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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | |-+  National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2016)
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Author Topic: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2016)  (Read 130385 times)
Justice TJ
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« Reply #525 on: May 11, 2016, 07:55:13 pm »
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cool that Kasich won the Apostle Islands.   demographically, one might have guessed Trump.

The Apostle Islands are virtually uninhabited except for Madeline Island, which is vacation homes for rich liberals. The Kasich win makes perfect sense.
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Sometimes the bad guys win. Nobody 2016!
shua
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« Reply #526 on: May 11, 2016, 11:25:24 pm »
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cool that Kasich won the Apostle Islands.   demographically, one might have guessed Trump.

The Apostle Islands are virtually uninhabited except for Madeline Island, which is vacation homes for rich liberals. The Kasich win makes perfect sense.

ACS lists it as 3K pop, median household income 41K?
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Miles
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« Reply #527 on: May 13, 2016, 02:57:50 am »
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Philadelphia (Democratic):

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Sbane
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« Reply #528 on: May 13, 2016, 01:47:23 pm »
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Hmm, Clinton did much better in Northeast Philly than I thought she would.
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The Good Cub
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« Reply #529 on: May 14, 2016, 11:30:55 pm »
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Are those Sanders' pockets in Philly demographically notable? As in, are those the Latino areas or the very white areas? Or maybe are those the university areas?
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Miles
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« Reply #530 on: May 15, 2016, 03:15:56 am »
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A fair amount of empty precincts on the Republican side:

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« Reply #531 on: May 15, 2016, 02:37:22 pm »
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Are those Sanders' pockets in Philly demographically notable? As in, are those the Latino areas or the very white areas? Or maybe are those the university areas?

Almost all of the precints that Bernie won is in white neighborhoods. Hillary won every minority neighborhood by a huge margin.

Theres also a pattern that happened in NYC that happened in Philly.  Irish areas less supportive of Hillary compared to 2016 but she still won them like in NE Philly. And the Italian neighborhoods because they couldnt vote for Trump they voted for Bernie and going from strongly Clinton to 50-55% for Bernie in 2016 as a protest vote which happened in South Philly.
« Last Edit: May 15, 2016, 02:58:03 pm by ( ͡ ͜ʖ ͡) »Logged

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« Reply #532 on: May 18, 2016, 07:00:11 pm »
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Realist, where are you getting your data from Wyoming? You have counties there that were previously believed to be ties to have gone to Clinton or Sanders.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #533 on: May 19, 2016, 10:59:02 am »
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Realist, where are you getting your data from Wyoming? You have counties there that were previously believed to be ties to have gone to Clinton or Sanders.

I'm using popular vote data whereas most use delegate totals.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #534 on: May 19, 2016, 07:29:42 pm »
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I'm guessing you didn't make this, but have you seen this precinct map by party affiliation for Kentucky yet? Pretty cool. I love the starkness of the county boundaries - tells you why partisan affiliation remains the way that it does, and it's not because of laziness or whatever.
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« Reply #535 on: May 19, 2016, 08:13:17 pm »
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I'm guessing you didn't make this, but have you seen this precinct map by party affiliation for Kentucky yet? Pretty cool. I love the starkness of the county boundaries - tells you why partisan affiliation remains the way that it does, and it's not because of laziness or whatever.
Somehow when I saw it I thought it was a Sanders/Clinton map.
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President Griffin
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« Reply #536 on: May 19, 2016, 08:29:41 pm »
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I'm guessing you didn't make this, but have you seen this precinct map by party affiliation for Kentucky yet? Pretty cool. I love the starkness of the county boundaries - tells you why partisan affiliation remains the way that it does, and it's not because of laziness or whatever.
Somehow when I saw it I thought it was a Sanders/Clinton map.

It comes very close to being such, yes.
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« Reply #537 on: May 22, 2016, 01:59:47 pm »
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Official results for New York City 2016 Republican Primary by Precinct.  The NYC Board of Elections released Carson's numbers, so I've included him, too, even if his votes didn't count.  Per the standard Atlas colors, Trump is in Orange, Kasich in Red, Cruz in Yellow/Gold, Carson in Purple using standard Atlas gradation:

Manhattan:


Staten Island:


Brooklyn & Queens:


Bronx:


I've been playing around with CartoDB.com, which is where the maps come from this time instead of my usual MapWindowGIS. There is a  zoomable maps of the winner of each precinct here:
Winner Map.

I also made heat maps for each of the four candidates, showing their percentage in each precinct.  These use the standard Atlas color breaks for the respective colors of each candidate:
Trump
Kasich
Cruz
Carson

I also made two maps of the total votes cast in the Republican Primary.  This more or less correlates with where the white ethnics live in NYC:
Heat Map (7 breaks)
Bubble Map

Democratic Primary results forthcoming later this week.
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« Reply #538 on: May 22, 2016, 05:10:34 pm »
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Here's the Democratic side in NYC:

Manhattan:


Bronx:


Brooklyn & Queens:


Staten Island:


The CartoDB map is available here:
NYC Democratic Primary

I've also made CartoDB heat maps for Sanders and Clinton percentages, here:
Clinton
Sanders

The total Democratic Votes Cast per Precinct map is available here.  They looks much different than the Republican maps.  Democrats are everywhere in NYC!:
Bubble Map
Heat Map
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« Reply #539 on: May 22, 2016, 10:01:06 pm »
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cinyc, is it safe to assume most of that yellow in the Republican map is Cruz? The keys for 10-30% Trump and 50-70% Cruz look very similar.
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Clinton vs Trump Ratings

2016 Endorsements

President: Gary Johnson (L)
Senate: Uncommitted (Likely L)
House: Uncommitted (Likely L)
cinyc
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« Reply #540 on: May 22, 2016, 10:25:43 pm »
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cinyc, is it safe to assume most of that yellow in the Republican map is Cruz? The keys for 10-30% Trump and 50-70% Cruz look very similar.

Yes, the yellow/gold on the map is Cruz.  I probably shouldn't have included the 10-20% colors in the key - it's mathematically unlikely for someone to win a precinct with that low a percentage because there were no write-ins.

You can check the actual vote numbers by clicking on the precincts on the CartoDB map I linked above.  Wincode there is just the color code plus the percentage of the vote received.  (I'm still learning how to use that website - I think I added a legend to the Republican Primary Map that sort of works now).

Choosing orange, yellow and red as the three candidate colors is kind of a bad idea due to bleed, but that's what Atlas has chosen for these candidates.  Blue, yellow and red would have been better, but the field was larger at one time, and Rubio got blue (or was it green?).
« Last Edit: May 22, 2016, 10:28:32 pm by cinyc »Logged
shua
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« Reply #541 on: May 23, 2016, 12:45:08 am »
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very cool, cinyc.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #542 on: May 23, 2016, 11:38:50 am »
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An update on some of my precinct results collecting:

  • PA: 64/67 counties complete
  • FL: 66/67
  • NY: 43/62
  • KY: 110/120
  • IN: 40/92
  • RI: 5/5 but no shapefile
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« Reply #543 on: May 26, 2016, 10:25:53 pm »
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2016 Democratic Primary in Whatcom County Washington, aka the beauty pageant:

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cinyc
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« Reply #544 on: May 26, 2016, 11:06:33 pm »
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2016 Democratic Primary in Whatcom County Washington, aka the beauty pageant:



Areas that you have to drive through Canada to get back into the U.S. love Hillary.  (Point Roberts)  I wonder if she won the Northwest Angle of Minnesota  - though we'll probably never know, since Minnesota held a caucus and I doubt there was a caucus location there.
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