TV Byker Grove, which gave the nation Ant and Dec.  Even before 2010 this was a safe Labour ward; the 2010 result was Lab 57.7 LD 24.3 C 9.2 Ind 8.8.  Candidates are the three main parties plus an Independent, the BNP and an outfit called Newcastle First of which I know nothing.

CREWE SOUTH, Cheshire East; postponed from 5 May.  This two-seat ward covers the area west of Crewe railway station along the Nantwich Road, including some railway works and Crewe Alexandra's football ground at Gresty Road.  Cheshire East has been re-warded since the previous election in 2008 which makes any comparison with previous results moot; for what it's worth one Labour and one Lib Dem councillor are standing for re-election.  There are two candidates from each of the three main parties.

ECKINGTON, Derbyshire County Council; caused by the resignation of a Labour councillor who now has a politically restricted post.  Eckington is a small town north of Chesterfield just outside the Sheffield city boundary which consistently returns Labour county councillors.  The 2009 result was Lab 35.5 Ind 30.9 C 23.7 LD 9.9; the by-election is a straight fight between Labour and Conservative.

HULLBRIDGE, Rochford, Essex; caused by the death of a Conservative councillor.  Hullbridge is a rather isolated village on the River Crouch, directly south of South Woodham Ferrers.  For some reason, the major party opposition to the Conservatives in Rochford district has rather broken down and the result is some seriously wacky voting patterns; in 2006-08 the ward was safe Conservative with the BNP third from 2007 onwards; in 2010, on General Election day, the Green Party came from nowhere to take the ward from the Conservatives with a majority of more than 100; last month the Greens subsided into third place with the Conservatives reasserting their normal large majority, this time over the English Democrats in second.  Candidates for the by-election are C/Grn/Lab/UKIP.

MANVERS, Rushcliffe, Notts; postponed from 5 May.  This two-seat ward covers the southern half of the village of Radcliffe on Trent, east of Nottingham on the road and railway line to Grantham.  On the basis of the 2007 result (C 74.4 Lab 25.6) it's very safe Conservative.  Candidates are 2 each C/Lab.

UWCHALED, Conwy; caused by the death of a Plaid Cymru councillor.  This is a rural ward based on the village of Cerrigydrudion, on the A5 London-Holyhead road.  It is named after the long-abolished Uwchaled rural district of Denbighshire.  Previous election results tell us very little: the ward was Plaid unopposed in 2008.  Candidates this time are C/Ind.

WESTERHOPE, Newcastle upon Tyne; postponed from 5 May after the Lib Dem candidate died on polling day.  Unlike Byker, Westerhope was originally a separate village about six miles west of Newcastle and was not incorporated into the city until 1974.  Until 2008 this was a safe Lib Dem ward, but Labour gained it in 2010, the vote shares being Lab 36.5 LD 33.0 C 24.3 BNP 6.2.
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« Reply #73 on: June 16, 2011, 06:27:01 PM »

Arllechwedd, Gwynedd
Plaid 56.0 (+8.8 )
Lib Dem 20.4 (-32.4)
Lab 15.8
Cons 7.7

Other results aren't up yet on the authories' websites.
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« Reply #74 on: June 16, 2011, 06:34:11 PM »
« Edited: June 16, 2011, 06:48:53 PM by ObserverIE »

Conwy, Uwchaled

Ind 94.1
Con 5.9

(from Britain Votes)

Newcastle, Westerhope

Lab 33.2 (-3.3)
Ind 26.5 (defending ex-Lib Dem councillor)
Newcastle First 16.0
Lib Dem 14.8 (-18.2)
Con 7.2 (-17.1)
BNP 2.4 (-4.1)

(from Vote 2007)

Other reports are of a Labour hold in Newcastle, Byker and of a Green gain from Conservative in Rochford, Hullbridge, but no figures yet.

Update:

Derbyshire, Eckington

Lab 73.8 (+38.3)
Con 26.2 (+2.5)

Rochford, Hullbridge

Green 49.8 (+31.6)
Con 36.5 (-5.0)
Lab 12.0 (-5.2)
UKIP 1.7
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