MI-Wilson Research Strategies (R): Sen. Stabenow (D) leads 2 top Republicans

[Tender Branson]

In a possible matchup with Terry Lynn Land, former Michigan Secretary of State, Senator Stabenow’s ballot share is under 50% and she only leads by 5% (46% to 41%). Moreover, this are signs of trouble for Senator Stabenow with key subgroups:

    * Among Independent Voters her lead is even more narrow at 2%.
    * Among Men, Land leads 47% to 41%.
    * Among Boomers, Land leads 46% to 42%.

In a possible matchup with Pete Hoekstra, former Member of the U.S. House of Representatives and Gubernatorial candidate, Senator Stabenow again fails to reach the 50% threshold one would expect of a strong incumbent and leads by 6% (47% to 41%).

    * Among Men, Hoekstra leads 47% to 42%.
    * Among Whites, Hoekstra leads 46% to 41%.

http://www.w-r-s.com/blog/2011/01/26/michigan-2012-senate-race-stabenow-vulnerable/

[Tender Branson]

It should be noted that Wilson Research is a very, very bad internal pollster, that showed Fiorina and Whitman winning by 3 points one week ahead of the election, when they actually lost by 10 and 13 points.

... even though this poll looks more credible ...

[JohnnyLongtorso]

PPP had her only head of Hoekstra by 1, so who knows.