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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: Hash)
| | |-+  France 2012: the official thread
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Author Topic: France 2012: the official thread  (Read 179050 times)
big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #875 on: October 09, 2011, 01:57:24 pm »
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1 322 327

39.11
30.35

Already the "arguments" from Aubry's staff:
"awaiting for urban polling stations"
"less than 10 points"
"Montebourg for her"

Already heard somewhere ? Tongue
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Math
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« Reply #876 on: October 09, 2011, 01:58:25 pm »
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I'm fed up with this country...

Should have voted today Sad

I don't think all the Montebourg supporters will vote for Aubry. Between 2/3 and 3/4 I would say. I still think Hollande is slightly the favourite, even more if Ségolene endorses him (which I have no clue about).
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Math
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« Reply #877 on: October 09, 2011, 02:00:44 pm »
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I'm fed up with this country...

Should have voted today Sad

I don't think all the Montebourg supporters will vote for Aubry. Between 2/3 and 3/4 I would say. I still think Hollande is slightly the favourite, even more if Ségolene endorses him (which I have no clue about).

Well, I realize this is not precisely the argument of the winner of the night :-).
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Αλληλεγγύη
Antonio V
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« Reply #878 on: October 09, 2011, 02:03:26 pm »
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I'm fed up with this country...

Should have voted today Sad

I don't think all the Montebourg supporters will vote for Aubry. Between 2/3 and 3/4 I would say. I still think Hollande is slightly the favourite, even more if Ségolene endorses him (which I have no clue about).

I doubt she will. She has nothing to lose and still loathes him with a passion. She loathes Aubry too, so I guess she won't say anything. No idea how her voters will go, but I think a majority will follow Aubry (more left-wing image).
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #879 on: October 09, 2011, 02:04:57 pm »
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I don't think having Royal's endorsement is a great advantage... Tongue
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Αλληλεγγύη
Antonio V
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« Reply #880 on: October 09, 2011, 02:05:15 pm »
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39.05 against 30.35 with 1.47 million.
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #881 on: October 09, 2011, 02:06:37 pm »
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1 483 408

39.04
30.36
17.22
6.91
5.46
0.62
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http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
Αλληλεγγύη
Antonio V
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« Reply #882 on: October 09, 2011, 02:08:02 pm »
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Results website gone crazy... Now indicates 0 votes... Huh
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
Hash
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« Reply #883 on: October 09, 2011, 02:08:25 pm »

PS website sucks balls, again.
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The Prime Minister of New Zealand:

17:40   oakvale   the people are bad and shouldn't be allowed vote whenever possible
17:40   oakvale   The average voter wants to end austerity, bring back hanging and put all immigrants in death
big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #884 on: October 09, 2011, 02:09:14 pm »
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Results website gone crazy... Now indicates 0 votes... Huh

Aubry's plot Grin
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Math
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« Reply #885 on: October 09, 2011, 02:09:46 pm »
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Results website gone crazy... Now indicates 0 votes... Huh

FRAUD!
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Αλληλεγγύη
Antonio V
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« Reply #886 on: October 09, 2011, 02:10:20 pm »
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Back ! 38.98 / 30.4 with 1.5 mio. Cheesy
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #887 on: October 09, 2011, 02:13:00 pm »
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1 533 156

38.99
30.38
17.24
6.91
5.48
0.62

Adieu, monde cruel...
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You kip if you want to...
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« Reply #888 on: October 09, 2011, 02:14:45 pm »
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Is that Montebourg at 18%? If it is, good for him.

But still, if the PS nominate Aubry, they will confirm their status as a complete and utter joke. Defeat from the jaws of victory - again.
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hawkeye59
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« Reply #889 on: October 09, 2011, 02:16:30 pm »
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I don't know much about French politics, so what's wrong with Aubry?
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My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair.  So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world.- Jack Layton (1950-2011)
big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #890 on: October 09, 2011, 02:16:43 pm »
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1 606 533
38.90
30.47
17.22
6.88
5.54
0.61

She'll end at 31 or even more, and he's even below 38.

My worst scenario is occurring...
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Enjoy the French elections !
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Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
Αλληλεγγύη
Antonio V
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« Reply #891 on: October 09, 2011, 02:17:16 pm »
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Is that Montebourg at 18%? If it is, good for him.

But still, if the PS nominate Aubry, they will confirm their status as a complete and utter joke. Defeat from the jaws of victory - again.

Do you have a clue of what you are talking about ?
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
Math
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« Reply #892 on: October 09, 2011, 02:18:53 pm »
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I don't know much about French politics, so what's wrong with Aubry?

She lives in a constant state of paranoid rigidity. That's the first thing.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #893 on: October 09, 2011, 02:20:02 pm »
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I don't know much about French politics, so what's wrong with Aubry?

She lives in a constant state of paranoid rigidity. That's the first thing.

Well at least she's not a useless, do-nothing wimp with a vague personalist campaign.
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
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« Reply #894 on: October 09, 2011, 02:21:23 pm »
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I don't know much about French politics, so what's wrong with Aubry?

She's an actual socialist.
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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #895 on: October 09, 2011, 02:25:33 pm »
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Results excluding blank votes (so Fab, don't rejoice if Hollande is up Wink).

Hollande : 38.99
Aubry : 30.59

1,674,466 counted.
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RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
Math
math
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« Reply #896 on: October 09, 2011, 02:26:25 pm »
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I don't know much about French politics, so what's wrong with Aubry?

She lives in a constant state of paranoid rigidity. That's the first thing.

Well at least she's not a useless, do-nothing wimp with a vague personalist campaign.

Since I'm not a socialist at all, it sounds great to me :-).
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Antonio V
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #897 on: October 09, 2011, 02:32:27 pm »
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38.94 / 30.64 with 17.3 mio.
Logged

RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
big bad fab
filliatre
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Posts: 13936
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #898 on: October 09, 2011, 02:34:21 pm »
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1.73 M Antonio, don't be so proud Grin

I have 38.8 and 30.53
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Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
Αλληλεγγύη
Antonio V
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*****
Posts: 34871
France


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

View Profile
« Reply #899 on: October 09, 2011, 02:35:27 pm »
Ignore

I have 38.8 and 30.53

Because you're counting invalid ballots. Wink
Logged

RIP Greece. RIP European Federalism.



"It's easy to confuse what is with what ought to be, especially when what is has worked out in your favor."

Tyrion Lannister, Game of Thrones, ep. 5x09
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