2016-Election Night
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  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016-Election Night
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« on: October 14, 2011, 04:44:12 PM »

BRIAN WILLIAMS: Good evening, America. Tonight, we decide our next president. Will President Obama's current rise in popularity bring Governor O'Malley to succeed him? Or will we see a return to Republican leadership under the Maryland governor's neighbor on the Atlantic, Chris Christie of New Jersey? We've seen among the closest races in recent memory, and this year dozens of states have been put into play. These two men may have broken the polarization of the Bush years in what may be the race of a lifetime. In one hour, the first states will begin to close their polling booths and send in their results, and as always we encourage you to vote.




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MRX
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2011, 05:04:05 PM »

I like I like. Let's have his second term be popular. Also have Obama abolish the fillibuster and maintain Democratic majorities in Congress. He should repeal DOMA, pass EFCA, pass DREAM Act, have real universal healthcare, ban chemical fracking, reform campaign finance and redistricting, and other stuff. Hope you take my suggestions into consideration Snow. Hey, perhaps we can tie this into BOFB on AH.com.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2011, 05:20:56 PM »

Consider this part of that if you want--Obama repealed DOMA and left it to the states (it has been legalized now in IL, MD, RI, CO, and HI since then), passed the EFCA, DREAM, and a second, smaller stimulus akin to the current (and seemingly failed) American Jobs Act. Unemployment has dropped to 6% based on October 2016 numbers.
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MRX
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2011, 05:48:55 PM »

You are referring to what is still planned for BOFB (Or what was planned) I suppose. Who knows what might happen.
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MyRescueKittehRocks
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2011, 07:57:09 PM »

Consider this part of that if you want--Obama repealed DOMA and left it to the states (it has been legalized now in IL, MD, RI, CO, and HI since then), Permabanned in IN. GOP controlled congress blocks the EFCA, DREAM, and a second, smaller stimulus akin to the current (and seemingly failed) American Jobs Act. Unemployment has risen  to 17% based on October 2016 numbers.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2011, 09:12:14 PM »

Consider this part of that if you want--Obama repealed DOMA and left it to the states (it has been legalized now in IL, MD, RI, CO, and HI since then), Permabanned in IN. GOP controlled congress blocks the EFCA, DREAM, and a second, smaller stimulus akin to the current (and seemingly failed) American Jobs Act. Unemployment has risen  to 17% based on October 2016 numbers.

Indiana banned it, but that's about it. Tongue
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2011, 11:20:25 AM »

BRIAN WILLIAMS: It is now 7:00, and now we are seeing the first states close all their precincts. Based on exit polling, we are able to project two states in the race for president. Vermont, 3 electoral votes, will be going to Governor O'Malley. Once a Republican stronghold, the Green Mountain State has moved quickly to the Democrats, and there was little doubt that O'Malley would win the state.

Kentucky, worth 8 electoral votes, has gone to Governor Christie's column. Though we're seeing evidence that many states, both red and blue, will be in play, Kentucky will be going Republican this year for president.

We also have several states we cannot call at this hour. South Carolina is too early to call; we have no results there yet, but it is likely to vote for Christie. Georgia is too close to call. Even though President Obama won there in 2012, it's still a Republican leaning state where polling has favored Governor Christie. Indiana narrowly voted for Obama in 2008 but went for Romney in 2012; it's too close to call, but once again we think Christie is more likely to win that state.

And now we turn to possibly the most important state which has closed so far, and maybe the deciding state in this election; Virginia. Once a strong state for Republicans, Obama made history by winning it in 2008 and again in 2012. O'Malley is from the state just north, of course, and has spent more money here than any other state except Florida. Christie doesn't have the same quality of organization in the state, but he's still kept it in an effective tie for this entire race.

O'Malley/Pryor: 3
Christie/Rubio: 8



Now let's turn over to Rachel, who has some projections in the Senate.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2011, 11:00:47 PM »

I really like O'Malley and can't stand Christie....hope O'Malley can pull through for the dems !
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2011, 05:33:31 PM »

BRIAN WILLIAMS: 8:00 here in New York, and now polls have closed in many more states. We'll get you those projections in a moment, but we would first like to bring a result from the state of Georgia, where 16 electoral votes will be going to Governor Chris Christie, marking the first blue state he's picked up. As we've said, it voted narrowly for the President in 2012, and this year will be going back to the Republicans. Not too unexpected, but the Democratic camp may be getting a bit worried.

And now we get to our current projections in some of these just-closed states in the East. We begin with Connecticut, a strong Democratic state which will be going as expected to Governor Martin O'Malley. That's another 7 electoral votes in his pocket.

Delaware, once the key bellwether state, has transformed into a small Democratic stronghold, and the First State will cast its three electoral votes for Governor O'Malley. Not a surprise there.

Even less of a shock in the District of Columbia, which has never voted Republican and will be continuing that streak this year again, with three votes in the Democratic column. It's not out of the realm of possibility that the Governor breaks 90% in the state.

President Obama's home state of Illinois will also be going to O'Malley. He will win the state's 20 electoral votes as expected.

Maine is the only state in the Union which splits its electoral votes. Of the total of 4, two go to the winner of the state overall, while the remaining two go to the winner of each congressional district. We are projecting that 3 of those will go to O'Malley, as he has won the state overall and will win at least one congressional district in the state. Maine's 2nd congressional district is too close to call at this hour.

In addition, we can project O'Malley's home state of Maryland, worth 10 electoral votes, for him. No surprise, and his favorite son status is just the icing on this heavily Democratic cake.

Yet another projection for O'Malley; he will win the state of Massachusetts. It's another solid blue state, and not surprisingly is going Democratic again in this election.

Breaking Governor O'Malley's streak, Oklahoma, the Boomer Sooner state with 7 electoral votes, will be voting for Governor Christie. It was among the first Southern states to swing Republican as early as the 1950s, and not surprisingly is a strong state for Governor Christie.

The final state to project is Tennessee, which will be going to Governor Christie. 11 electoral votes in another Republican stronghold in the south will be sticking with the GOP as expected. Although part of O'Malley's strategy has been to attract some more conservative "Reagan Democrats" in the South who may have voted for Clinton but have voted more Republican since, Tennessee will still be in Christie's camp at the end of the night.

In addition, we have several states we cannot yet project for either side. First on that list is Alabama. Although it's a strongly Republican state, it tends to release its results slowly, and so we may have to wait a few minutes for an official call. It's a similar story in Mississippi. Then there's a key state in this race, Florida. Christie absolutely needs Florida if he wants to win this election, which may be the reason he tapped Florida's junior senator Marco Rubio to be his running mate. It's remained a tight state, and we'll be following returns from the Sunshine state all night.

Missouri is probably a lean for Christie, but it voted for Obama in 2012 and with the exception of 2008 has voted with the winner of every election of the past 50 years. This could be another state to keep us up. New Hampshire is small--only 4 electoral votes--but that could make the difference. It's a swing state, and too close to call. Governor Christie's home state of New Jersey is also too close to call. Even though he's from there and is a relatively well-liked governor, Jersey is still a Democratic state, and has been a pure toss-up since Christie won the nomination. Just west of the Garden State is Pennsylvania, another important battleground this year. It usually votes Democratic, and just like Christie needs Florida, O'Malley absolutely needs Pennsylvania to win this election.

O'Malley/Pryor-60

Christie/Rubio-62
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MRX
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2011, 05:22:22 PM »

9 PM Ready yet?
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MRX
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2011, 11:26:18 PM »

Also, please let Christie win NJ. That would be major.
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