Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,320
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« on: November 24, 2004, 04:06:55 AM » |
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BOUNDARY CHANGE ALERT!
EC is calculating how the 2001 result would have gone on new boundaries. No warranty implied or given.
Constituency MP Name Party Prediction
Aberdeen North Malcolm Savidge LAB Hold
Aberdeen South Anne Begg LAB Hold
Angus Michael Weir SNP Hold
Banff and Buchan Alex Salmond SNP Hold
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross John Thurso LIB Hold
Dundee East Iain Luke SNP Gain from LAB: He's not holding that on a 630 majority.
Dundee West Ernie Ross LAB Hold
Dunfermline and West Fife Rachel Squire LAB Hold
East Lothian Anne Picking LAB Hold
Edinburgh East Gavin Strang LAB Hold
Edinburgh North and Leith Mark Lazarowicz LAB Hold
Edinburgh South Nigel Griffiths LAB Hold
Edinburgh South West Lynda Clark LAB Hold
Edinburgh West John Barrett LIB Hold
Falkirk Eric Joyce LAB Hold
Glenrothes John MacDougall LAB Hold
Gordon Malcolm Bruce LIB Hold
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey David Stewart LAB Hold
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Lewis Moonie LAB Hold
Linlithgow and East Falkirk LAB Hold: Dalyell's going, at least knowing the West Lothian question is answered. This is a place Brown or Reid could get.
Livingston Robin Cook LAB Hold: Cook's safe.
Midlothian David Hamilton LAB Hold
Moray Angus Robertson SNP Hold
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) Calum MacDonald LAB Hold
North East Fife Menzies Campbell LIB Hold
Ochil and South Perthshire Martin O'Neill SNP Gain from LAB: It's a tiny majority and this is the home of the Black Watch.
Orkney and Shetland Alistair Carmichael LIB Hold
Perth and North Perthshire Annabelle Ewing SNP Hold: The Black Watch thing is keeping this SNP.
Ross Skye and Lochaber Charles Kennedy LIB Hold: Charlie will deliver a Liberal defeat to any challenger.
Stirling Anne McGuire LAB Hold
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Robert Smith LIB Hold
A note for Scotland: Some of these incumbents will change. Brown and Reid are without a seat and so will probably take one of these off the incumbent.
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