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Author Topic: 2012 Elections and On  (Read 10945 times)
GPORTER
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« on: March 13, 2011, 03:12:42 pm »
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 Obama had seen his party do not quite as bad as predicted in the 2010 mid term elections. The republicans picked up forty-seven seats in the house and retook their majority there. However, in the senate, republicans picked up seats in Kentucky, Indiana, and North Dakota. However, some key headline races mostly all went to the democrats.

Since the mid term elections, President Obama has faced some natural disasters around the world and some threats at home. Earthquakes in among other places Haiti and Japan...as well as tsunamis for the first time in recent memory on American soil, in Hawaii and California. President Obama has been giving aid to California govenor Jerry Brown to help rebuild the damaged parts of California. Obama has also been spending time working with the Hawaii government doing the same thing. The congress has been working with Obama in helping pass federal aid packages to these areas that are in need.

With an Iraq War resolution, the war there has come to an end. General elections in a democracy form have been scheduled for late in the American fall presdiential campaign. President Obama says that the world will happily be watching as these Iraqi voters share their voices in freedom. The Afghanastan War continues to go on as Presdient Obama says that our mission there is still not done. On the economy, President Obama, shortly after the mid term elections, agreed to work with congress for an extension of the Bush tax cuts. The unemployment rate stands at 8.9% as Obama enters his reelection campaign.
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GPORTER
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2011, 03:22:38 pm »
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President Obama went without a challenger in the race for the democratic presidential nomination in 2012. Obama easily secured the needed delegates to be renominated as President of the United States of America. Obama also announced that Joe Biden would remain as his running mate in the fall campaign. Obama expressed full confidence in Biden as vice president and said that he looked forward to working with him again for another four years.

On the republican side, a wide field of candidates from all different places included the following names...Mitt Romney, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Judd Gregg, Fred Thompson, Richard Burr, Trey Grayson, John Thune. John Hoeven, Ron Paul, Sharron Angle, Christine O'Donnell, Carly Fiorina, Ken Buck, and Zach Wamp...this wide field of fifteen candidates all entered the ring for a chance to face Barack Obama in the 2012 fall campaign.

The campaign was an entertaining and electric roller coaster ride for this field of candidates. Many of the candidates performed very poorly, there were only a few really strong contenders. When it was all said and done three remained...Mitt Romney, Judd Gregg, and Richard Burr. On the day after the last primaries were complete, the map looked like the following...


Delegate Count
Judd Gregg: 1, 240
Mitt Romney: 943
Richard Burr: 356
1, 270 needed to win

More to come...I welcome your comments
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hawkeye59
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« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2011, 04:21:56 pm »
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Obama had seen his party do not quite as bad as predicted in the 2010 mid term elections. The republicans picked up forty-seven seats in the house and retook their majority there. However, in the senate, republicans picked up seats in Kentucky, Indiana, and North Dakota. However, some key headline races mostly all went to the democrats.

Since the mid term elections, President Obama has faced some natural disasters around the world and some threats at home. Earthquakes in among other places Haiti and Japan...as well as tsunamis for the first time in recent memory on American soil, in Hawaii and California. President Obama has been giving aid to California govenor Jerry Brown to help rebuild the damaged parts of California. Obama has also been spending time working with the Hawaii government doing the same thing. The congress has been working with Obama in helping pass federal aid packages to these areas that are in need.

With an Iraq War resolution, the war there has come to an end. General elections in a democracy form have been scheduled for late in the American fall presdiential campaign. President Obama says that the world will happily be watching as these Iraqi voters share their voices in freedom. The Afghanastan War continues to go on as Presdient Obama says that our mission there is still not done. On the economy, President Obama, shortly after the mid term elections, agreed to work with congress for an extension of the Bush tax cuts. The unemployment rate stands at 8.9% as Obama enters his reelection campaign.
I didn't know that Jim Bunning was a Democrat.
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My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair.  So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And we’ll change the world.- Jack Layton (1950-2011)
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« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2011, 04:37:18 pm »
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On the republican side, a wide field of candidates from all different places included the following names...Mitt Romney, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Judd Gregg, Fred Thompson, Richard Burr, Trey Grayson, John Thune. John Hoeven, Ron Paul, Sharron Angle, Christine O'Donnell, Carly Fiorina, Ken Buck, and Zach Wamp...this wide field of fifteen candidates all entered the ring for a chance to face Barack Obama in the 2012 fall campaign.


You do know that the only person who will run is Romney. Wheres Gingrich,Santorum,Barbor,Cain,Roemor, and Huntsman?  Hunter, Gregg, Brownback, Thune, and Thompson wont run. Fiorina? Angle? Buck? Really?
This field is not exactly realistic.
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2011, 12:46:16 pm »
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Since the end of the primary season, Gregg, Romney, and Burr continued to campaign across America. However, this time, not against eachother, but against Obama. The question that many political analyists were asking was when would Burr drop out and who would he endorse?

On June 28th 2012, the answer came. Judd Gregg held an event in North Carolina and was joined by Richard Burr. The two announced together that Burr would be suspending his campaign and asking his delegates to vote for Gregg at the republican national convention. Judd Gregg would be the republican nominee for President of the United States of America in the 2012 general election. Later that day, Mitt Romney announced that he was dropping out and endorsing Judd Gregg for President.

Gregg campaigned with different leaders in the republican party across the nation. At the republican national convention in Miami, Gregg was nominated unamiously for President. Gregg announced a week before the convention that Richard Burr would be his running mate in the fall election. Burr was also easily nominated. Former senator Gregg gave a strong acceptance speech and the republican party left the convention united.

Judd Gregg held a six point lead in the polls over Barack Obama. But, the campaign had just begun...more to come...
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2011, 03:40:04 pm »
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Gregg/Burr would be a good ticket if Gregg learned how to pay his taxes.
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2011, 04:44:04 pm »
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Gregg/Burr would be a good ticket if Gregg learned how to pay his taxes.

I would like Daniels/Burr better
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2011, 04:48:08 pm »
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Gregg/Burr would be a good ticket if Gregg learned how to pay his taxes.

I would like Daniels/Burr better

I wrote a timeline involving a Daniels/Burr ticket in 2012. Never put it online, though.
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2011, 07:41:01 pm »
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Gregg/Burr would be a good ticket if Gregg learned how to pay his taxes.

I would like Daniels/Burr better

I wrote a timeline involving a Daniels/Burr ticket in 2012. Never put it online, though.

That would be interesting to see
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GPORTER
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« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2011, 11:03:42 am »
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Polling between the republican and democratic national convention:

Strong Gregg: 160
Lean Gregg: 67
Strong Obama: 161
Lean Obama: 52
Undecided: 98
270 needed to win

Obama/Biden: 43%
Gregg/Burr: 47%
Undecided: 10%
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GPORTER
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« Reply #10 on: March 16, 2011, 09:50:31 am »
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Comments?
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GPORTER
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« Reply #11 on: March 16, 2011, 12:51:35 pm »
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The democratic national convention proved to be a success for the democratic ticket. President Obama had had quite a four years. He came into office with the worst financial crsis since Jimmy Carter. He has tried to pull the country out of it, and while little improvement has been made, the situation is still anything but good.

President Obama has also faced natural disasters both at home and abroad... from the oil spill off of the Florida coast to tsunamis and earthquakes around the world. President Obama has done his best to bring people together through these crisises and work together with them to help recover.

Now, as President Obama entered the reelection year, his prospects looked pretty good but still not solid. Both Mitt Romney and Judd Gregg were competetive with Obama in the public opinion polling. So, it would not be an easy campaign and one that Obama could loose.

The democratic national convention in Charlotte featured some highlighted entertainment and a vast array of speakers. These speakers included past and present party leaders as well as members of congress, govenors, and of course President OBama. Both Biden and Obama were renominated by acclamation. Presdient Obama gave a well received acceptance speech highlighting the successes of the first term and what he wanted to do in the future.

President Obama got a convention bounce that put him back in the lead over Judd Gregg...


Obama/Biden: 46%
Gregg/Burr: 44%
Undecided: 10%

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GPORTER
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« Reply #12 on: March 16, 2011, 01:35:28 pm »
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The first presidential debate was on domestic affairs. Former senator Gregg came out and attacked the President on his lack of an economic recovery. President Obama attempted to defend his progress with the war. But, Gregg continued to come out swinging.

At the end of the night, President Obama was seen as the looser in the presidential debate. Gregg won the debate 43-37-with the rest undecided. President Obama suffered in the polling as well.

Polling after the first debate:
Obama/Biden: 45%
Gregg/Burr: 46%
Undecided: 9%
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GPORTER
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« Reply #13 on: March 16, 2011, 01:47:06 pm »
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CNN POLITICAL ANALYSIS
Wofl Blitzer: Live from the situation room with this new polling. With a lackluster debate performance, President Obama has fallen behind senator Gregg in the public opinion polls. Mary, what can this roller coaster campaign mean for the two candidates?

Mary Mattlin: Well, Wolf when you look at these polls again...there is really not much of a change from the polls going out of the democratic national convention. However, these polling could change over time depending on how Presdient Obama does in the up and coming two debates along with the vice presidential debate.

Wolf Blitzer: Now, James Carville, Mary is saying that there is not much change in the polling, but apparantly according to the toal percentages there is...

James Carville: Both of you are right in a sense. There is some change in the margins in different particular states. For example, in the republican heartland of the south and mountain west, the Gregg lead is growing. President Obama should probably not bother to seriously campaign there at all...atleast not now. And in states where Obama has been leading pretty consistentally, those margins have dorpped some but not enough for them to move away from him...atleast not yet.

Wolf Blitzer: So Mary do you agree with that?

Mary Matlin: I do...I think as of right now, the election is too close to call, but with a lean towards Obama even though the polls do not express that.

Wolf Blitzer: So if you had to call the election today, who do you think would win?

Mary Mattlin: Obama

James Carville: Obama

Wolf Blitzer: We will be back later
« Last Edit: March 16, 2011, 01:56:01 pm by GPORTER »Logged

GPORTER
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« Reply #14 on: March 16, 2011, 02:02:40 pm »
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In a townhall debate on both domestic and foriegn policy, the two candidates again performed well. However, this debate seemed to be a draw between the two candidates.

Neither candidate disappinted and neither candidate seemed to be the clear winner.

Polling after the second debate...

Polling:
Obama'Biden: 45%
Gregg/Burr: 47%
Undecided: 8%
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GPORTER
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« Reply #15 on: March 16, 2011, 02:16:00 pm »
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Some senate races that are being watched are the following...

In Missouri, incumbent democratic senator Claire McClaskill is running for reelection against former GOP senator Jim Talent. Will McClaskill defeat Talent like she did in 2006? The race is too close to call.

In Nevada. John Einsign is in a tough race for reelection against Richard Shelley, a democratic representative from that state. Shelley has a lead in the polls.

In Massachussetts, Scott Brown faces a stiff challenge from Vikki Kennedy. Brown began the race with a ten point lead but Kennedy is closing the gap quickly. This race is seen as lean republican.

In Montana, Jon Tester is having a tough time with republican John Daines.
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« Reply #16 on: March 16, 2011, 03:15:42 pm »
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Good so far IMO
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GPORTER
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« Reply #17 on: March 17, 2011, 09:36:06 pm »
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New polls out just before the vice presidential debate shows Gregg widening his leadin the polls. The final two debates could be critical. Gregg leads in Florida, a critical battleground state, Gregg leads by two in Ohio, and Obama is ahead by one in Pennsylvania. Obama is also ahead by one in Colorado, and Gregg leads by three in Wisconsin. What does this come down to? A very close election as it seems to be...however, it would not take much for either candidate to run away with it in the end.
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« Reply #18 on: March 17, 2011, 09:37:47 pm »
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Hopefully Gregg at least takes New Hampshire.
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« Reply #19 on: March 17, 2011, 09:43:19 pm »
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Good, though I'd think Gregg would still be leading Obama in NH, especially if he is widening his lead nationally.
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Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff
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« Reply #20 on: March 17, 2011, 09:46:47 pm »
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In the vice presidential debate, Burr came off as the winner in this debate. Vice President Biden came off as older, stressed, and tired. Burr brought a sense of humor and a few one liners. The White House braced themselves after the debate and Burr was pleased as was the rest of the Gregg/Burr campaign.

Polls following the debate:


Obama/Biden: 44%
Gregg/Burr: 51%
Undecided: 5%

I guess that the headline of that is that for the first time in the campaign, Gregg crosses the fifty percent mark in a public opinion poll...
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GPORTER
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« Reply #21 on: March 19, 2011, 06:19:00 pm »
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President Obama showed some weakness between the vice presidential debate and the final presidential debate. Obama and Biden continued to campaign in some of the swing states and some of the south.

Gregg and Burr saw a lot of enthusiasm on the campaign trail as they campaigned in swing states...basically only that. They are trying to only focus on those and remind people that polls are only polls. They still have to work to get out the vote.

The polls before the final presidential debate:
Obama/Biden: 44%
Gregg/Burr: 50%
Undecided: 6%

In the third and final presidential debate, President Obama gave a stronger performance...Gregg still made good points but Obama came out narrowly as the winner in this final meeting before the two candidates before election day. Obama made headlines with the conclusion of his closing statement...

"...and when it comes down to it, we will fight every day for you the American people and this cannot end now, it cannot...there is too much left to be done...& I ask you if not us who?...if not now when?..."
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« Reply #22 on: March 19, 2011, 09:43:55 pm »
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This might be your best TL I have read
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GPORTER
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« Reply #23 on: March 19, 2011, 10:36:45 pm »
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Right now the election night 2012 presidential map looks like the following...

Thats right because election day has not come yet and no polls have closed...that is the way the map looks...but how do you think the election map will look?...how do you the readers believe that the map will look like?...discuss with maps...
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GPORTER
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« Reply #24 on: March 20, 2011, 02:44:07 pm »
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Some final notes on the end of the campaign...

Since the third presidential debate, Obama has been seeing an increase in enthusiasim and the polls are beginning to close, but still Obama has not caught up to Gregg in the polling. The final polls going into election day look like the following 48-44-8. Gregg leads by four in the polling. The first few debate performances hurt Obama, especially the first and the vice presidential debate. However, Obama has been recovering...will it be enough...

With the senate races...

Vikki Kennedy has made a comback over Scott Brown in Massachussetts to hold a six point lead over the incumbent republican. Brown announced publically a week before the election that he was sexually abused as a child. Is just a honest senator or a desperate campaign tactic? The results will give the answer.

Another democratic comeback story is Missori...Jim Talent, former republican Missouri senator, leads democrat incumbent Cliare McClaskill by one point,,,this race is too close to call.

In Virgnia, former democratic govenor Tim Kaine leads former republican senator George Allen by three points. That race could be rural republican turnout vs suburban democratic turnout...which one will prevail?...again the results will tell...

In Arizona, with Jon Kyl retiring, Ben Quayle leads Gabrielle Giffords in the race for the united states senate. In Indiana, Richard Lugar survived a tough primary and is looking at an easy reelection victory. In New Mexico, former democratic govenor Bill Richardson leads his republican opponent for the senate. And in Nevada, Jon Einsign trails his democratic opponent by six points.

Places like Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Ohio, West Virgnia, Washington,

 California...these are states where republicans are scrambling to find a glimor of hope in the final days of the campaign. Democrats have solid leads in all eight of these states.

Wisconsin between congressman Paul Ryan and former democratic senator Russ Feingold is also too close to call with a narrow Ryan lead...that is another race to watch...

Election night will begin next...
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