France 2012: the official thread

[Californian Tony]

A last one :

[Tender Branson]

Let's see what I can do with my limited French knowledge:

[Californian Tony]

Is this a reference to something ?

[Tender Branson]

Is this a reference to something ?

It's part of this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sorcerer%27s_Apprentice

[Californian Tony]

Is this a reference to something ?

It's part of this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sorcerer%27s_Apprentice

Oh, I see. Good one.

[Hashemite]

[Californian Tony]

Can't see it.

[Hashemite]

Ugh, they probably found my image too tasteless. Here it is.

[Californian Tony]

Hah ! Un grand classique, pour la France éternelle.

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Portray of the future of Guyanne's seaside?

Thankfully all this very bad clownerie about xenophobia and inefficient securitarism will stop or go lower after this election, either he loses and it stops, either he gets elected and he won't have to run through this as much as now since he won't have to run for reelection. F***, we could still have Coppé maintaining the flame though...

I can only hope there won't be any major riots in some rough districts before the elections, because then, it could go quite tough...

[You kip if you want to...]

Marine on Sarko: "La France Morte".

[Hashemite]

I'm not the poll guy, but Ifop's tracker today shows the narrowest first-round gap:

Hollande 29% (-0.5)
Sarko 27% (+1)
Marion 17.5% (+0.5)
Bayrou 11% (-1)
Melenchon 9% (+0.5)
Joly 2.5% (nc)
Villepin 2% (-0.5)

The runoff gap remains 56-44. It has barely moved up or down since they started this tracker.

[big bad fab]

2012 Big Bad Tracker #42 - 20 February 2012   

The weighting is now diminishing each week as follows: 1 / 0.7 / 0.4 / 0.1   


      

Hollande   30,56
Sarkozy   25,22
Le Pen   17,13
Bayrou   12,42
Mélenchon   8,15
Joly   2,82
Villepin   1,59
(Morin)   0,12
Lepage   0,43
Dupont-Aignan   0,61
(Boutin)   0,10
Nihous   0,17
Arthaud   0,39
Poutou   0,25
(Chevènement)   0,04
Cheminade   0,00

Hollande   57,20
Sarkozy   42,80

See my blog for a recent graph of IFOP daily poll.
There is now a symetry between Bayrou and Hollande, and between Sarkozy and Le Pen (and even Joly and Mélenchon...).

[You kip if you want to...]

I'm not the poll guy, but Ifop's tracker today shows the narrowest first-round gap:

Hollande 29% (-0.5)
Sarko 27% (+1)
Marion 17.5% (+0.5)
Bayrou 11% (-1)
Melenchon 9% (+0.5)
Joly 2.5% (nc)
Villepin 2% (-0.5)

The runoff gap remains 56-44. It has barely moved up or down since they started this tracker.

Sarko's getting a bump with the spotlight having been on him for the past few days. To be expected.

[Andrea]

Sarkozy 10,5 millions people audience yesterday on TV, quite big, but lol, DSK had done 14 millions at the same place to explain himself on his 'New-York adventure'. Would be interesting to know Hollande's audience.

According to Le Figaro, Hollande's interview the following day got 6.4 million viewers.
Meanwhile TF1's new political show got their worst prime time market share since 1991: just 2.2m people (8.9% market share) watched Bayrou and Joly last night.

[big bad fab]

Beware, I've updated the tracker, because of an IPSOS poll published very late yesterday (in fact, it was in the medias only this morning) that wasn't included.
Done, with a spread between 0 and 0.1

[Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay]

Sarkozy 10,5 millions people audience yesterday on TV, quite big, but lol, DSK had done 14 millions at the same place to explain himself on his 'New-York adventure'. Would be interesting to know Hollande's audience.

According to Le Figaro, Hollande's interview the following day got 6.4 million viewers.
Meanwhile TF1's new political show got their worst prime time market share since 1991: just 2.2m people (8.9% market share) watched Bayrou and Joly last night.

Thank you, I was thinking about checking but hadn't done. As for the other audience, normal, look at the candidates.

Ah, and, about Sarkozy's meeting in Marseille:

Sarkozy is in dah place.

Goes tougher and tougher against Hollande. As one of the political analyst says, I can't remind the words have already been that violent under the Vth. I wonder if it could last this way 2 months, Hollande will have to find a new behavior anyhow, being the cute avoiding guy might not be enough. Especially if the main tactic remains 'this is a referendum against Sarkozy', what a high esteem of his project, and 'you have a bad assessment!' that will be easily wiped out by Sarkozy with 'seen there has been the biggest crisis since WW2? are you being serious?'. But apparently Socialistes can't help acting dumb, same for Borloo affair, they spent the whole day fighting harsh against...rumors, congrats.

They definitely renounced about thinking before opening their mouthes?

So far they are stuck in anti-Sarkozism and reciting boring technical measures, yay.

Good one of Sarkozy's meeting:

Where's the truth when you act like Thatcher in London, and like Mitterand in Paris?

Oh also Sarkozy continues more than ever to push toward a totally plebicitary regime with his referendums stuff (and the only one to underline it is Mélenchon), he is going to push the logic of the Vth Republic to the overdose, which would thankfully in the end help to get rid of it later.

Marine Le Pen is really turning more and more radical, if only in her attitude, and her 'IdF meat is all halal!!' blatant attempt at twisting reality won't help her I think. Having a more and more over nervous and scary face in interviews and meetings is really unappealing. That's actually the most scary looking politician I can remind of since that guy that excited Germany several decades ago, even those of Lega Norde don't look that aggressive but merely dumb when they make their excited downright racist speeches.

Meanwhile, today, Sarkozy looks cool and even bashed Hollande on 'what? you don't accept criticism? you shouldn't run then...'.

[Colbert]

Make your own France Forte poster

[big bad fab]

BREAKING !

Frédéric Nihous has dropped his bid for the presidency.
He has rallied Sarkozy.

This will probably "free" some mayors, who will be able to sign for Le Pen or Dupont-Aignan.

[redcommander]

BREAKING !

Frédéric Nihous has dropped his bid for the presidency.
He has rallied Sarkozy.

This will probably "free" some mayors, who will be able to sign for Le Pen or Dupont-Aignan.

Will he even give Sarkozy any boost in the polls? He's polling pretty far behind.

[big bad fab]

BREAKING !

Frédéric Nihous has dropped his bid for the presidency.
He has rallied Sarkozy.

This will probably "free" some mayors, who will be able to sign for Le Pen or Dupont-Aignan.

Will he even give Sarkozy any boost in the polls? He's polling pretty far behind.

It was an ironical post

[Californian Tony]

LOL@Sarko. He will end up as the only candidate of the right, get a half-decent score but have no room to grow on second round.

[Keystone Phil]

Sarkozy will be re-elected.

[Californian Tony]

Sarkozy will be re-elected.

I hope this post will be quoted in your sig after may 6. If it's not, I'll take care of it.

[Keystone Phil]

Sarkozy will be re-elected.

I hope this post will be quoted in your sig after may 6. If it's not, I'll take care of it.

I've said it before elsewhere. I'm fully aware it will make its way into several signatures if he doesn't win.