Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: February 21, 2011, 01:51:36 PM » |
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Lugar is already dead in the water - maybe he'll switch parties or run as an Indy, though the option with a slight chance to actually win would be the former.
I need to see who exactly runs against Snowe to determine her weakness - the announced challengers so far won't stand a chance. You also need to watch how much she shifts her votes on certain issues and how much outreach she does - she's not a complete idiot like Mike Castle on this front. Maine is also a little weird and tends to be a machine state on certain things and does things just to be different in other respects.
Hatch is a talented old pro and won't fall into the Bob Bennett trap, but his situation is probably more tenuous than Snowe, if I had a guess, simply because there's many more wolves around.
And since it's mentioned, I don't know who would challenge Brown, and I really doubt any other Republican would stand much of a chance. He still remains quite popular with Republicans there being another reason - doubt he's in danger.
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