The Porcupine Campaign Tracker: February 2011

[CatoMinor]

The Porcupine

This thread shall be used to map our region by region polling as well as reporting on the state of the race.  

Our reporters
Xahar
Kalwejt
Wormyguy kinda sorta I think

Marokai - orange; Tmth - Blue

The Northeast
Leans towards tmth

The Mideast
No Polling has been done for this region yet.

The Imperial Dominion of the South
Solidly in tmth's column

The Midwest
No polling has been done for this region yet.

The Pacific
The 1st poll, conducted before all candidates had announced shows this region solidly backing Mr. Blue. However this may change as another native son, and current governor of the Pacific will be included in the next poll.

[CatoMinor]

Marokai Blue (UDL)
Twice Attorney General, a Senator, PPT, Vice President, and Supreme Court Justice, Marokai Blue has attempted to bring activity and accomplishment to each office he has held. Not only setting substantial precedent as a Justice, Marokai was also instrumental in the left-wing resurgence in 2009, and went on to duo with Purple State to successfully push for ratification of a brand new Constitution in 2010. Running with Purple State again on a swapped ticket, he seeks to do equally substantial things again.

Oakvale (JCP)
A relative newcomer to Atlasia, Oakvale was recently elected to his second term as Governor of the Pacific. As Governor, he steered major structural reforms through the legislature, revitalising a region that had long been stagnant, and, in the first significant change to the Pacific's legislature ever, succesfully introduced Atlasia's only bicamarel regional assembly.

With a fresh perspective on Atlasia's fundamental problems, Oakvale, along with his running mate Snowguy716, seek to give the game's institutions the radical shakeup they need.

[CatoMinor]

Tmthforu94 (RPP)
Atlasia has moved to the left in recent years, with 4 of the last 5 Presidents being liberal. Tmthforu94, the only non-liberal candidate currently in the race, hopes to break that trend in this election cycle. During his time in the Mideast Assembly, Atlasian Senate, and Mideast Governor's Mansion, Tmthforu94 has a strong record of bi-partisanship and moderation, and he hopes to bring those same qualities to the White House.  

[CatoMinor]

Campaign Update

     
This race has gotten much more interesting over the past 24 hours as now there will be 5 competing tickets, one of which is now confirmed to be the incumbent president seeking re-election. Can he survive his challenge's that appear to be from all sides of the spectrum?

[CatoMinor]

Campaign Update

Fritz was just kidding, that is all for now.

[CatoMinor]

Are there primaries, or do you just declare?

Also, is there no POP candidate in the race yet? Just wondering.

The only candidates running are 2 UDLers 1 JCPer and one RPPer at the moment.

[CatoMinor]

Pacific

Question: Who do you currently plan on 1st preferencing for President in February?

Ben: 0%
Marokai: 66%
Tmthforu94: 17%
Other: 17%
Undecided: 0%

*( This poll was conducted before all candidates had announced)*

[CatoMinor]

Pacific

Question: Who do you currently plan on 1st preferencing for President in February?

Ben: 0%
Marokai: 66%
Tmthforu94: 17%
Other: 17%
Undecided: 0%

*( This poll was conducted before all candidates had announced)*

Only 6 voters?

I plan on having larger samples in the future.

[CatoMinor]

Breaking News

One of the more controversial candidates, Yates, has gone missing. He is presumed dead. Whether or not his name will remain on the ballot is unknown. sources tell us that the police are currently looking at Sam Spade, Hashemite, Gustaf, and even Yates himself are possible suspects. Right now the police are telling us this is likely a case of vigilante justice.

In other news..
Senator Dallasfan65 is rumored to be planning a run of some sort, whether for President or someone's running mate is unknown, more at 11.

[CatoMinor]

Campaign Update

Its has been announced that Senator Dallasfan65 will in fact be running for Vice President of Atlasia and Governor Tmthforu94's running mate.

Now lets have a look at the February Senate elections.

Northeast
Nothing official yet but there are reports of RowanBrandon and Phil considering bids to pick off the incumbent Senator Eraserhead. Eraserhead picked up the seat in an upset victory last October that led to Dallasfan65 losing his senate seat.

Mideast
No word form there yet.

Imperial Dominion of the South
With 0% of precincts reporting we project incumbent NC Yankee has won re-election.

Midwest
After the incumbent announced he would not seek re-election, Kalwejt aka 'Kaljew" appears to be the only one in the race thus far. Can he win against the onslaught of write-ins he is sure to face?

Pacific
Normally we would project Bgwah the winner before the election even started but with the left split in the region, the possibility of a viable challenge is open.

[CatoMinor]

Porcupine Interviews

Today we bring you an interview with Presidential Candidate Ben.

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[CatoMinor]

New Poll: IDS

Tmth: 70%
Undecided/Other: 20%
Marokai: 10%
Rocky: 0%
Ben: 0%
Oakvale: 0%

[CatoMinor]

Porcupine Interveiws: AIM Edition

   

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[CatoMinor]

More Poling Fun

Working with A-Bob's polling, we can add the Mideast to Tmth's column. Not as strong as his support in the IDS, he is still pulling in 50% of the vote which is a comfortable lead considering the size of the race.

[CatoMinor]

I don't really see the point of doing those regional polls for presidency since this is a national election. Maybe doing these polls about the upcoming Senate races would be more interesting.

It can be helpful for the candidates to see how they are performing in the various regions, and I do plan on including the Senate races in the next polls, possibly the governor races.

[CatoMinor]

I don't really see the point of doing those regional polls for presidency since this is a national election. Maybe doing these polls about the upcoming Senate races would be more interesting.

It can be helpful for the candidates to see how they are performing in the various regions, and I do plan on including the Senate races in the next polls, possibly the governor races.

The bigger issue is that it doesn't account for second preferences, which, given the number of candidates, seem likely to matter.

Well if you would like to Poll 2nd and 3rd prefs and map it, I'd me more than happy to post it for you

[CatoMinor]

How are these polls being conducted?

I'll select ~10ish people at random in a certain region then PM them

[CatoMinor]

Who won the 1st debate?

No one scored a decisive victory, but tmth has come out ahead winning a plurality in the poll.

Tmth - 31%
Marokai - 23%
Oakvale - 19%
Ben 12%

Rocky* - 15%

* No longer in the race

[CatoMinor]

                                         

Interview with Marokai "Blueman" Blue

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It specifically says malicious editing the wiki. Not just "editing the Wiki." Doing so maliciously. That was the tricky part in prosecuting Antonio, and why I publicly defended him before I became AG. For those that may be confused on what malice means, it has a definition specific to the legal term. It refers to "a party's intention to do injury to another party."

In evaluating all of the evidence in that case, I saw nothing at all which showed that Antonio was intent on maliciously editing the wiki. He, on multiple occasions, attempted to engage Libertas in discussion. He very clearly and elaborately explained his reasons for doing what he did. Nothing in anything he said whatsoever had any mean or mocking tone to it.

Now, I think Antonio was mistaken in editing the wiki in the way he did. It was clearly stupid to go beyond a certain point and it was rather clear he wasn't going to get anything accomplished, but that is irrelevant. What was necessary in that case was proving the legal term of malice in regard to Antonio's actions. While his actions were shortsighted, they couldn't be proved outright as malicious.[/quote]

Part 2 up next

[CatoMinor]

Citizen Blue Interveiw Continued

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[CatoMinor]

Chaos in the UDL

What should be a simple task appears to be testing whether or not a new party can survive. The United Democratic Left became a major party overnight, attracting many members, many from the JCP. With such a large party it isn't hard to imagine more than one member interested in seeking the presidency, which of course led to the call for a primary. This should be relatively easy to just hold a vote right? Wrong. The UDL is locked in a bitter fight, not just over who to run, but how to even vote in the primary. Several members want to hold a private vote while others want everything to be open and hold a public vote.

Is the United Democratic Left really united? Or better yet, the question pops up, even democratic? Earlier Marokai Blue who is battling for the nomination, in anger, appeared to make a gaffe that could prove costly.   

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It is easy to see why someone would be frustrated over the drama going on, but to complain about being challenged for the nomination in a party that has "Democratic" in its name seems absurd. 

[CatoMinor]

Thank you for the clarification.

[CatoMinor]

This is disappointing, Jbrase. You had an occasion to distance yourself from the drama that was going on and bring an independent perspective on it. Instead you chose to involve in it and fuel it by picking a random comment and misinterpreting it.

Before Marokai elaborated on that comment it was something worth bringing up. And since I wrote on it we have all learned it was just a misunderstanding. Without the clarification we got from him here, the person who might be nominated for President would have gone on looking like he was bitter at the concept of going through a primary, now we know he was just under the wrong impression of Ben's intentions. So I would like to think me bringing attention to this did the UDL some good.

[CatoMinor]

This is disappointing, Jbrase. You had an occasion to distance yourself from the drama that was going on and bring an independent perspective on it. Instead you chose to involve in it and fuel it by picking a random comment and misinterpreting it.

Before Marokai elaborated on that comment it was something worth bringing up. And since I wrote on it we have all learned it was just a misunderstanding. Without the clarification we got from him here, the person who might be nominated for President would have gone on looking like he was bitter at the concept of going through a primary, now we know he was just under the wrong impression of Ben's intentions. So I would like to think me bringing attention to this did the UDL some good.

So far, nobody had given the impression that he found Marokai's comment particularly outrageous, it wasn't even an issue. And hadn't Marokai clarified it so early, your article had the potential to fuel again controversies among UDLers. It would just have needed anybody to post before Marokai. I'm not implying that you did it with any bad intention, but it certainly couldn't help people to chill out, and you should have been aware of that.

Actualy I saw someone else bring it up in the UDL thread, which is how I came across it, so at the very least one maybe more in your own party was taking issue with it. And sure there was always the possibility it would cause more drama if he hadn't responded so quickly, but would you really prefer it was just left alone and several crucial voters on the left go to the polls with that in the back of their mind when they are deciding who to vote for? 

[CatoMinor]

Tmth leads in the NE

When asked who would they give their 1st pref to the region responded:

Tmthforu94 - 55%
Marokai - 33%
Oakvale - 0%
Undecided 11%