Comparing 'final' polling firm predictions in 2010 generic race
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  Comparing 'final' polling firm predictions in 2010 generic race
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CARLHAYDEN
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« on: February 25, 2011, 07:28:04 AM »

At http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/, they have a listing of 17 polling firms final predictions on the 2010 congressional (House) elections.

Republicans had a 6074% margin over Democrats (BallotAccessNews), and here is what the firms predicted (margin of Republican victory)

The Good:

Opinion Dynamics          7
Greenberg                     7
Tarrance                        6

Reasonable:

DCJ Research                9
Zogby                            5

Absurd:

PRSA/Pew                   - 1
Roper                          - 1
TNS                             - 4
Knowledge Networks - 5
Marist                         - 6

I was a little surprised how bad Marist did, but not at all surprised by PRSA, Roper, TNS of 'Knowledge Networks'

Other firms (Not Absurd, but not too good)

Rasmussen
Gallup
Selzer
Polimetrix
Hart
ORC



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Smash255
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2011, 03:36:05 AM »

At http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/, they have a listing of 17 polling firms final predictions on the 2010 congressional (House) elections.

Republicans had a 6074% margin over Democrats (BallotAccessNews), and here is what the firms predicted (margin of Republican victory)

The Good:

Opinion Dynamics          7
Greenberg                     7
Tarrance                        6

Reasonable:

DCJ Research                9
Zogby                            5

Absurd:

PRSA/Pew                   - 1
Roper                          - 1
TNS                             - 4
Knowledge Networks - 5
Marist                         - 6

I was a little surprised how bad Marist did, but not at all surprised by PRSA, Roper, TNS of 'Knowledge Networks'

Other firms (Not Absurd, but not too good)

Rasmussen
Gallup
Selzer
Polimetrix
Hart
ORC






PEW was -1 RV, but LV was +6
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