UK local by-elections 2011

[Leftbehind]

lol With the BNP in meltdown I'm not surprised they're eager to tout this result. Percentages:

Rosegrove with Lowerhouse, Burnley
Lab   43.1%   +11.8%
BNP   23.8%    +5.4%
LibD   21.6%   -11.8%
Con     6.7%   -10.2%
Ind      4.8%    +4.8%

Brunswick Park, Southwark
Lab   65.1%  +13.3%
LibD  20.7%     -2.0%
Grn     7.6%     -6.9%
Con     4.2%    -6.7%
TUS      2.3%   +2.3%

[Leftbehind]

Indeed.


Rosegrove with Lowerhouse ward from 2002-onwards, measuring % of vote.

[Leftbehind]

Came 4th

SNP 1049 (45.5;+28.6)
Lab 463 (20.1; +6.1)
Ind 245 / 202 / 75 (22.7; -29.2)
LD 236 (10.2; -5.3)
Con 33 (1.4; -0.4)

[Leftbehind]

The former Lib Dem councillor in Chelmsford Central died while waiting for an operation that repeatedly got cancelled - and she was on the board of directors of the hospital involved.

 

[Leftbehind]

Results for Burton Town, Staffordshire County and Manvers, Rushcliffe are still missing, apparently.

According to ALDC;

Burton Town, Staffordshire County
Lab 43.7 (+9.3)
Con 31.3 (+8.5)
Lib 18.6 (-9.1)
UKI  6.4 (+6.4)
[BNP15.1 (-15.1)]

(compared to Jun '09)

Manvers, Rushcliffe
Con 69.3 (-5.0)
Lab 30.7 (+5.0)

(compared to May '07)

Not to mention, the overlooked and then forgotten by-election in Camborne;

Camborne South, Cornwall
Lab  34.5% (+28.5%)
Con  33.5% (+6.6%)
MKN  20.4% (-8.0%)
Grn  11.6% (+11.6%)
[Lib 21.1% (-21.1%)]
[Ind 17.6% (-17.6%)]

(compared to May '07)

Good night for Labour (and Greens).

[Leftbehind]

I usually agree with your colouring (so sick of coming across bizarrely coloured parties when trawling through the councils' results), but I disagree with your BNP and Soc colours.

Anyway, pretty good result for the latter. Also for Labour to improve upon last year's result in Watford is an achievement.

[Leftbehind]

Not only that, but isn't it Labour who are in control of the Gravesham council - could it be Labour supporters who disapprove of it giving them a kicking by voting for the party seen to be spearheading the opposition?

I usually agree with your colouring (so sick of coming across bizarrely coloured parties when trawling through the councils' results), but I disagree with your BNP and Soc colours.

If there was a deeper pink available I'd use it for the SP. Brown seems somehow appropriate for the BNP.

lol I dunno - I tend to think of darker blues and purples for right-wingers, and darker (maroon!) and bold reds for lefties. Pink just makes me think social democrats and the whole 'People's Flag Is Palest Pink' song.

The independent in Barnsley's reportedly a lefty, so technically only 2.2% has gone rightwards.

[Leftbehind]

That'll surely be the end of Respect once she's gone? Shame, as I'd much rather the "Muslim vote" be converged around authoritarian socialists than its likely successor.

[Leftbehind]

Have you been to Grangetown, like?

[Leftbehind]

It should give an insight into how the Greens are holding up, in any case.

[Leftbehind]

I think you've confused the context in which these were won - these were won in May this year, set against the backdrop of aforementioned significant Lib>Lab swings and ensuing heavy Liberal losses to Labour around the country.

Zetland, as far as I can see, isn't naturally a Labour seat - it was Con/Con in 2003, albeit with Labour only 3% behind (Con 41.3%, Lab 38.7%, Lib 20.0%), and then it was Con/Lab in 2007, with the introduction of an independent helping to make it ultra-marginal (Lab 28%, Con 27%, Lib 26%, Ind 19%).

This May's results were;

Lib 50.0% (+23.7%)
Lab 35.4% (+7.5%)
Con 14.6% (-12.3%)
[Ind18.9% (-18.9%)]

So, far from being a case of being a Labour seat opting for Liberal, it looks to me like Labour are a minority in this ward, and only won their seat in 2007's favourable four-way split.

I wouldn't be surprised if the Liberals extended their lead in this by-election.

[Leftbehind]

Beaver ward is a fairly working-class area and was safe Labour in 2003. Unusually it has been swinging towards the Conservatives ever since then, and in May the two Labour candidates were just 29 and 27 votes ahead of the Conservatives; the Ashford Independents, a well-organised localist group with five Ashford councillors, finished in a strong third place.  Shares of the vote in May were Lab 38.8 C 36.4 Ashford Ind 24.8.

Candidates for the by-election are the three main parties, the Ashford Independents and the Greens.  All the candidates are based in the town except for the Labour candidate, who is from the nearby town of Tenterden.

It looks like the safeness for Labour was exaggerated in 2003 by there being a straight Labour/Tory choice; the following elections which have introduced a third option - be it the Liberals or the Ashfield Independents - has seemed to hit the Labour vote. With the Greens entering, and the gap so narrow, could we be looking at a Con gain?

[Leftbehind]

Indeed.

Seems Ashford turned out to be a relatively safe hold for Labour - I didn't realise the Liberals were standing (who's absence appears to have bolstered the Tory/Independent vote this May to a point where they looked like challengers).

Ashford Ind 12.4 (-12.4)

They're Cornish nationalists as well?

[Leftbehind]

Here's grey

More surprised at your colouring of the Ashford Independents than your Teale for MK - you usually leave them black.

[Leftbehind]

I see.

Seem to remember Respect being orangeyred. Never even heard of the colour Goldenrod before.

[Leftbehind]

I'd spotted your fervent Cornish nationalism a mile off!

Pretty boring by-elections this week. Coalition partners or right-wing English nationalism; English democracy in action!

[Leftbehind]

Interesting to see the Tories lose Frisby on the Wreake! Is Hutchinson a rightist? Also a pretty strong result for Labour in Kingston-upon-Thames:



Anyone have any results there pre-2002?

[Leftbehind]

Thanks for clearing that up!

[Leftbehind]

What are those changes from, I don't recognise them? I make it:

Con 45.9% (-7.1%)
Lab 38.0% (+4.8%)
Grn  8.9% (-5.0%)
UKI  4.1% (+4.1%)
Lib  3.1% (+3.1%)

On the face of it and taking an overly simplistic view it looks like Labour attracted nothing but Green voters and the Liberal and UKIP vote is made up exclusively of Tory voters.