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| | |-+  France 2012: the official thread
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Author Topic: France 2012: the official thread  (Read 122231 times)
Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1450 on: February 18, 2012, 05:40:58 am »
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A last one :

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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #1451 on: February 18, 2012, 07:19:26 am »
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Let's see what I can do with my limited French knowledge:

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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1452 on: February 18, 2012, 08:17:19 am »
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Is this a reference to something ?
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1453 on: February 18, 2012, 08:20:08 am »
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Is this a reference to something ?

It's part of this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sorcerer%27s_Apprentice
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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1454 on: February 18, 2012, 08:27:45 am »
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Oh, I see. Good one. Wink
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
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« Reply #1455 on: February 18, 2012, 09:50:44 am »

« Last Edit: February 18, 2012, 10:23:53 am by Hermione »Logged

Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1456 on: February 18, 2012, 10:06:06 am »
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Can't see it. Huh
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
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« Reply #1457 on: February 18, 2012, 10:24:23 am »

Ugh, they probably found my image too tasteless. Here it is.

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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1458 on: February 18, 2012, 11:25:56 am »
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Hah ! Un grand classique, pour la France éternelle. Grin
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22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #1459 on: February 18, 2012, 01:48:23 pm »
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Portray of the future of Guyanne's seaside?

Thankfully all this very bad clownerie about xenophobia and inefficient securitarism will stop or go lower after this election, either he loses and it stops, either he gets elected and he won't have to run through this as much as now since he won't have to run for reelection. F***, we could still have Coppé maintaining the flame though...

I can only hope there won't be any major riots in some rough districts before the elections, because then, it could go quite tough...
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14/01/2011: Tunisia!!
11/02/2011: Egypt!
20/10/2011: Libya
02/09/2013: Abandon of Syria...
...and of, well, 'all of that'...

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!!

Maybe a little update:

Religion Tradition is people's opium...
You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #1460 on: February 19, 2012, 05:39:44 pm »
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Marine on Sarko: "La France Morte".
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« Reply #1461 on: February 20, 2012, 05:17:08 pm »

I'm not the poll guy, but Ifop's tracker today shows the narrowest first-round gap:

Hollande 29% (-0.5)
Sarko 27% (+1)
Marion 17.5% (+0.5)
Bayrou 11% (-1)
Melenchon 9% (+0.5)
Joly 2.5% (nc)
Villepin 2% (-0.5)

The runoff gap remains 56-44. It has barely moved up or down since they started this tracker.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #1462 on: February 20, 2012, 06:53:08 pm »
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2012 Big Bad Tracker #42 - 20 February 2012   

The weighting is now diminishing each week as follows: 1 / 0.7 / 0.4 / 0.1   



      

Hollande   30,56
Sarkozy   25,22
Le Pen   17,13
Bayrou   12,42
Mélenchon   8,15
Joly   2,82
Villepin   1,59
(Morin)   0,12
Lepage   0,43
Dupont-Aignan   0,61
(Boutin)   0,10
Nihous   0,17
Arthaud   0,39
Poutou   0,25
(Chevènement)   0,04
Cheminade   0,00

Hollande   57,20
Sarkozy   42,80

See my blog for a recent graph of IFOP daily poll.
There is now a symetry between Bayrou and Hollande, and between Sarkozy and Le Pen (and even Joly and Mélenchon...).
« Last Edit: February 21, 2012, 08:34:39 am by big bad fab »Logged

Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #1463 on: February 20, 2012, 07:21:51 pm »
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I'm not the poll guy, but Ifop's tracker today shows the narrowest first-round gap:

Hollande 29% (-0.5)
Sarko 27% (+1)
Marion 17.5% (+0.5)
Bayrou 11% (-1)
Melenchon 9% (+0.5)
Joly 2.5% (nc)
Villepin 2% (-0.5)

The runoff gap remains 56-44. It has barely moved up or down since they started this tracker.

Sarko's getting a bump with the spotlight having been on him for the past few days. To be expected.
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Andrea
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« Reply #1464 on: February 21, 2012, 06:14:44 am »
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Sarkozy 10,5 millions people audience yesterday on TV, quite big, but lol, DSK had done 14 millions at the same place to explain himself on his 'New-York adventure'. Would be interesting to know Hollande's audience.

According to Le Figaro, Hollande's interview the following day got 6.4 million viewers.
Meanwhile TF1's new political show got their worst prime time market share since 1991: just 2.2m people (8.9% market share) watched Bayrou and Joly last night.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #1465 on: February 21, 2012, 08:36:00 am »
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Beware, I've updated the tracker, because of an IPSOS poll published very late yesterday (in fact, it was in the medias only this morning) that wasn't included.
Done, with a spread between 0 and 0.1 Tongue
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Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay
tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #1466 on: February 21, 2012, 02:07:14 pm »
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Sarkozy 10,5 millions people audience yesterday on TV, quite big, but lol, DSK had done 14 millions at the same place to explain himself on his 'New-York adventure'. Would be interesting to know Hollande's audience.

According to Le Figaro, Hollande's interview the following day got 6.4 million viewers.
Meanwhile TF1's new political show got their worst prime time market share since 1991: just 2.2m people (8.9% market share) watched Bayrou and Joly last night.

Thank you, I was thinking about checking but hadn't done. As for the other audience, normal, look at the candidates.

Ah, and, about Sarkozy's meeting in Marseille:

Sarkozy is in dah place.

Goes tougher and tougher against Hollande. As one of the political analyst says, I can't remind the words have already been that violent under the Vth. I wonder if it could last this way 2 months, Hollande will have to find a new behavior anyhow, being the cute avoiding guy might not be enough. Especially if the main tactic remains 'this is a referendum against Sarkozy', what a high esteem of his project, and 'you have a bad assessment!' that will be easily wiped out by Sarkozy with 'seen there has been the biggest crisis since WW2? are you being serious?'. But apparently Socialistes can't help acting dumb, same for Borloo affair, they spent the whole day fighting harsh against...rumors, congrats.

They definitely renounced about thinking before opening their mouthes?

So far they are stuck in anti-Sarkozism and reciting boring technical measures, yay.

Good one of Sarkozy's meeting:

Where's the truth when you act like Thatcher in London, and like Mitterand in Paris?

Oh also Sarkozy continues more than ever to push toward a totally plebicitary regime with his referendums stuff (and the only one to underline it is Mélenchon), he is going to push the logic of the Vth Republic to the overdose, which would thankfully in the end help to get rid of it later.

Marine Le Pen is really turning more and more radical, if only in her attitude, and her 'IdF meat is all halal!!' blatant attempt at twisting reality won't help her I think. Having a more and more over nervous and scary face in interviews and meetings is really unappealing. That's actually the most scary looking politician I can remind of since that guy that excited Germany several decades ago, even those of Lega Norde don't look that aggressive but merely dumb when they make their excited downright racist speeches.

Meanwhile, today, Sarkozy looks cool and even bashed Hollande on 'what? you don't accept criticism? you shouldn't run then...'.
Logged

14/01/2011: Tunisia!!
11/02/2011: Egypt!
20/10/2011: Libya
02/09/2013: Abandon of Syria...
...and of, well, 'all of that'...

Money became totally unfair.
Money became totally senseless.
Let's make Money totally useless...

??/??/20??: EU UU!!

Maybe a little update:

Religion Tradition is people's opium...
Colbert
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« Reply #1467 on: February 21, 2012, 10:36:57 pm »
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big bad fab
filliatre
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Posts: 13946
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: 4.87

P

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« Reply #1468 on: February 22, 2012, 05:26:53 pm »
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BREAKING !

Frédéric Nihous has dropped his bid for the presidency.
He has rallied Sarkozy.

This will probably "free" some mayors, who will be able to sign for Le Pen or Dupont-Aignan.
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Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
redcommander
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« Reply #1469 on: February 22, 2012, 07:15:16 pm »
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BREAKING !

Frédéric Nihous has dropped his bid for the presidency.
He has rallied Sarkozy.

This will probably "free" some mayors, who will be able to sign for Le Pen or Dupont-Aignan.

Will he even give Sarkozy any boost in the polls? He's polling pretty far behind.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: 4.87

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« Reply #1470 on: February 23, 2012, 03:53:12 am »
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BREAKING !

Frédéric Nihous has dropped his bid for the presidency.
He has rallied Sarkozy.

This will probably "free" some mayors, who will be able to sign for Le Pen or Dupont-Aignan.

Will he even give Sarkozy any boost in the polls? He's polling pretty far behind.

It was an ironical post Tongue
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Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2012.wordpress.com/
Antonio V
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Posts: 30950
France


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1471 on: February 23, 2012, 04:20:35 am »
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LOL@Sarko. He will end up as the only candidate of the right, get a half-decent score but have no room to grow on second round.
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Quote from: IRC
22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1472 on: February 23, 2012, 10:22:30 am »
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Sarkozy will be re-elected.
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The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
Antonio V
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1473 on: February 23, 2012, 10:25:58 am »
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Sarkozy will be re-elected.

I hope this post will be quoted in your sig after may 6. If it's not, I'll take care of it. Wink
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Quote from: IRC
22:15   ComradeSibboleth   this is all extremely terrible and in all respects absolutely fycking dire.

It really is.



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1474 on: February 23, 2012, 10:31:33 am »
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Sarkozy will be re-elected.

I hope this post will be quoted in your sig after may 6. If it's not, I'll take care of it. Wink

I've said it before elsewhere. I'm fully aware it will make its way into several signatures if he doesn't win.
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The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
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