Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 03, 2015, 10:24:30 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: dallasfan65)
| | |-+  The People are Angry
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: The People are Angry  (Read 1627 times)
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« on: August 24, 2014, 07:53:48 pm »
Ignore

BREAKING NEWS: JOHN CORNYN BARELY UNDER 50%, HEADS TO RUNOFF WITH STEVE STOCKMAN


March 5
In somewhat of a surprise last night, John Cornyn narrowly fell short of avoiding a runoff for the Republican nomination for the United States Senate in Texas. While the senior senator crushed his nearest challenger, quixotic U.S. congressman Steve Stockman, by more than twenty-five percentage points, he nevertheless failed to clear the fifty-percent threshold needed to win his party's nomination. Cornyn will advance to a May 27 runoff with Stockman that he is expected to win easily. Pundits on the right, including Rush Limbaugh and Glenn Beck, are pointing to Cornyn's underwhelming performance as a sign of widespread dissatisfaction with the Senator's less pugnacious style than his junior colleague, Ted Cruz.

Also heading to a runoff will be several other statewide offices, including the Republican nominating contest for Texas Lieutenant Governor as well as the U.S. Senate nominating contest on the Democratic side between wealthy dentist David Alameel and Lyndon Larouche devotee Kesha Rogers.




John Cornyn    647,969    49.45%
Steve Stockman    312,650    23.86%
Dwayne Stovall    175,063    13.36%
Linda Vega    62,373    4.76%
Others    112,296    8.57
Logged
ChairmanSanchez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18977
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2014, 07:56:34 pm »
Ignore

Interesting POD. I shall be following.
Logged

A Hybrid of Pat Buchanan and Bob Dylan.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz stole my car, embezzled my life savings, killed my parents, and raped my dog. Lois Frankel was the getaway driver.

KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2014, 10:13:59 pm »
Ignore

FLORIDA SPECIAL ELECTION TOO CLOSE TO CALL, LIBERTARIAN CANDIDATE PULLS HIGH NUMBER OF VOTES


March 12
After a shock in Texas last week, another electoral surprise this week. In a race that turned out to be just as close as many Republicans had expected and much more competitive than Democrats had hoped, Democratic congressional nominee Alex Sink holds the slimmest of leads over Republican former-lobbyist David Jolly. Libertarian candidate Lucas Overby, whom many in the media see as a protest candidate, garnered a larger-than-anticipated share of the vote in what many here in central Florida viewed as an intensely negative race.

While representatives from both the Sink and Jolly campaigns express confidence that their candidate will prevail, the National Republican Congressional Committee put out the following statement:

"Despite being heavily outspent by Democrats, when all the votes are counted David Jolly will have won in a district that President Obama carried in the 2012 election. His victory will show that voters are looking for representatives who will fight to end the disaster of ObamaCare, to get Washington to spend our money responsibly, and to put power in the hands of families and individuals."




98.5% of precincts reporting....

David Jolly        84,695    46.12%
Alex Sink          84,039    45.77%
Lucas Overby      14,893    8.11%

JOLLY   +   656   0.35%

If the margin remains within one-half of one-percent once all the votes are tabulated, Florida law will require a district-wide recount of the vote.
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 821
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: August 24, 2014, 10:38:51 pm »
Ignore

Interesting POD. I shall be following.
Logged

Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 821
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: August 24, 2014, 10:39:18 pm »
Ignore

How did you make the Texas map?
Logged

KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: August 24, 2014, 10:40:27 pm »
Ignore

How did you make the Texas map?

Saved the results image from Atlas and messed around with MS Paint.
Logged
badgate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5262


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2014, 10:40:56 pm »
Ignore

You have my attention.
Logged

Political Matrix Score
Economic: -6.32
Social: -4.17

"Hubert Humphrey must not have been considered very fun either."-Gilmore Girls
GM DKrol
dkrolga
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1835


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2014, 01:27:18 am »
Ignore

You have my attention.
Logged

GAworth
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1540
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: August 25, 2014, 01:29:53 am »
Ignore

Logged

E: -3.87 S: -1.57
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: August 25, 2014, 10:43:15 am »
Ignore

March 14


SINK VS. JOLLY RACE HEADS TO RECOUNT


With 100 percent of the precincts in Florida's 13th congressional district having reported their votes, the margin between Republican David Jolly and Democrat Alex Sink has tightened to 376 votes, or one-fifth of one-percent. Given the narrow margin, an automatic recount will occur over the next week to ensure the accuracy of the vote count. The Sink campaign and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee have stated that they will not challenge the results of the recount which many analysts expect to reaffirm Jolly's narrow win. However, many here in Pinellas county expect the drama to continue as it is all but certain that Ms. Sink, pending the results of the recount, will file to run against Mr. Jolly in November.



100% of precincts reporting....

David Jolly        85,813    46.03%
Alex Sink          85,437    45.83%
Lucas Overby      15,173    8.14%

JOLLY   +   376   0.20%



STOCKMAN RAISES $1.5 MILLION IN "GUN GRAB" MONEYBOMB

With the help of the conservative gun-rights advocacy group Gun Owners of America and the Constitutional Rights PAC, United State Representative Steve Stockman has raised over one and half million dollars in the wake of his surprise entrance into the Republican runoff for United States Senate against Senator "Big" John Cornyn. While most Republican advocacy groups and politicians have either endorsed Cornyn or remained neutral, the aforementioned groups seem to have tapped a nerve in the Republican voting base dissatisfied with more establishment flavored politicians such as Cornyn.


In the wake of this fundraising money bomb, several conservative outside groups that weren't involved in the primary are reconsidering involvement in the May 27 runoff. Representatives from the Club for Growth, the Senate Conservatives Fund, and the Madison Project have all indicated that they are taking a second look at Stockman to see if he has a path to victory. In terms of raw numbers, Cornyn leads Stockman $4.2 to $1.6 million in cash on hand.

A new Rasmussen Reports poll of the Republican Senate Runoff shows Cornyn ahead but shy of the magic fifty percent runoff threshold.


Cornyn 47%
Stockman 33%
Undecided 20%
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: August 31, 2014, 12:00:57 pm »
Ignore

March 19


ILLINOIS PRIMARY A BIG WIN FOR RAUNER, UPSET IN IL-13


In a big win last night, Bruce Rauner, easily dispatched his three rivals for the Republican gubernatorial nomination in Illinois. Rauner, a billionaire and Chicago-based businessman, rode conservative enthusiasm to trounce his closest rival, State Senator Kirk Dillard, by more than ten percentage points. Rauner, who now heads to a November general election against highly vulnerable incumbent Democratic Governor Pat Quinn, wasn't the establishment choice given his very conservative policy views. However, he will be able to tap into his vast personal fortune in an attempt to level the playing field in what is otherwise considered to be a strongly Democratic state.



100% of precincts reporting....

Bruce Rauner        365,379    45.03%
Kirk Dillard          277,097    34.15%
Bill Brady               112,381       13.85%
Dan Rutherford      56,555       6.97%

RAUNER   +   88,282   10.88%

The general election is expected to be highly negative and the campaign of Governor Pat Quinn has already released a television advertisement, criticizing Rauner for his involvement in a company that outsourced jobs to China, India, and the Philippines. For his part, Rauner has responded by calling Quinn's ad a distraction from "Pat Quinn's record as the worst governor in America."

Another Illinois race on Tuesday proved as much a shocker as Bruce Rauner's win was expected. Incumbent Republican congressman Rodney Davis narrowly lost his primary to constitutional conservative and former Miss America, Erika Harold. The race which was not expected to be competitive seemed to slip away from Davis in the final weeks and a restless conservative electorate seems to have doomed the incumbent. Ms. Harold will face Former Chief Judge of the Third Circuit Ann Callis in what is expected to be a very competitive general election.



100% of precincts reporting....

Erika Harold        25,172    49.44%
Rodney Davis          24,316    47.76%
Michael Firsching              1,426       2.80%

HAROLD   +   856   1.68%


In the primary for United States Senate, dairy magnate Jim Oberweis came within a hairsbreadth of losing the Republican primary to strategic consultant and West Point Graduate Doug Truax. The general election is not expected to be competitive as incumbent Senator Dick Durbin is viewed as the overwhelming favorite to hold his seat.



100% of precincts reporting....

Jim Oberweis        385,341    51.08%
Doug Truax          369,047    48.97%

OBERWEIS   +   16,294   2.11%
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2014, 02:22:52 pm »
Ignore

March 24


JOLLY WINS RECOUNT, WILL FACE SINK IN THE FALL



100% of precincts reporting....

David Jolly        85,791    46.02%
Alex Sink          85,449    45.84%
Lucas Overby      15,173    8.14%

JOLLY   +   342   0.18%

After a 10-day recount in Florida's 13th congressional district,  Republican David Jolly emerged victorious over Democrat Alex Sink by a narrow 342 vote margin, less than one-fifth of one-percent. Congressman-elect Jolly is expected to be sworn in Wednesday, March 27. As soon as the results of the recount were announced, the Alex Sink campaign issued the following statement:

"While Washington lobbyist David Jolly may have won this first round in his fight against Pinellas families, we look forward to continuing to challenge his record in favor of special interests over the next eight months. Alex Sink will continue to highlight the contrasts between her record and Mr. Jolly's. Alex looks forward to retiring David Jolly in November."



CLUB FOR GROWTH AND SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND ENDORSE STEVE STOCKMAN, PLEDGE TO DEFEAT 'RINO' JOHN CORNYN

Two of the leading outside spending groups on the right have just announced that they will be endorsing the underdog bid of Congressman Steve Stockman to win the Republican Senate primary runoff in Texas on May 27. The Club for Growth and the Senate Conservatives Fund have both indicated that they are preparing to spend a considerable amount of money to prevent Senate Minority Whip John Cornyn from winning renomination. Both organizations have indicated that they view Cornyn as too accommodating in his leadership style.

The Senate Conservatives Fund has already released its first ad in what it says will be a seven-figure total campaign:

NARRATOR:

"It's an election year in Texas, and John Cornyn is at it again having it both ways: trying to convince Republicans that he is one of them, while waking up every morning and working to make the America a more liberal place.
Abandoning conservatives by voting to fund Obamacare, recommending liberal judges for Obama's bench, and supporting Obama's war on the Second Amendment.
John Cornyn: just another liberal Texas can't afford."


A poll for the Club for Growth, conducted by Basswood Research March 21-23 of 600 likely Republican runoff voters showed Stockman within striking distance of Senator Cornyn.


Cornyn 45%
Stockman 39%
Undecided 16%
Logged
Dixie Reborn
BeyondTruthAndIdeals
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 821
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2014, 06:14:45 pm »
Ignore

I love where this is going Smiley.
Logged

Vega
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3785
United States


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2014, 06:17:03 pm »
Ignore

I love where this is going Smiley.

What he said.
Logged

The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: September 08, 2014, 09:54:14 am »
Ignore

March 31


HARPER POLLING RELEASES NEW POLLS OF KEY REPUBLICAN SENATE PRIMARIES



North Carolina

Tillis 21%
Brannon 19%
Harris 14%
Grant 8%
Other 6%
Undecided 32%



Nebraska

Sasse 32%
Dinsdale 14%
Osborn 25%
Undecided 29%



Georgia

Perdue 18%
Kingston 13%
Handel 10%
Broun 16%
Gingrey 15%
Undecided 28%



Kentucky

McConnell 51%
Bevin 32%
Undecided 17%



Oregon

Conger 25%
Wehby 21%
Others 8%
Undecided 46%



Texas - RUNOFF

Cornyn 46%
Stockman 35%
Undecided 19%



Iowa

Ernst 20%
Jacobs 19%
Clovis 12%
Whitaker 8%
Undecided 41%



Mississippi

Cochran 42%
McDaniel 36%
Undecided 22%



South Dakota

Rounds 48%
Rhoden 14%
Nelson 12%
Bosworth 6%
Undecided 20%



South Carolina

Graham 45%
Bright 18%
Others 15%
Undecided 22%



DSCC PROMISES MAJOR RECRUITING ANNOUNCEMENT IN KEY SENATE RACE

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee released the following statement earlier today:

"The committee will have a major announcement in a key United States Senate race tomorrow that will confirm that the committee remains faithful and successful at recruiting battle-tested and qualified candidates across the country. The committee understands the the length of the recruiting process and is doubly excited when its efforts result in major offensive opportunities.

The cryptic statement is particularly difficult to parse given that most states have already passed the deadline to accept new candidates for the primary and general election ballot. The only states with Senate races whose ballot filing deadlines have not passed and where no incumbent Democratic senator is running are Oklahoma, Tennessee, Kansas, Michigan, and Wyoming.
Logged
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4777
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: 0.35

P P P
View Profile
« Reply #15 on: September 08, 2014, 10:30:04 am »
Ignore

Probably either David Boren (OK), Dan Boren (OK) or Dave Freudenthal (WY)
Logged

Ratings

2016 House - Strongly Leaning Republican

2015/2016 Governor (Updated 6/23):
http://tinyurl.com/njc56un

2016 President (Updated 8/3):

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1OKC1m79QlrW3MSKXKxW4Ms-goKoDHlqsdfHJCWfEExA

Senate 2016 (Updated 7/12):
http://tinyurl.com/oc3yugb

#DraftBiden2016
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: September 14, 2014, 08:30:18 am »
Ignore

April 1


DSCC ANNOUNCES MAJOR RECRUIT IN NEW SENATE BATTLEGROUND




In a press conference this morning, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee issued no opening statement, but rather directed journalists attention to a projected live-stream of a podium in Nashville, Tennessee.



"I am excited to be here today to announce my candidacy for the United States Senate. Over the course of the past ten years, at least, the level of discourse and accomplishments in that great institution has reached a level so low as to be laughable. Every press conference is a chance for posturing, every vote is a chance to trap the opposing party. When I was governor of this great state, Republicans and Democrats were able to work together to close an $800 million budget gap and, in the process, effectively reform healthcare coverage and ensure access for hundreds of thousands of Tennesseans. Try finding that kind of record in the current United States Senate. The fact is that most deliberative body has sunk into pettiness and bitterness that has rendered its current unable to represent and serve their constituents. As senator, I will be both bipartisan and pragmatic because I know from experience neither party has a monopoly on truth or good ideas.

Following the conclusion of the live-stream, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee leaked the results of a poll conducted on behalf on the DSCC by the Mellman Group.




Phil Bredesen 44%
Lamar Alexander 44%

Phil Predesen 45%
Joe Carr 38%


This announcement is sure to shake up what was otherwise expected to be a noncompetitive general election in Tennessee. While Senator Lamar Alexander faces a primary against State Representative Joe Carr, the winner of that contest was expected to be the overwhelming favorite in November. The entrance of the extremely popular former governor dramatically alters the electoral calculus and ensures an interesting election season in the Volunteer state.


Later this afternoon the Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee issued the following statement:

We welcome Governor Bredesen to this race and look forward to his explanation for his continued support for President Obama during and after his tenure as governor. Make no mistake, a Senator Bredesen would be a rubber stamp for the President's agenda and another vote to keep Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader.
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2014, 10:35:45 am »
Ignore

April 3


UPDATED SENATE RATINGS MAP PORTENDS COMPETITIVE NOVEMBER



Republicans + 4

Democrats 48  Republicans 49  Undecided 4

After Tuesday's dramatic announcement that former Governor Phil Bredesen of Tennessee would be running for US Senate in that state, the Senate Big Board map has been updated to reflect that reality. Currently there are 12 senate races rated as competitive (leaning, tilting, or pure tossup). Only 3 of these senate seats are currently held by the Republican party, while 9 are held by Democrats. An additional 6 seats are rated as likely to the favored party, by have the potential of becoming competitive. See below for the race breakdown.


Safe Republican
Alabama
Idaho
Maine
Nebraska
Oklahoma
Oklahoma - Special Election
South Carolina
South Carolina - Special Election
Texas
Wyoming


Likely Republican
Mississippi
Montana


Lean Republican
Georgia
Kentucky


Tilt Republican
Arkansas
Tennessee


Pure Tossup
Louisiana
Michigan
North Carolina


Tilt Democratic
Alaska
Colorado
Iowa


Lean Democratic
Minnesota
New Hampshire


Likely Democratic
New Mexico
Oregon
Virginia


Safe Democratic
Delaware
Hawaii
Illinois
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Logged
KCDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1934


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: November 26, 2014, 05:07:52 pm »
Ignore

(It's back!!!!)


April 23


Tea Partier wins Florida Special Election Primary in Rout



Curt Clawson     33,657     47.94%

Lizbeth Benacquisto     16,286     23.20%
Paige Kreegel           16,042          22.85%
Michael Dreikorn         4,226        6.02%
 

Tea-Party backed businessman Curt Clawson won the Republican primary last night to run in the June 24 special election to succeed scandal-tarred incumbent Congressman Trey Radel. Clawson's strong margin underscored the Tea Party's continued relevance this election cycle as competitive senate primaries appear on the Horizon. The general election in this district is not expected to be competitive as Mitt Romney won 61% of the vote in this district in the 2012 Presidential election.
Logged
Enderman
Jack Enderman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3301
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: November 26, 2014, 05:16:22 pm »
Ignore

It's Back! Cheesy
Logged
Brodie Hellenes
Newbie
*
Posts: 12
United States


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: November 26, 2014, 06:08:08 pm »
Ignore

Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines