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| | |-+  2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Tender Branson, Big DaddyTX)
| | | |-+  Gallup national: Huckabee 18% Romney 16% Palin 16% Gingrich 9% Paul 5%
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Author Topic: Gallup national: Huckabee 18% Romney 16% Palin 16% Gingrich 9% Paul 5%  (Read 1045 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: February 23, 2011, 11:49:41 pm »
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http://www.gallup.com/poll/146300/Huckabee-Palin-Romney-Tie-Lead-GOP-Preferences.aspx



Trends since last year:



Crosstabs:


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« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2011, 06:50:56 am »
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The interesting split here is the class divide, with GOP voters splitting along income and education lines.  Palin has 21% among non-college graduates and 20% among those who make less than $90,000, but only 8% among college graduates and 8% among those who make more than $90,000.

Romney is the reverse.  22% among college graduates and 20% among >$90,000 incomes, but only 13% among non-college graduates and 15% among <$90,000 incomes.
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« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2011, 06:56:17 am »
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Nationwide polls for primaries, esspecially at this stage, are worthless by definition.
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« Reply #3 on: February 24, 2011, 10:07:18 am »
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Nationwide polls for primaries, esspecially at this stage, are worthless by definition.

Nationwide primary polls are always useless.

Palin's demographics are weird in this one.
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« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2011, 03:21:28 pm »
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Romney leading 50+ age group is the only thing interesting.  As long as no GOP candidate invigorates the youth (lol), then he might be helped by low turnout.
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« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2011, 03:31:27 pm »
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How on earth is Palin doing better than any other candidate among Liberals and Moderates?
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« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2011, 04:57:58 pm »
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How on earth is Palin doing better than any other candidate among Liberals and Moderates?

As well as those who seldom/never attend church. Strange.
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« Reply #7 on: February 24, 2011, 05:45:57 pm »
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How on earth is Palin doing better than any other candidate among Liberals and Moderates?

As well as those who seldom/never attend church. Strange.

Very small sample sizes.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: February 25, 2011, 07:07:32 pm »
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http://www.gallup.com/poll/146336/Issues-Divide-Republicans-Views-Potential-2012-Contenders.aspx



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Those focused on government spending and power are most likely to favor Huckabee or Romney, while those focused on the economy favor Romney or Palin. Republicans who say social and moral values are most important favor Huckabee or Palin.
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« Reply #9 on: February 25, 2011, 07:15:55 pm »
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LOL @ Palin leading among those who see National Security as the most important issue.
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« Reply #10 on: February 25, 2011, 07:18:07 pm »
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How on earth is Palin doing better than any other candidate among Liberals and Moderates?

As well as those who seldom/never attend church. Strange.

They want an Obama victory?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: March 04, 2011, 05:49:04 pm »
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Gallup released another crosstab for this poll, showing that Gingrich does better among Fox News viewers and Palin does worse:


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« Reply #12 on: March 04, 2011, 08:10:38 pm »
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She does better among "occasional viewers" though. I imagine occasional are looney tunes who don't even keep up on current events but claim Fox as their source when they do.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: March 04, 2011, 08:14:21 pm »
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I would assume that "frequent" Fox News viewers have (on average) higher education levels than the average GOP primary voter.  The least educated voters probably don't watch cable news (or any news) at all.
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« Reply #14 on: March 04, 2011, 08:17:02 pm »
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Palin does worse with regular viewers than either of the other groups. I wonder why.
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« Reply #15 on: March 04, 2011, 08:23:00 pm »
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Palin does worse with regular viewers than either of the other groups. I wonder why.

Like I said, GOP primary voters who watch Fox News probably have (on average) higher education levels and higher incomes than those who don't.  Palin does better among GOP primary voters with lower incomes and lower education levels.
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« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2011, 03:35:19 am »
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Palin does worse with regular viewers than either of the other groups. I wonder why.

Like I said, GOP primary voters who watch Fox News probably have (on average) higher education levels and higher incomes than those who don't.  Palin does better among GOP primary voters with lower incomes and lower education levels.


Fox News viewers are also very old, and Palin is usually stronger with younger voters than the olds.
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