NE-PPP: Obama loses to Huck by 13, Romney by 12, Gingrich by 8, Palin by 1

[Mr. Morden]

PPP poll of Nebraska:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NE_0131.pdf

Gingrich 48%
Obama 40%

Huckabee 51%
Obama 38%

Palin 45%
Obama 44%

Romney 49%
Obama 37%

[Ben Romney]

If Palin cant win NE she would lose in a landslide like Reagan won in 1984

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

He posts big leads against all Republicans in NE-2.

[Ben Romney]

Tender Brenson can you post the new map for every candidate please?

[pbrower2a]

Nebraska, PPP. I am taking PPP's word on how the districts go. In 2008, NE-01 voted like Texas, NE-02 voted like Indiana, and NE-03 voted like Wyoming.

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Obama vs. Huckabee

Obama vs. Romney

Obama vs. Gingrich

Obama vs. Palin

Nebraska at large might as well be colored white for a tie for Sarah Palin, and if she fades any at all in nationwide approval but still wins the GOP nomination, then she could lose all but one electoral vote from Nebraska (NE-03 is one of the most GOP-leaning districts in America). I am modifying Texas to show how razor-close the state is if it is Obama vs. Palin.

[DrScholl]

Good news about NE-2. I can understand why the legislature is considering changing the system of allocating electoral votes, Obama is in the position to peel off that vote again. As for Palin, it's just crazy to see a Republican up by only one in Nebraska.

[albaleman]

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LOL

I always knew Palin was a really weak candidate, but this is taking it to a whole new level. Who knows, maybe she's Ben Nelson's silver bullet.

[tmthforu94]

I'm glad this poll came out, as it should provide the state legislature with more of a reason to change their system for allocating electoral votes.

[Skill and Chance]

I'm glad this poll came out, as it should provide the state legislature with more of a reason to change their system for allocating electoral votes.

Could there be any new splitting states on the horizon, like a couple of the GOP controlled rust belt states?  This is also basically an open invitation for the Maine Democrats to retaliate the next time they get full control (2014 at the earliest).

[Tender Branson]

The new map without pbrower2a's "modifying" of certain states ...

Obama vs. Huckabee

Obama vs. Romney

Obama vs. Gingrich

Obama vs. Palin

[Tender Branson]

If trends continue, Palin will almost certainly trail Obama in South Carolina (Blacks will vote almost 100% for Obama and he'll get a good amount of Whites against her) and also Arizona, but I could see her being in a tie there.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

If Palin still runs despite it all, well, I guess I won't be surprised.

[Eraserhead]

Obama lost NE by 15 points in 2008 and that was a very strong showing for a Democratic Presidential candidate there... so wow @ these numbers. I still can't see him winning the overall state against any of them though (even Palin).

[memphis]

You guys are still using the old EV map.

[Niemeyerite]

I'll say it again: Palin is pathetic. I hope she wins the nomination.

[pbrower2a]

Obama lost NE by 15 points in 2008 and that was a very strong showing for a Democratic Presidential candidate there... so wow @ these numbers. I still can't see him winning the overall state against any of them though (even Palin).

You don't yet fully appreciate how awful Sarah Palin is. I can't think of anyone as bad who draws so much media attention as she as a Democrat, but I figure that a Democrat that bad would project to have a chance of losing California and New York. You might successfully shut her off, but you don't have your elderly parents watching GOP Pravda (FoX Newspeak Channel) with a volume suited to their weakening hearing.

Nebraska may be conservative, but it isn't crazy.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Palin 45%
Obama 44%

lol

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Palin 45%
Obama 44%

lol

[Tender Branson]

You guys are still using the old EV map.

Ahh, thx.

Where can I get a 2012 EV calculator ?

PS: I already tried to switch the number 2008 to 2012 in the image code, but nothing changed. And it is too complicated to switch to 2012 numbers now. If someone wants to create the maps, then OK ...

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Was there anything for Ron Paul?

[Stranger in a strange land]

Was there anything for Ron Paul?

He won't get nominated, though it would be interesting as an academic question.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Any reason why pbrower and Tender Branson have NE-2 as an Obama district?

Nebraska has a Republican governor and a Republican legislature. It's reasonable to assume that they will redraw the districts so that all 3 would have voted for McCain in 2008. That, or they will just revert to winner-take-all.

Besides, this poll didn't have NE-2 as down for Obama, either.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Any reason why pbrower and Tender Branson have NE-2 as an Obama district?

Because he leads all Republicans there?

[memphis]

Sure, Nebraska could be redrawn, but the current map of one Omaha district, one East Nebraska district, and one Central/West Nebraska district is the only logical way to do it

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Sure, Nebraska could be redrawn, but the current map of one Omaha district, one East Nebraska district, and one Central/West Nebraska district is the only logical way to do it

Or they could just make it winner takes all the electoral votes.