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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: February 01, 2011, 01:47:24 AM »

This week's finalists...

Here are the finalists for the two states where we'll poll this weekend. Voting is open until Thursday morning. As with last week we'll take the top two vote getters- unless neither of them has a 2012 Senate race. In that case we'll do the top vote getter and the top one that has a 2012 Senate rate. And as always if we see the same person voting for one state hundreds of times we reserve the right to disqualify it from consideration. Here they are:

-Colorado. One of the three remaining Bush/Obama states that we haven't polled yet. Interested to see if Obama's holding on in the state but beyond that would definitely need your suggestions on what to ask there without a race for Senator or Governor in 2012.

-Connecticut. Not interesting at the Presidential level but we have about 42 million permutations for the Senate race there next year that we could look at.

-Georgia. This is one of the few states Obama didn't win in 2008 that he could conceivably pick up next year- although certainly only in a landslide. Particularly interested in seeing how Gingrich's home state reacts to a potential bid. Like Colorado would need suggestions on what else to ask without a marquee down ballot race in 2012.

-Missouri. We already polled Missouri in early December but we're willing to take a look at it again already because the nature of the Senate race has really changed with Jim Talent not running and a bunch of new Republican names on the table. Also interested in seeing if the nationwide resurgence in popularity Obama had over the course of January now has him in better shape for taking Missouri next year.

-New Hampshire. Main interest here, like last week, is seeing what impact Rudy Giuliani getting into the Presidential race would have in the state. And also if the huge Republican year in the state bodes poorly for Obama's reelection prospects next year or if that was just a blip on the radar.

-New Mexico. Another of the Bush/Obama states that we haven't made it to yet although given his 15 point victory in the state in 2008 I have a hard time thinking it's going to be competitive next year, even with Susana Martinez's strong performance for Governor last year. Also a potentially interesting Senate race, particularly if Jeff Bingaman decides to hang it up.

-Washington. Maria Cantwell and Debbie Stabenow both won extremely close races against incumbents in 2000, then cruised to reelection in the Democratic wave year of 2006. Barack Obama won both of their states by about the same margin. Stabenow looks like she might really be in trouble for reelection. Is Cantwell? BTW for the purpose of keeping the survey at a reasonable length we would skip the Governor's race for now and just stay focused on President and Senate.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/01/this-weeks-finalists.html

...

I voted for Colorado, but would also like New Mexico or Georgia.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2011, 08:52:25 AM »

Colorado firstm, than Georgia.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2011, 10:10:25 AM »

I voted Georgia.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2011, 01:40:21 AM »

It is now a tight battle between Colorado, New Mexico and Missouri.

They are all within 1 point.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
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« Reply #4 on: February 02, 2011, 01:47:34 AM »

Voted for Colorado.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #5 on: February 02, 2011, 01:50:57 AM »

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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #6 on: February 02, 2011, 11:02:16 AM »

I think someone tried to hack the poll... colorado was leading yesterday, but suddenly NM took the lead and colorado went to the 3rd position. today, colorado is leading again.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #7 on: February 02, 2011, 11:40:59 AM »

I'd be interested in New Hampshire or New Mexico.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: February 02, 2011, 12:12:25 PM »

I think someone tried to hack the poll... colorado was leading yesterday, but suddenly NM took the lead and colorado went to the 3rd position. today, colorado is leading again.

These polls are hacked all the time.

I remember when Ron Paul was included in one of their previous polls, and within 1 hour his support increased by 200 votes or so ... Tongue
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #9 on: February 02, 2011, 12:20:20 PM »

I think someone tried to hack the poll... colorado was leading yesterday, but suddenly NM took the lead and colorado went to the 3rd position. today, colorado is leading again.

These polls are hacked all the time.

I remember when Ron Paul was included in one of their previous polls, and within 1 hour his support increased by 200 votes or so ... Tongue

I think it's just that Ron Paul has a cult following.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #10 on: February 02, 2011, 02:52:43 PM »

LOL, some guy from CO voted 250 times for Colorado.

The CA results are also interesting: 350 or so votes for Georgia, 300 for New Mexico and 200 or so for Washington.

All other states have single-digits numbers.

This poll is really rigged, and I could see PPP disqualifying CO, NM, GA and WA because of that.
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Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
GM3PRP
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« Reply #11 on: February 02, 2011, 02:54:47 PM »

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The Economist
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« Reply #12 on: February 02, 2011, 03:37:14 PM »

New Hampshire
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big bad fab
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« Reply #13 on: February 02, 2011, 04:11:09 PM »

Missouri, even if Colorado and NH are interesting, but currently obviously in favour of Obama, considering all his good polls.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #14 on: February 02, 2011, 04:14:54 PM »

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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #15 on: February 02, 2011, 04:26:36 PM »

 I expected more new yorkers to vote. and more or less 1/2 of people who voted are from california =S... and missouri is leading in 20 of 49 states (including DC, excluding ND and ME), while colorado only leads in 10... if the state of colorado wasn't able to vote, PPP would poll MO.
I actually think they'll finally poll MO, even if colorado wins.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #16 on: February 02, 2011, 04:28:26 PM »

and there's something strange with SD. colorado is tied with new hamsphire (2 votes), but has 67% of the vote ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #17 on: February 03, 2011, 02:28:56 PM »

Colorado and New Mexico will be polled by PPP this weekend.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/02/question-suggestions.html
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