US House Redistricting: Kentucky

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I expect something like this. This map will obviously make Ben Chandler a lot safer:

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hal Rogers is 73, so Republicans may not mind having the 5th made safer. The PVI for that area is very misleading, especially with the 2008 election. Granted it would probably require Obama out of office, but Republicans aren't going to assume that won't happen.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The GOP don't appear to have much of a good chance at taking out Beshear, so if I were a Republican Senate leader I'd agree to accept a favorable Senate map in exchange for strengthening Chandler.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

They ought to draw a Western district, an Eastern district a Southern district, a Louisville district and then districts based around the Cincinnati suburbs and Lexington&etc respective made up from whatever else is left. Not in the interests of either party to draw that map, so it won't happen. Alas.

Isn't that basically the current map?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Ah, I never noticed that weird appendage in the first.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is actually a pretty nice-looking map, relative to extremes of redistricting in this country.

District 1 is getting more and more ridiculous though especially since Davies County and Owensboro probably has more in common with the counties to its immediate west than what it's being paired with now.