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| | | |-+  PPP: Obama leads Huckabee by 3, Romney by 5, Palin by 12 and Jeb Bush by 14
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Author Topic: PPP: Obama leads Huckabee by 3, Romney by 5, Palin by 12 and Jeb Bush by 14  (Read 1196 times)
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« on: February 16, 2011, 11:28:17 am »
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http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/02/obama-vulnerable.html

Obama 47
Huckabee 44

Obama 46
Romney 41

Obama 49
Gingrich 40

Obama 48
Paul 39

Obama 52
Palin 40

Obama 50
Bush 36

Obama 48
Trump 34

Palin outperforming Jeb Bush is quite hilarious. A generic moderate Republican leads Obama by two, but clearly the GOP doesn't have a candidate like that.
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Please seek a 5150 if your candidate loses.
Dgov
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2011, 11:59:22 am »
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You forgot Obama vs. GWB:  48-44

It says something about the republican field when one of their least popular presidents (since Nixon basically) is doing better than almost all of them, and even then only doing a single point worse than Huckabee.
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Political Matrix:  +7.1, -3.83

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Likely Voter
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2011, 04:09:17 pm »
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This poll gives hope to candidates like Daniels and Huntsman. If they could ever break out and get some big attention, they could be formidable opponents to Obama.

Of course, breaking out means winning one of the first four (IA, NH, NV, SC) and that seems very unlikely unless Romney just crumbles.
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2011, 04:13:39 pm »
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GOPfail.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2011, 04:16:06 pm »
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This poll gives hope to candidates like Daniels and Huntsman. If they could ever break out and get some big attention, they could be formidable opponents to Obama.

Of course, breaking out means winning one of the first four (IA, NH, NV, SC) and that seems very unlikely unless Romney just crumbles.
Which is extremely likely if a serious challenger emerges.  His "coalition" isn't pro-Romney, it's anti-Palin.  As it stands, I would put a large amount of money on a darkhorse like Daniels or Huntsman winning the nomination.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2011, 05:44:22 pm »
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This poll gives hope to candidates like Daniels and Huntsman. If they could ever break out and get some big attention, they could be formidable opponents to Obama.

Of course, breaking out means winning one of the first four (IA, NH, NV, SC) and that seems very unlikely unless Romney just crumbles.
Which is extremely likely if a serious challenger emerges.  His "coalition" isn't pro-Romney, it's anti-Palin.  As it stands, I would put a large amount of money on a darkhorse like Daniels or Huntsman winning the nomination.

It depends.  If Huckabee or even Palin is running, then I wouldn't bet on a darkhorse. Huckabee would win Iowa (or if he isn't running, Palin would), Romney wins New Hampshire and then Nevada, and South Carolina will almost certainly go to Huckabee or Palin, depending on which one won Iowa.  There would be no room for anybody else.

If those two aren't running, then one of the unknowns going to emerge as the conservative candidate in Iowa. (much like Huckabee in 2008).
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Reading the 3012 boards dulls one's sense of irony.

Seriously. How many times can we read about the Obamachine 3000 pulling ahead of the Reagantronix QLZ in the race for Mars Mutant Colony's 48 electoral votes? Sheesh!
freepcrusher
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2011, 06:01:45 pm »
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how is huckabee doing so well? I'd think that he would get below 40 percent in WA, OR, CA, PA, NJ, MA, ME, VT, NH, CT, RI, NJ, MD, DE, VA, IL, IA, MN, WI, NV, and CO.
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-1.38, -1.38
phk
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2011, 06:17:12 pm »
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Are Republicans hardening in their preferences? This seems to be much better than before.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2011, 06:45:43 pm »
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Wow, I'm amazed (though pleasantly surprised) that The Donald is doing so poorly.
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King
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2011, 06:52:22 pm »
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Obama 48
Paul 39

Obama 52
Palin 40

Clearly Ron Paul is the only one who can beat Obama.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2011, 07:53:26 pm »
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Those are good numbers for Huckabee and Romney especially in comparison to most everything else we've seen recently.
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IDS Judicial Overlord PiT
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« Reply #11 on: February 17, 2011, 05:42:38 pm »
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how is huckabee doing so well? I'd think that he would get below 40 percent in WA, OR, CA, PA, NJ, MA, ME, VT, NH, CT, RI, NJ, MD, DE, VA, IL, IA, MN, WI, NV, and CO.

     Huckabee has charisma, which is a huge factor in winning for any candidate. If he were less extreme & Obama were less charismatic, Huckabee would be leading comfortably.
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opebo
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« Reply #12 on: February 17, 2011, 06:27:31 pm »
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     Huckabee has charisma, which is a huge factor in winning for any candidate. If he were less extreme & Obama were less charismatic, Huckabee would be leading comfortably.

It would help if he weren't so awful looking and had a better voice, better presence, etc.
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