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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
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Topic: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll (Read 5569 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
on:
January 21, 2011, 02:27:15 am »
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/elections/ct-met-chicago-mayor-race-0121mdv-20110120,0,7220283.story
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Badger
badger
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Posts: 8590
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #1 on:
January 21, 2011, 02:56:16 am »
So Carol Mosely Braun is currently the leading black candidate? Why such a dirth of alternatives in the community?
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Franzl
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Posts: 20473
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #2 on:
January 21, 2011, 07:46:15 am »
Glad I don't live in Chicago.
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To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
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homelycooking
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Posts: 5547
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #3 on:
January 21, 2011, 08:59:04 am »
Quote from: Badger on January 21, 2011, 02:56:16 am
So Carol Mosely Braun is currently the leading black candidate? Why such a dirth of alternatives in the community?
A number of other Black candidates dropped out so as to give Moseley-Braun a better shot at winning.
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Lіef
Lief
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Posts: 27387
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #4 on:
January 21, 2011, 08:13:36 pm »
Gross. Bring back the Daleys!
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Franzl
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Posts: 20473
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #5 on:
January 21, 2011, 08:14:53 pm »
Quote from: Lief on January 21, 2011, 08:13:36 pm
Gross. Bring back the Daleys!
I don't like that proposal either.
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To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.
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Lunar
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Posts: 30756
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #6 on:
January 23, 2011, 02:41:40 am »
The only question seems to be whether Rahm wins outright or is forced into a run-off first.
edit: Chico's not doing so badly with White voters
«
Last Edit: January 23, 2011, 02:43:26 am by Loonar
»
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brittain33
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Posts: 12058
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #7 on:
January 24, 2011, 01:11:05 pm »
Headline on TPM is that a court boots Emmanuel from the ballot.
http://www.suntimes.com/3469419-417/ballot-booted-court-emanuel-rahm.html
He'll appeal it further up.
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Wrecking Ball and Chain
BRTD
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Posts: 68306
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #8 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:01:22 pm »
So basically the only way Rahm loses is if he fails to make the ballot?
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Progressive
jro660
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Posts: 1084
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #9 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:16:59 pm »
The big question is: Is he ACTUALLY not going to be on the ballot?
In 2009, NYC took off Bill De Blasio's name from the Public Advocate race ad he wound up winning so that had no effect on the campaign.
Do you guys think he'll actually be removed permanently?
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Bacon King
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Posts: 14406
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #10 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:33:16 pm »
Oh, wow. Last I heard, that local court decided Rahm was eligible. Didn't know that an appeals process was still going on. Anyone know how the State Supremes will decide?
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Lunar
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Posts: 30756
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #11 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:44:48 pm »
Quote from: Bacon King on January 24, 2011, 02:33:16 pm
Oh, wow. Last I heard, that local court decided Rahm was eligible. Didn't know that an appeals process was still going on. Anyone know how the State Supremes will decide?
I'm not entirely disconnected from the legal political types in Chicago, and my impression is that this is the first time people actually got hit by the reality that Rahm might not be on the ballot. The case against Rahm was never trivial, but it seemed like he had generally beaten it back until now. It's fairly unique case law and given the dissenting opinion in the Appeal Court's ruling, it really could go either way.
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BushKenya
BushOklahoma
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #12 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:46:33 pm »
Quote from: Progressive on January 24, 2011, 02:16:59 pm
Do you guys think he'll actually be removed permanently?
I hope so. I have to say I chuckled when I first saw this headline. I think President Obama could have picked a better CoS.
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SvenssonRS
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #13 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:58:12 pm »
Quote from: Conservatively Liberal on January 24, 2011, 02:46:33 pm
Quote from: Progressive on January 24, 2011, 02:16:59 pm
Do you guys think he'll actually be removed permanently?
I hope so. I have to say I chuckled when I first saw this headline. I think President Obama could have picked a better CoS.
That's putting it lightly.
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Winter and July.
Lunar
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #14 on:
January 24, 2011, 02:58:37 pm »
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/01/24/best-mayor-emanuel-tweets_n_813214.html
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Bacon King
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #15 on:
January 24, 2011, 03:30:14 pm »
Quote from: Loonar on January 24, 2011, 02:44:48 pm
Quote from: Bacon King on January 24, 2011, 02:33:16 pm
Oh, wow. Last I heard, that local court decided Rahm was eligible. Didn't know that an appeals process was still going on. Anyone know how the State Supremes will decide?
I'm not entirely disconnected from the legal political types in Chicago, and my impression is that this is the first time people actually got hit by the reality that Rahm might not be on the ballot. The case against Rahm was never trivial, but it seemed like he had generally beaten it back until now. It's fairly unique case law and given the dissenting opinion in the Appeal Court's ruling, it really could go either way.
Suspense!
A friend's father clerks for a justice on the IL Supreme Court. I've gotten in touch with her; she's going to let me know as soon as she learns from her dad about what the court is thinking on this case. I'll post as soon as I find out
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milhouse24
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Posts: 2211
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #16 on:
January 24, 2011, 03:33:14 pm »
I don't think he can claim residency because he rented out his house and did not physically live in Chicago. He's not in the military so serving the president is a vague and undefined excuse. Obviously the President is still in office, and if Rahm enjoyed serving the president, he should stay at the white house, he can't flip flop and choose the most convenient job disregarding the rules.
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Progressive
jro660
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Posts: 1084
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #17 on:
January 24, 2011, 04:57:49 pm »
Ok, I like the demise of an overlyconfident frontrunner just as much as the next guy:
But are there any good options for mayor if Emanuel is off the ballot? I think Moseley Braun would do an awful job. Maybe Gery Chico would do a good job?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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Posts: 6854
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #18 on:
January 24, 2011, 05:32:06 pm »
I'd be surprised if CMB (hey, same initials as Mr. Burns) won, even without Emanuel in the race. Emanuel-supporting whites would probably shift to Chico. Look at the breakdowns in the poll; despite only getting 16% of the vote, Chico's getting a quarter of the white vote, while CMB's support is almost entirely from black voters.
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Jayhawker
tmthforu94
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Posts: 16066
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #19 on:
January 24, 2011, 05:33:33 pm »
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_chicago_mayor_emanuel
I guess he's not on the ballot. Hello Mayor Moseley-Braun?
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20RP12
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #20 on:
January 24, 2011, 05:49:52 pm »
Rahm's ineligible now.
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Thomas D
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Posts: 3094
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #21 on:
January 24, 2011, 05:52:27 pm »
Just let him on the ballot. Let the people of Chicago decide this with their votes.
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cinyc
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Posts: 7097
Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #22 on:
January 24, 2011, 06:28:58 pm »
Quote from: Thomas D on January 24, 2011, 05:52:27 pm
Just let him on the ballot. Let the people of Chicago decide this with their votes.
Eligibility laws should not be ignored. Otherwise, why bother enacting them?
«
Last Edit: January 24, 2011, 07:00:17 pm by cinyc
»
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Wrecking Ball and Chain
BRTD
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #23 on:
January 24, 2011, 06:32:15 pm »
I'd say Chico is the favorite if Rahm's off.
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Kalwejt
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Re: Chicago Mayor Election 2011: Emanuel has big lead in Tribune poll
«
Reply #24 on:
January 24, 2011, 06:34:37 pm »
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_chicago_mayor_emanuel
He's OFF
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