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Author Topic: NM/PPP: Bingaman in good shape, open seat competitive if Johnson were to run  (Read 1229 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« on: February 08, 2011, 11:37:32 am »
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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_0208.pdf

Jeff Bingaman (D) - 51
Gary Johnson (R) - 40

Jeff Bingaman (D) - 57
Steve Pearce (R) - 34

Jeff Bingaman (D) - 56
Heather Wilson (R) - 37

Gary Johnson (R) - 44
Martin Heinrich (D) - 43

Martin Heinrich (D) - 53
Steve Pearce (R) - 38

Martin Heinrich (D) - 50
Heather Wilson (R) - 39

Gary Johnson (R) - 45
Ben Ray Lujan (D) - 40

Ben Ray Lujan (D) - 49
Steve Pearce (R) - 37

Ben Ray Lujan (D) - 48
Heather Wilson (R) - 40

Approvals for Bingaman are 56/27. Favorables:

Johnson - 44/32
Heinrich - 39/34
Lujan - 36/34
Pearce - 35/44
Wilson - 39/45
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2011, 11:43:15 am »
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Go Johnson!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2011, 11:49:45 am »
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Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2011, 12:19:13 pm »
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If Johnson wins, it'll be as an independent.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2011, 12:31:21 pm »
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Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 11:49:45 am
Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
Ex-Governors usually get a free shot in the primary if they go in.
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Iosif
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2011, 12:40:55 pm »
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Quote from: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on February 08, 2011, 12:31:21 pm
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 11:49:45 am
Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
Ex-Governors usually get a free shot in the primary if they go in.

Just like Mike Castle.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2011, 12:44:32 pm »
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Quote from: Iosif on February 08, 2011, 12:40:55 pm
Quote from: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on February 08, 2011, 12:31:21 pm
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 11:49:45 am
Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
Ex-Governors usually get a free shot in the primary if they go in.

Just like Mike Castle.

And Charlie Crist.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2011, 01:13:41 pm »
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I'm hoping now that Bingaman retires so that Johnson can have the opportunity to run.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #8 on: February 08, 2011, 01:27:56 pm »
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Is there even a Tea Party base in New Mexico aside from, you know, Martinez?

GO JOHNSON!
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Jbrase
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« Reply #9 on: February 08, 2011, 01:41:35 pm »
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Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 12:44:32 pm
Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
Well 1st off it's New Mexico so the evangelical's are not as strong as elsewhere. Then there is the "too socially liberal" thing, the tea partiers main focus is on fiscal issues where he fits them perfectly. If not being a social conservative was as big a deal as your making it to be then Paul would have been taken out in a primary a long time ago given his districts location.
« Last Edit: February 08, 2011, 04:15:12 pm by Pacific Councilor Jbrase »Logged
Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2011, 03:25:24 pm »
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Quote from: Pacific Councilor Jbrase on February 08, 2011, 01:41:35 pm
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 12:44:32 pm
Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
Well 1st off it's New Mexico so the evangelical's are not as strong as elsewhere. Then there is the "too socially liberal" thing, the tea partiers main focus is on fiscal issues where he fits them perfectly. If not being a social conservative was as big a deal as your making it to be than Paul would have been taken out in a primary a ling time ago given his districts location.


Heather Wilson was effectively attacked by Pearce as "too moderate" back in 2008.
 
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #11 on: February 08, 2011, 04:35:35 pm »
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Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 03:25:24 pm
Quote from: Pacific Councilor Jbrase on February 08, 2011, 01:41:35 pm
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 08, 2011, 12:44:32 pm
Even if Johnson ran, he'd never win a Republican primary. He is too socially liberal for the evangelical/teabagging crowd.
Well 1st off it's New Mexico so the evangelical's are not as strong as elsewhere. Then there is the "too socially liberal" thing, the tea partiers main focus is on fiscal issues where he fits them perfectly. If not being a social conservative was as big a deal as your making it to be than Paul would have been taken out in a primary a ling time ago given his districts location.


Heather Wilson was effectively attacked by Pearce as "too moderate" back in 2008.

Bearing in mind, that's Steve Pearce. The guy's a bit laughable.

Seems to me that the Tea Party loves Johnson, anyway, if this forum is anything to go by.
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King
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« Reply #12 on: February 08, 2011, 10:11:37 pm »
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I doubt Johnson is interested in the Senate.  Surprising how well Lujan and Heinrich do against Wilson.  I'd laugh if Pearce is dumb enough to give up his seat so he can get slaughtered statewide again.


I don't think Bingaman runs for re-election.  GOP needs to find a new name.  That's how they the Governorship. 
« Last Edit: February 08, 2011, 10:13:14 pm by L¡bertas »Logged
Lief
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« Reply #13 on: February 08, 2011, 10:14:43 pm »
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Lujan can win a statewide election? Sweet!
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #14 on: February 09, 2011, 01:17:01 pm »
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Johnson definitely would win the GOP primary. New Mexico has an open primary and a lot of Democrats/independents would cross over to vote for him. Plus, New Mexicans (Tongue) are more liberal than others around the country, including Republicans.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #15 on: February 15, 2011, 06:23:44 pm »
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Johnson wouldn't even be a lock for the primary:

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Johnson's not the choice of Republican voters when it comes to who they want to take on Jeff Bingaman in next year's Senate race either. 35% say their first pick would be Heather Wilson, followed by 27% for Johnson, 17% for Steve Pearce, 6% for Matt Chandler and Dianna Duran, and 4% for John Sanchez.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2011, 09:36:20 pm »
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GOP primary

Wilson 35%
Johnson 27%
Pearce 17%
Chandler 6%
Duran 6%
Sanchez 4%

favorability / unfavorability among GOP primary voters:

Johnson 46 / 33%
Pearce 69 / 16%
Wilson 71 / 18%
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King
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« Reply #17 on: February 18, 2011, 09:58:32 pm »
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lol Steve Pearce 17% after the voters rejected him soundly in 2008? You can see why the New Mexico is quickly turning into a Vermont-like Dem haven.
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