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April 18, 2015, 02:22:18 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Bacon King, Dallasfan65)
| | |-+  What if the financial crisis happened in Sept. 2007?
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Author Topic: What if the financial crisis happened in Sept. 2007?  (Read 109 times)
TheElectoralBoobyPrize
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« on: April 17, 2015, 08:41:05 pm »
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Would it have changed much? I have to think it would've been even worse for the GOP. Unemployment probably would've peaked at 10% right around Election Day. I assume TARP and some type of stimulus still would've happened, but the latter would've taken a different form given that R's had the White House and 49 Senate seats.

Would McCain have still been the nominee? The GOP may have looked for someone with more expertise on economic issues. On the other hand, the nomination would've been seen as so worthless (even more so than IRL) that maybe no one would have challenged him. I doubt Romney would be a serious candidate in this scenario.

I don't think the 2010 midterms would be as bad for the Democrats because unemployment would have begun to fall by then...maybe the Republicans don't even win the House.

I think Obama's reelection is a shoo-in.
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Blue Collar Communist
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« Reply #1 on: Today at 01:02:34 pm »
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Obama wouldn't be the Democratic nominee, because Democratic Party voters are probably going to go with someone who they think is experienced enough to guide the country through the crisis and/or someone with some populist street cred. My guess is that Obama wouldn't even be the go-to choice for liberals - it'd be John Edwards.

Edwards and Clinton (who fakes populism like there's no tomorrow) duke it out and Edwards' sex scandals probably do him in and allow Hillary to win the nomination.

On the Republican side, this probably gives a big boost to Huckabee, although I could still see McCain as the nominee. Either way, the Democrats win by an even larger margin, as now they have an entire year to hit the Republicans not just for their foreign policy failures, but also a massive economic crisis. Nader might get 1 percent of the vote.
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« Reply #2 on: Today at 01:05:20 pm »
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My best guess.
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vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #3 on: Today at 02:10:19 pm »
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My best guess.
Wait, losing IN but winning TN, WV, and KY?
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tara gilesbie
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« Reply #4 on: Today at 02:20:28 pm »
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My best guess.
Wait, losing IN but winning TN, WV, and KY?

Hillary Clinton is the candidate in the scenario.
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“I MAY BE A HOGWARTS STUDENT….” Hargirid paused angrily. “BUT I AM ALSO A SATANIST!”

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