NH-WMUR/UNH: Romney 40% Giuliani 10% Pawlenty 7% Huck 7% Gingrich 6% Palin 6%

[Mr. Morden]

WMUR/UNH GOP primary poll of NH:

http://www.wmur.com/r/26859973/detail.html?twb

Mitt Romney 40%
Rudy Giuliani 10%
Tim Pawlenty 7%
Mike Huckabee 7%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Sarah Palin 6%
Ron Paul 5%
Donald Trump 3%
Rick Santorum 1%
Haley Barbour 1%

GE matchups:

Romney 49%
Obama 41%

Obama 44%
Pawlenty 37%

Obama 57%
Palin 34%

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[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Uni poll but it confirms what we know already. At this point Romney is the strongest candidate for NH, though I doubt he actually beats Obama at this point.

I have long said that had Rudy not adopted his Florida only strategy, and stayed in NH (where he had surged to within 1 point of Romney in early fall I think), he would have prevented McCain's last minute surge and gave Romney the NH victory. 

[Progressive]

Is it just me or is 10% going for Giuliani seemingly ridiculous?!

[Thomas D]

I think this is bad for Romney. If he only wins NH by 10 points people are going to wonder why he didn't win by more.

[King]

10% in New Hampshire? Giuliani better round the troops up! Florida might be winnable now!!

[Mr. Morden]

Is it just me or is 10% going for Giuliani seemingly ridiculous?!

Hard to know what kind of #s for Giuliani would be "reasonable", since no one else is polling him.  This same pollster included Giuliani in a NH poll last April, and found him at 11% (and third place) back then.  No one else includes him in their polls.  In early 2009, a few pollsters included him in *national* primary polls, and he was getting something like 5-10%.

[tmthforu94]

Romney is still clearly DOA. If he's only leading by Obama by 8 in New Hampshire, he may as well throw in the towel.

[California8429]

I find it amazing at the forgiveness New Hampshire has given Giuliani

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I think this is bad for Romney. If he only wins NH by 10 points people are going to wonder why he didn't win by more.

Are you talking about the primary or the general. This poll has him up by 30 in the primary and thus its hard to say this is bad sign unless you think the poll is wrong in which case your phrasing makes no sense because then it couldn't be a bad sign because the sign itself is wrong.


If you are talking the general election, if Romney is winning by 10 in NH, Obama is so unbeleivably screwed nationwide.

[Thomas D]

I think this is bad for Romney. If he only wins NH by 10 points people are going to wonder why he didn't win by more.

Are you talking about the primary or the general. This poll has him up by 30 in the primary and thus its hard to say this is bad sign unless you think the poll is wrong in which case your phrasing makes no sense because then it couldn't be a bad sign because the sign itself is wrong.


If you are talking the general election, if Romney is winning by 10 in NH, Obama is so unbeleivably screwed nationwide.

The primary.  What I mean is if I'm Romney I'm worried about the expectation game getting out of hand.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I think this is bad for Romney. If he only wins NH by 10 points people are going to wonder why he didn't win by more.

Are you talking about the primary or the general. This poll has him up by 30 in the primary and thus its hard to say this is bad sign unless you think the poll is wrong in which case your phrasing makes no sense because then it couldn't be a bad sign because the sign itself is wrong.


If you are talking the general election, if Romney is winning by 10 in NH, Obama is so unbeleivably screwed nationwide.

The primary.  What I mean is if I'm Romney I'm worried about the expectation game getting out of hand.

Yes, that is a big concern, even more so if he is the only one who contests it.