NM-PPP: Palin 20% Huckabee 17% Romney 16% Gingrich 13% Johnson 13%

[Mr. Morden]

PPP GOP primary poll of NM:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_0210.pdf

Palin 20%
Huckabee 17%
Romney 16%
Gingrich 13%
Johnson 13%
Pawlenty 6%
Paul 4%
Daniels 3%

If Johnson doesn't run:

Palin 22%
Huckabee 18%
Romney 16%
Gingrich 15%
Pawlenty 7%
Paul 6%
Daniels 3%

who wins....
moderates: Romney
conservatives: Huckabee / Palin tie
men: Gingrich / Palin tie
women: Palin

[Rowan]

poundingtherock has taken notice:

http://conservatives4palin.com/2011/02/even-the-daily-kos-pollster-shows-governor-palin-leading-in-new-mexico.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[DrScholl]

Clearly a very conservative primary electorate in New Mexico. If Huckabee does not run, it will be interesting to see if Palin benefits from that.

[tpfkaw]

Is NM an early primary?  I suppose it must be since Forbes won it in '96.

[Mr. Morden]

Is NM an early primary?  I suppose it must be since Forbes won it in '96.

Forbes won Arizona, not NM.  NM primary isn't until June 5th, at the very end of the process, so this poll is for entertainment purposes only.  Even if the GOP nomination race goes down to the wire, we'll surely be down to only 2 or 3 of the listed candidates by then.

[tpfkaw]

Is NM an early primary?  I suppose it must be since Forbes won it in '96.

Forbes won Arizona, not NM.  NM primary isn't until June 5th, at the very end of the process, so this poll is for entertainment purposes only.

Ah, so the image on Wiki (author: Kalwejt!) appears to be in error (and it's been so for nearly 2 years!).

[Mr. Morden]

Is NM an early primary?  I suppose it must be since Forbes won it in '96.

Forbes won Arizona, not NM.  NM primary isn't until June 5th, at the very end of the process, so this poll is for entertainment purposes only.

Ah, so the image on Wiki (author: Kalwejt!) appears to be in error (and it's been so for nearly 2 years!).

Yes, that's wrong.  Forbes definitely won Arizona:

http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1996-02-28/news/1996059030_1_buchanan-arizona-primary-dole

not NM.

[King]

This poll was done wrong.  It only asked people who identified as Republican and NM is an open primary.

With Obama unopposed, if this primary mattered in June 2012, it would be open to anybody registered to come in and vote. While the Neonazis of the NM GOP may slightly favor Palin just as the 2010 Governor race's primary polling showed Allen Weh 1-2 points ahead of Susana Martinez, the independents would likely swing it to a less offensive Johnson or Romney.

For those confused about an early NM primary, both primaries are independent of the state process and the Democrats hold their Presidential "caucus" in February while the Republicans choose June.

[California8429]

Seems odd to me, also Johnson pulls evenly from all the candidates, so him running or not really isn't a spoiler (minus Paul)

[Tender Branson]

Map:

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Gingrich -> Dark Blue
Pawlenty -> Green
DeMint -> Yellow
Thune -> Brown

[Mehmentum]

Why is New Jersey white?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Why is New Jersey white?

Romney and Huckabee were tied there.

[pbrower2a]

Map:

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Gingrich -> Dark Blue
favorite sons-> Yellow
Huckabee/Romney tie -- white

Obama won in 2008, 5% or more -> dark green

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Gingrich -> Dark Blue
favorite sons-> Yellow
Huckabee/Romney tie -- white

[RI]

Is NM an early primary?  I suppose it must be since Forbes won it in '96.

Forbes won Arizona, not NM.  NM primary isn't until June 5th, at the very end of the process, so this poll is for entertainment purposes only.

Ah, so the image on Wiki (author: Kalwejt!) appears to be in error (and it's been so for nearly 2 years!).

Yes, that's wrong.  Forbes definitely won Arizona:

http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1996-02-28/news/1996059030_1_buchanan-arizona-primary-dole

not NM.

Hem. People, definitive source on primaries is this thread. Kalwejt epically failed on that map.