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Author Topic: Census Migration Statistics  (Read 419 times)
jimrtex
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« on: November 12, 2015, 11:45:12 am »
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The Census Bureau has released some tables on interstate migration.

Census Mobility

Top Destination for Persons Moving in Last Year

Paired: (ie the top destination for Californians was Texans, and the top destination for Texans was California.

California-Texas
Iowa-Nebraska
Kansas-Missouri
Minnesota-Wisconsin
Illinois-Indiana
North Carolina-South Carolina
Florida-Georgia

Favored Destination (ie the top destination for Arizonans, and 4 other states, and outside the country was California)

California: Arizona, Hawaii, Nevada, Utah. Washington, Foreign.
Washington: Idaho, Montana, Oregon.
Texas: Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee.
Minnesota: North Dakota, South Dakota.
Florida: Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, US Island areas (presumably mostly from US Virgin Islands)
Massachusetts: New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont.
Pennsylvania: Delaware, New Jersey.
Virginia: Maryland, West Virginia.

Exclusive Destinations (ie the top destination for Wyomingites is Colorado, who are unique in that regard).

Colorado: Wyoming
Maryland: District of Columbia
North Carolina: Virginia (plus South Carolina)
Ohio: Kentucky
New York: Connecticut

Top Source for Persons Moving in Last Year

Cursed In Multiple States (ie Californians are the dominant outlanders in Arizona and 4 other states)

California: Arizona, Hawaii, Montana, Nevada, Oregon.
Washington: Alaska, Idaho.
Texas: New Mexico, Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma.
Minnesota: North Dakota, South Dakota (done in a nice way).
Illinois: Indiana, Missouri, Wisconsin.
Ohio: Kentucky, West Virginia.
Maryland: Delaware, District Columbia.
Massachusetts: Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont.

Individual Burden (ie Wyoming is the only state with Coloradoans as the top source)

Colorado: Wyoming.
Mississippi: Tennessee.
Alabama: Georgia.
South Carolina: North Carolina.
Puerto Rico: Florida.

Foreigners are Foreign (ie the largest number were overseas a year earlier)

California, Washington, Utah, Colorado, Nebraska, Texas, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Tennessee, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virgina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2015, 05:42:57 am »
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If representatives were apportioned based on State of birth, this would be the 2014 apportionment.



Only those born in the 50 States plus the District of Columbia are included. 436 representatives were apportioned. Not only would the DC-born have two representatives, DC would be the most populous area among those with 2 representatives.

The California-born have 45 representatives, but only a population entitled to 34 lives in California. The remainder would be distributed among 11 districts.



Top destinations are:

8 to 10%

Texas
Arizona
Washington
Oregon
Nevada

3 to 5%

Colorado
Florida
Utah

2 to 2.5%

Georgia
Virginia
Idaho
New York
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Missouri

This is an alternate configuration. Nevada is with Hawaii, and Oregon is with Alaska. Nevada has close to enough for a district, but not too close (0.856). It's smallest neighbor, Idaho (0.262) when added to Oregon is substantially over (1.118), but 1.118 is closer to 1.000 than 0.856, and so Nevada-Idaho was the basis for the first map. But Oregon is not really that close to Hawaii, so it might be reasonable to use air connectivity, even though you have to fly over California to get from Nevada to Hawaii. You get better compactness, and the other districts are somewhat more compact.



« Last Edit: November 16, 2015, 05:10:23 am by jimrtex »Logged
jimrtex
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« Reply #2 on: November 17, 2015, 12:57:29 am »
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New York

Of the 32 representatives for the New York-born, 12 districts would be outside New York, heavily concentrated on the east coast.

Florida is entitled to 2.323 districts, so there would be 2 districts in the southern part of the state, and a 3rd shared with Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi. New Jersey is entitled to 1.403 districts, so it would have one district in the southern and central part of the state, and another shared with Connecticut and Rhode Island. The 4 northern New England states are in a district with Illinois, Michigan, and Indiana.



Top Destinations:

Florida 19.8% (of New York natives living in other states)
New Jersey 11.7%
California 7.8%
Pennsylvania 6.6%
North Carolina 5.7%
Virginia 4.4%
Connecticut 4.4%
Georgia 3.9%
Texas 3.8%
Massachusetts 3.5%
Maryland 2.8%
South Carolina 2.5%
Arizona 2.4%
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