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| |-+  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  US House Redistricting: Arkansas
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Arkansas  (Read 10669 times)
Nichlemn
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« Reply #100 on: April 11, 2011, 05:10:33 am »
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Does this map reduce your credence that other state maps will be nearly as aggressive as some here have proposed? It woudn't surprise me if say, Illinois ends up drawing a fairly timid-looking gerrymander. Remember, legislators may not act in their party's best interests.
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Miles
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« Reply #101 on: April 11, 2011, 08:44:45 am »
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I hope the Democrats gerrymander the hell out of IL.
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #102 on: April 11, 2011, 05:18:49 pm »
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Does this map reduce your credence that other state maps will be nearly as aggressive as some here have proposed? It woudn't surprise me if say, Illinois ends up drawing a fairly timid-looking gerrymander. Remember, legislators may not act in their party's best interests.

Its definately a legitimate point.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #103 on: April 11, 2011, 07:11:21 pm »
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Here's the latest iteration of the map...

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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #104 on: April 11, 2011, 07:30:32 pm »
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Idiots. From a quick look it doesn't even seem like Ross is that safe if Republicans can find a top tier challenger.
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Uneducated Peon X
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« Reply #105 on: April 11, 2011, 07:34:18 pm »
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Here's the latest iteration of the map...



KILL IT WITH FIRE!!!!!!
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Miles
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« Reply #106 on: April 11, 2011, 08:04:54 pm »
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Here's the latest iteration of the map...



God damn it....
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Dgov
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« Reply #107 on: April 11, 2011, 08:13:25 pm »
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Here's the latest iteration of the map...



God damn it....

it looks like Louisiana and Arkansas are trading karma.  Dems are getting a decent map in the former, and Republicans are getting a decent map in the latter.
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« Reply #108 on: April 11, 2011, 08:21:02 pm »
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it looks like Louisiana and Arkansas are trading karma.  Dems are getting a decent map in the former, and Republicans are getting a decent map in the latter.


Nah, Jindal isn't going to let them pull any of these stunts with the 4th district.
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Miles
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« Reply #109 on: April 11, 2011, 08:33:45 pm »
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it looks like Louisiana and Arkansas are trading karma.  Dems are getting a decent map in the former, and Republicans are getting a decent map in the latter.

I agree. The final LA map could be pretty decent. The AR Dems are just screwing themselves over.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #110 on: April 13, 2011, 12:33:43 pm »
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Looks like Arkansas is getting that map. I would never have guessed a Democratic legislature would pass a map that will end up being 4-0 Republican by mid-decade.
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Meeker
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« Reply #111 on: April 13, 2011, 12:40:24 pm »
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Bizarre. Awful map for the Dems.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #112 on: April 13, 2011, 01:57:21 pm »
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Man, they must all be smoking some pretty strong stuff in the Arkansas legislature.

I mean, seriously, what were they even thinking?

What exactly is the logic behind this map?
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Miles
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« Reply #113 on: April 14, 2011, 12:11:53 am »
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Here's the latest iteration of the map...



God damn it....

it looks like Louisiana and Arkansas are trading karma.  Dems are getting a decent map in the former, and Republicans are getting a decent map in the latter.

This is apparently the final map that Beebe will sign.

The state Democrats must have some great candidates or they better hope Obama isn't reelected...

Maybe Dustin McDaniel could move to the 4th after Ross leaves.

I could see Bill Halter being competitive with Tim Griffin the 2nd.
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« Reply #114 on: April 14, 2011, 08:42:54 am »
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Here's the latest iteration of the map...



God damn it....

it looks like Louisiana and Arkansas are trading karma.  Dems are getting a decent map in the former, and Republicans are getting a decent map in the latter.

This is apparently the final map that Beebe will sign.

The state Democrats must have some great candidates or they better hope Obama isn't reelected...

Maybe Dustin McDaniel could move to the 4th after Ross leaves.

I could see Bill Halter being competitive with Tim Griffin the 2nd.

I could see the "right kind" (read: conservative white) of State Senator or State Representative being competitive against Crawford (at least for now, this may change as the state becomes more and more Republican).  I don't know that Bill Halter would be such a great candidate for AR-2, given that he ran an insurgent Senate campaign from the left in 2010 (I don't know if the challenge was viewed in Arkansas as liberal, populist, or "who cares, I hate Lincoln too").  I still think Robbie Wills could be a strong candidate here, and I'm sure the Democrats still have a bench in this district.  We're pretty much screwed in the fourth when Ross runs for Governor (as most expect him to) unless Dustin McDaniel runs (he might need to move) and even then it might be an uphill battle.  However, I suspect he'll run for Governor instead.  Plus, Obama will be on the ballot in 2012, which means that it will be even harder to pickup AR-1 and AR-2.  Basically Arkansas Democrats controlled the trifecta and produced a ridiculous dummymander.
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t_host1
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« Reply #115 on: April 14, 2011, 09:38:40 am »
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I heard it was done

so.. looks like everybody has a piece of the cooler weather and the scenery for all the campaigning stuff.

on the Halter, Wills tak'n Ar. 2 - looking forward to it.

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t_host1
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« Reply #116 on: April 14, 2011, 09:50:21 pm »
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well, I guess its not all done, done.

There is another good thing, it looks like - all districts have a play/interest in the fayettville shale, a little extra cash.
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Miles
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« Reply #117 on: April 14, 2011, 11:29:24 pm »
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I'm still super-pissed.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #118 on: April 21, 2011, 01:54:12 pm »
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Once again, SSP comes through with numbers on the new districts:

AR-01 - 58.0% McCain, 39.2% Obama; 52.3% Boozman, 42.3% Lincoln
AR-02 - 53.8% McCain, 44.3% Obama; 53.8% Boozman, 42.0% Lincoln
AR-03 - 63.9% McCain, 33.9% Obama; 68.3% Boozman, 26.0% Lincoln
AR-04 - 60.0% McCain, 37.4% Obama; 58.1% Boozman, 36.5% Lincoln
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Miles
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« Reply #119 on: August 24, 2012, 05:45:28 pm »
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BUMP

I did this while I was bored today.



Its pretty similar to the first map I made last year.

The changes:

-The third now spans the OK border, instead of the MO border in my original map. This way, the fourth can be based entirely in north-central AR, as opposed to hooking down into the Texarakana region.

-Bill Clinton's home of Hope is now in a Democratic district.

Overall, should be a pretty reliable 2-2. Something like this would have been nice...
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #120 on: May 02, 2013, 08:35:57 pm »
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Bump.  Here is 21 house districts that I made which are minority majority.



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