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Author Topic: Jeff Bingaman to retire  (Read 3622 times)
Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #50 on: February 20, 2011, 01:11:35 am »
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Quote from: Brandon H on February 20, 2011, 12:38:19 am
Quote from: Nichlemn on February 19, 2011, 10:49:00 pm
Might Johnson pivot back to the Senate race once he gets nowhere in the Presidential race? There's quite a lot of time left, after all.

I think Gilmore in VA did that in 2008. And then he'll lose to Richardson who pulls a Warner and run for Senate after being Governor. Smiley
Richardson is never winning anything in NM again.
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Jbrase
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« Reply #51 on: February 20, 2011, 02:50:03 am »
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Quote from: Brandon H on February 20, 2011, 12:38:19 am
Quote from: Nichlemn on February 19, 2011, 10:49:00 pm
Might Johnson pivot back to the Senate race once he gets nowhere in the Presidential race? There's quite a lot of time left, after all.

I think Gilmore in VA did that in 2008. And then he'll lose to Richardson who pulls a Warner and run for Senate after being Governor. Smiley
You'd rather have Richardson than Johnson? Sad
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King
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« Reply #52 on: February 20, 2011, 01:26:35 pm »
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Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on February 19, 2011, 09:09:15 pm
Democrats have their first candidate, and it's not Martin Heinrich. State Auditor Hector Balderas is running. He got 55% of the vote in 2010.

Woah, I actually predicted something right!

Quote from: King of Diamonds on February 18, 2011, 04:33:16 pm
While Heinrich and Lujan sound like the obvious choices, it wouldn't surprise me if State Auditor Hector Balderas ran and won.  He's the rising politician right now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #53 on: February 20, 2011, 01:34:32 pm »
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Quote from: King of Diamonds on February 20, 2011, 01:26:35 pm
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on February 19, 2011, 09:09:15 pm
Democrats have their first candidate, and it's not Martin Heinrich. State Auditor Hector Balderas is running. He got 55% of the vote in 2010.

Woah, I actually predicted something right!

Quote from: King of Diamonds on February 18, 2011, 04:33:16 pm
While Heinrich and Lujan sound like the obvious choices, it wouldn't surprise me if State Auditor Hector Balderas ran and won.  He's the rising politician right now.

Do you think the Democratic establishment will support Balderas and discourage the congressmen from running?
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« Reply #54 on: February 20, 2011, 01:53:56 pm »
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I'd be cool with Balderas, I just checked his website and his video ads are very solid for a downballot race.
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King
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« Reply #55 on: February 20, 2011, 01:59:22 pm »
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Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 20, 2011, 01:34:32 pm
Quote from: King of Diamonds on February 20, 2011, 01:26:35 pm
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on February 19, 2011, 09:09:15 pm
Democrats have their first candidate, and it's not Martin Heinrich. State Auditor Hector Balderas is running. He got 55% of the vote in 2010.

Woah, I actually predicted something right!

Quote from: King of Diamonds on February 18, 2011, 04:33:16 pm
While Heinrich and Lujan sound like the obvious choices, it wouldn't surprise me if State Auditor Hector Balderas ran and won.  He's the rising politician right now.

Do you think the Democratic establishment will support Balderas and discourage the congressmen from running?

Yes.  When Richardson was going to Commerce before the corruption scandals surfaced and whatnot, Denish was expected to select Balderas as the new Lt. Gov.   He's popular among the group.

In the playful race-based politics of NM, it all depends on whether whitey (Heinrich) wants to contest.  As usual, though, I expect the GOP primary to be far more circus like.
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Brandon H
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« Reply #56 on: February 20, 2011, 02:14:03 pm »
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Quote from: Pacific Councilor Jbrase on February 20, 2011, 02:50:03 am
Quote from: Brandon H on February 20, 2011, 12:38:19 am
Quote from: Nichlemn on February 19, 2011, 10:49:00 pm
Might Johnson pivot back to the Senate race once he gets nowhere in the Presidential race? There's quite a lot of time left, after all.

I think Gilmore in VA did that in 2008. And then he'll lose to Richardson who pulls a Warner and run for Senate after being Governor. Smiley
You'd rather have Richardson than Johnson? Sad

Hell no. Just making a joke based on what happened in Virginia.
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Senator Napoleon
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« Reply #57 on: February 21, 2011, 02:01:01 am »
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Republicans aren't winning a federal race here. I doubt they will even contest NM at the presidential level. They could always run Steve Pearce again.
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« Reply #58 on: February 21, 2011, 06:35:07 am »
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Quote from: Napoleon on February 21, 2011, 02:01:01 am
Republicans aren't winning a federal race here. I doubt they will even contest NM at the presidential level. They could always run Steve Pearce again.

Lean D? Sure. But an open seat in a D+2 state with two years to go and no obvious super candidate can in no way be thought of as anything close to safe.
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« Reply #59 on: February 21, 2011, 08:45:12 am »
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Quote from: Nichlemn on February 21, 2011, 06:35:07 am
Quote from: Napoleon on February 21, 2011, 02:01:01 am
Republicans aren't winning a federal race here. I doubt they will even contest NM at the presidential level. They could always run Steve Pearce again.

Lean D? Sure. But an open seat in a D+2 state with two years to go and no obvious super candidate can in no way be thought of as anything close to safe.

Particularly one with a popular Republican Governor/Lt. Governor, and that voted for Bush in 2004.  That doesn't scream "Safe seat" to me.
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« Reply #60 on: February 21, 2011, 08:58:43 am »
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Quote from: Napoleon on February 21, 2011, 02:01:01 am
I doubt they will even contest NM at the presidential level.
Yeah, I don't think Republicans will have an electoral slate in New Mexico either. I mean, why bother? Do Democrats run electors in Utah?

Oh wait. Not what you meant. Smiley
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« Reply #61 on: February 21, 2011, 09:51:42 am »
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I knew it would happen all along.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #62 on: March 03, 2011, 10:43:21 pm »
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Heather Wilson is running:

link
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What is your opinion of this thread?

Watch this video of Dave being briefed by the mods.

Quote from: Lunar on March 20, 2011, 10:58:04 am
Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
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« Reply #63 on: March 04, 2011, 12:23:18 am »
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Quote from: Lunar on February 19, 2011, 11:24:52 pm
Sheesh, most likely it'll be an establishmentish has-been like Heather Wilson and she'll lose to whomever the Democrats nominate.  I'm simply toying with more interesting scenarios.
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« Reply #64 on: March 10, 2011, 01:18:01 pm »
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Not so fast, Heather Wilson, Lt. Gov. John Sanchez is getting into the race.
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« Reply #65 on: March 10, 2011, 01:55:06 pm »
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This might come off as a stupid question. But assuming that Lieutenant Governor Sanchez wins the primary, to what extent will his last name help him in the General Election?
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Senator Napoleon
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« Reply #66 on: March 10, 2011, 02:05:25 pm »
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PPP needs to do some polling on this primary match up.
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Quote from: Reaganfan on Today at 12:40:33 am
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #67 on: March 10, 2011, 02:33:44 pm »
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Quote from: HenryH on March 10, 2011, 01:55:06 pm
This might come off as a stupid question. But assuming that Lieutenant Governor Sanchez wins the primary, to what extent will his last name help him in the General Election?

Not much since his opponent will probably also be Hispanic.
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #68 on: March 10, 2011, 02:59:01 pm »
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Quote from: HenryH on March 10, 2011, 01:55:06 pm
This might come off as a stupid question. But assuming that Lieutenant Governor Sanchez wins the primary, to what extent will his last name help him in the General Election?

He ran for governor in 2002, and finished with a poor result against Richardson. John Sanchez isn't the perfect GOP candidate for NM.
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Senator Napoleon
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« Reply #69 on: March 10, 2011, 03:00:58 pm »
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Quote from: JulioMadrid on March 10, 2011, 02:59:01 pm
Quote from: HenryH on March 10, 2011, 01:55:06 pm
This might come off as a stupid question. But assuming that Lieutenant Governor Sanchez wins the primary, to what extent will his last name help him in the General Election?

He ran for governor in 2002, and finished with a poor result against Richardson. John Sanchez isn't the perfect GOP candidate for NM.

Richardson was popular, after 8 years of Republican governor and Sanchez not having had much of a resume and probably not a lot of money, that race was going to Richardson no matter what. Still, I don't see Sanchez or Wilson winning in a presidential year in the "new" New Mexico, where Democrats are in a much better position.
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Quote from: Reaganfan on Today at 12:40:33 am
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« Reply #70 on: March 10, 2011, 03:32:43 pm »
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Thanks guys.

I thought Sanchez was far more of an unknown quantity than he apparently is.
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King
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« Reply #71 on: March 11, 2011, 12:06:48 pm »
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Sanchez is a nobody. Martinez didn't even bother to mention him on her campaign signs.  He's only Lt. Governor because it's ticketed and the GOP primary for it was split about 5 ways.  He doesn't have enough broad support to win a major primary or general election.
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