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Author Topic: NE/PPP: Nelson heading towards Blanche Lincoln levels of support  (Read 2457 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« on: February 01, 2011, 06:01:04 pm »
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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NE_02011118.pdf

Jon Bruning (R) - 50
Ben Nelson (D) - 39

Ben Nelson (D) - 42
Deb Fischer (R) - 35

Ben Nelson (D) - 42
Pat Flynn (R) - 33

Don Stenberg (R) -  45
Ben Nelson (D) - 41

Nelson's approval is 39/50.

Bruning is the current AG, Flynn is a financial advisor, Fischer serves in the legislature, Stenberg is the former AG and current Treasurer who Nelson beat in 2000.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2011, 06:19:18 pm »
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Lucky thing Bruning can get past a primary without problems. It'll be fun to see if Nelson displaces Lincoln.
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #2 on: February 02, 2011, 11:28:41 am »
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I don't think nelson will lose as badly as lincoln. obama will be at the top of the ticket this time, and he'll get between 40 and 45% of the vote. I don't think obama will "lose better" than Nelson xD
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
RRusso1982
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« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2011, 11:52:27 am »
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My prediction: One more poll showing these results, Nelson announces he needs to spend more time with his family and is retiring.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #4 on: February 02, 2011, 03:46:16 pm »
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My prediction: One more poll showing these results, Nelson announces he needs to spend more time with his family and is retiring.

If Blanche Lincoln stuck around after a good year and ten months of unfortunate polling, Nelson has no room to complain.
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2011, 07:02:23 pm »
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My prediction: One more poll showing these results, Nelson announces he needs to spend more time with his family and is retiring.

If Blanche Lincoln stuck around after a good year and ten months of unfortunate polling, Nelson has no room to complain.

Her situation didn't get untenable till late 2009.
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Badger
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2011, 12:55:01 am »
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What were Harry Reid's numbers around 18 months ago?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2011, 12:59:34 am »
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What were Harry Reid's numbers around 18 months ago?
Nelson will not be running against Sharon Angle.
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Mjh
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« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2011, 01:22:26 am »
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What were Harry Reid's numbers around 18 months ago?
Nelson will not be running against Sharon Angle.

And Nebraska is tougher for a Democrat than Nevada.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2011, 01:48:18 am »
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What were Harry Reid's numbers around 18 months ago?
Nelson will not be running against Sharon Angle.

And Nebraska is tougher for a Democrat than Nevada.

And it will be a Presidential election year with Obama at the top of the ticket.
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bgwah
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2011, 02:33:12 am »
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Is Nelson actually running again? I thought he was retiring (and almost retired in 2006!).
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2011, 02:52:53 am »
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Is Nelson actually running again? I thought he was retiring (and almost retired in 2006!).

He's going for it, apparently.
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In Wyoming, there are two seasons.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2011, 08:28:51 am »
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What were Harry Reid's numbers around 18 months ago?
Nelson will not be running against Sharon Angle.

And Nebraska is tougher for a Democrat than Nevada.

And it will be a Presidential election year with Obama at the top of the ticket.

That's more of an advantage than a disadvantage to Nelson, seeing as how Obama did better in Nebraska than one would have expected. But I'll add my own...

Ben Nelson ain't Harry Reid.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2011, 10:46:57 pm »
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What were Harry Reid's numbers around 18 months ago?
Nelson will not be running against Sharon Angle.

And Nebraska is tougher for a Democrat than Nevada.

And it will be a Presidential election year with Obama at the top of the ticket.

That's more of an advantage than a disadvantage to Nelson, seeing as how Obama did better in Nebraska than one would have expected.

Sure, in 2008. If things are anything like they are now...
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
Lunar
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« Reply #14 on: February 05, 2011, 02:42:34 am »
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Is Nelson actually running again? I thought he was retiring (and almost retired in 2006!).

He's going for it, apparently.

He's one of the best-funded incumbents going into 2012, I'm not sure of any other ambitions he would have with the money outside of reelection ... he's already been governor of his state and it's exhausting raising that kind of dough
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olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: February 05, 2011, 07:47:56 am »
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The Dems dont have anyone to take on Bruning they might as well just write off the Dakotas and Nebraska.
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Senator PiT
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« Reply #16 on: February 06, 2011, 03:26:02 am »
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The Dems dont have anyone to take on Bruning they might as well just write off the Dakotas and Nebraska.

     Bruning's going to bring all three states in for the GOP (despite one of them not even having a Senate election this year)? Impressive.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #17 on: February 06, 2011, 03:44:08 am »
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The Dems dont have anyone to take on Bruning they might as well just write off the Dakotas and Nebraska.

     Bruning's going to bring all three states in for the GOP (despite one of them not even having a Senate election this year)? Impressive.

I had a good lol at that, my friend.
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In Wyoming, there are two seasons.
Winter and July.
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olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: February 07, 2011, 03:44:17 pm »
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I am assuming SD will fall as well in 2014
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rbt48
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« Reply #19 on: February 11, 2011, 09:27:57 pm »
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The polls have it right.  Bruning would defeat Nelson.  I doubt Stenberg would.  I think most Nebraskans are tired of him running for office.

I'd bet Nelson will run.  There really isn't a credible Democrat in the state to run in his place.  Well, perhaps if Bob Kerrey comes home, he could make a run for the seat.  That might be the best hope for Democrats.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #20 on: February 12, 2011, 07:43:33 am »
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Not only is Bob Kerrey much more progressive, he's probably a stronger candidate. I'd trade both Nebraska Senators to have Kerrey and Hagel back.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #21 on: February 12, 2011, 06:52:35 pm »
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How long has it been since Kerrey has lived in Nebraska? I thought he's been full-time in NY for ages.
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