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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition  (Read 44212 times)
Governor TJ
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« Reply #650 on: March 16, 2012, 02:33:36 pm »
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Some quick numbers on the districts from the DRA (note the "avg" is close to a net of 52% Republican for the state so it's skewed):

SD-13 (Fitzgerald) McCain 50.9-47.8 "Avg" 62.6% Republican
SD-21 (Van Wanggard) Obama 55.3-43.4 "Avg" 54.2% Republican
SD-23 (Moulton) Obama 55.1-43.0 "Avg" 56.0% Republican
SD-29 (Galloway) Obama 53.4-44.7 "Avg" 57.0% Republican
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #651 on: March 16, 2012, 03:06:29 pm »
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Since these are "just another election" where anyone can file and challenge the incumbent, can another Republican just declare for Galloway's seat, or does the resignation cancel the recall since Galloway is gone, with Galloway being replaced by a special election?
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« Reply #652 on: March 16, 2012, 03:22:34 pm »
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Since these are "just another election" where anyone can file and challenge the incumbent, can another Republican just declare for Galloway's seat, or does the resignation cancel the recall since Galloway is gone, with Galloway being replaced by a special election?
The GAB says the recall will go on ahead just without her, and yes I am pretty sure any republican can file to run. Though I am not sure how you recall someone who is no longer there... so I wouldn't be shocked if the recall gets cancelled and a special election happens instead.
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« Reply #653 on: March 17, 2012, 07:24:14 am »
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Wait, is there any difference?
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« Reply #654 on: March 19, 2012, 05:00:22 pm »
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A couple more recalls of Republican Senators are being considered... by a right-wing group annoyed with their vote against a mining bill.
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« Reply #655 on: April 17, 2012, 04:27:06 pm »
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PPP/DK polling:

Quote
SD-21 (MoE: ±3.9%):

    John Lehman (D): 46
    Van Wanggaard (R-inc): 48
    Undecided: 5

SD-23 (MoE: ±3.6%):

    Kristin Dexter (D): 41
    Terry Moulton (R-inc): 51
    Undecided: 8

SD-29 (MoE: ±3.6%):

    Donna Seidel (D): 37
    Jerry Petrowski (R): 51
    Undecided: 12

SD-13 (MoE: ±3.5%):

    Lori Compas (D): 40
    Scott Fitzgerald (R-inc): 54
    Undecided: 6
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krazen1211
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« Reply #656 on: April 17, 2012, 06:29:32 pm »
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Clean and easy GOP sweep. Too bad for Randy Hopper's mistress.


The union buster Scott Walker will be vindicated by the populace.
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« Reply #657 on: April 18, 2012, 11:48:06 am »
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If that's the case then the populace has collectively lost its mind, but we've established that that's the case in this country long since so I'll just ask: Why exactly do you expect Van Wanggaard's race to be 'easy'?
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« Reply #658 on: April 18, 2012, 11:55:39 am »
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If that's the case then the populace has collectively lost its mind, but we've established that that's the case in this country long since so I'll just ask: Why exactly do you expect Van Wanggaard's race to be 'easy'?

That district of course is a heavily GOP district in redistricting, but even the current district is only as Democratic as others that were already won by the GOP in prior recalls. Scott Walker is handily leading in that district 51-44.

The Wisconsin Senate is out of session in any case. The GOP has 2 very winnable districts ahead especially with Holperin retiring.
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« Reply #659 on: April 18, 2012, 01:05:30 pm »
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I told people these recalls were a waste of money even before the last round of semi-failure...this just gives Walker a claim to a stronger mandate and makes us look weak.
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« Reply #660 on: April 18, 2012, 01:37:49 pm »
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PPP/DK polling:

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SD-21 (MoE: ±3.9%):

    John Lehman (D): 46
    Van Wanggaard (R-inc): 48
    Undecided: 5

SD-23 (MoE: ±3.6%):

    Kristin Dexter (D): 41
    Terry Moulton (R-inc): 51
    Undecided: 8

SD-29 (MoE: ±3.6%):

    Donna Seidel (D): 37
    Jerry Petrowski (R): 51
    Undecided: 12

SD-13 (MoE: ±3.5%):

    Lori Compas (D): 40
    Scott Fitzgerald (R-inc): 54
    Undecided: 6


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krazen1211
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« Reply #661 on: April 20, 2012, 01:18:09 pm »
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The GOP has a new improved candidate for the 18th district which was lost due to Randy Hopper's mistress.

http://rickgudexforsenate.com/

In addition of course in the unlikely even that the GOP loses the 21st the Democrat can be promptly recalled in a year's time.
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« Reply #662 on: April 23, 2012, 11:16:56 am »
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Since these are "just another election" where anyone can file and challenge the incumbent, can another Republican just declare for Galloway's seat, or does the resignation cancel the recall since Galloway is gone, with Galloway being replaced by a special election?
The GAB says the recall will go on ahead just without her, and yes I am pretty sure any republican can file to run. Though I am not sure how you recall someone who is no longer there... so I wouldn't be shocked if the recall gets cancelled and a special election happens instead.

1) The "recall" election can't "go away" from a resignation
2) you can't "recall" someone who has resigned.
3) you hold a "Special Election" in the event of a resignation
4) You should than hold a "Special Election" on the date (if easier) of the scheduled recall.
5) The Doyle appointed GAB will call this obvious "special election" a "recall" because they have managed to screw up an amazing number of easy things.  There is no real difference though.   
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« Reply #663 on: April 25, 2012, 10:41:27 am »
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The GOP has a new improved candidate for the 18th district which was lost due to Randy Hopper's mistress.

One of three city council members in a village of 687 people, cool.
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Governor TJ
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« Reply #664 on: April 25, 2012, 01:22:59 pm »
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The GOP has a new improved candidate for the 18th district which was lost due to Randy Hopper's mistress.

One of three city council members in a village of 687 people, cool.

Is he scandal-ridden? If not then he's an improvement.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #665 on: June 04, 2012, 05:28:32 pm »
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I guess I'll bump this thread, even though these recalls have had zero press.
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #666 on: June 04, 2012, 05:33:22 pm »
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Where are the four districts located and are there any new polls for them?


How has the open seat and Van Wanggarrd's races been progressing this past month and some change?
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #667 on: June 04, 2012, 09:55:37 pm »
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Where are the four districts located and are there any new polls for them?


How has the open seat and Van Wanggarrd's races been progressing this past month and some change?

Van is probably slightly ahead in his Racine county district.

Fitzgerald will cruise easily.

The other two, in north west Wisconsin, I have no idea what is going on.  Maybe lean GOP.

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« Reply #668 on: June 05, 2012, 10:21:29 pm »
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Walker will end up with more votes that the 1,128,941 that he received in the 2010 General Election.  Barrett won't get much more that 950,000.  He had 1,004,303 in 2010.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #669 on: June 05, 2012, 10:34:51 pm »
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I told people these recalls were a waste of money even before the last round of semi-failure...this just gives Walker a claim to a stronger mandate and makes us look weak.
No, this means that DNC doesn't care about fortunes of many people.
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rbt48
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« Reply #670 on: June 05, 2012, 10:41:49 pm »
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It looks like Senate District 21 will determine if the State Senate is 17R - 16D or visa versa.  The Racine County district has the Republican leading 62 to 38 with about 22% of the precincts reporting.  AP has not yet called the race.
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Meeker
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« Reply #671 on: June 05, 2012, 10:53:15 pm »
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Comparing the precincts in that are in so far in SD-21 to their 2010 results actually has the Democrat doing well enough to win the seat if it's extrapolated out. No telling whether that will hold once the remaining 78% of precincts come in though.
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Meeker
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« Reply #672 on: June 05, 2012, 11:07:31 pm »
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... and now he's 1/4 of a percent below where he needs to be with a few more precincts reporting. Won't know this one for a while at the rate Racine County is counting.
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« Reply #673 on: June 05, 2012, 11:25:09 pm »
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... and now he's 1/4 of a percent below where he needs to be with a few more precincts reporting. Won't know this one for a while at the rate Racine County is counting.
How do you know which precincts are reporting, I thought you could only see the total county report?
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Meeker
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« Reply #674 on: June 05, 2012, 11:32:29 pm »
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... and now he's 1/4 of a percent below where he needs to be with a few more precincts reporting. Won't know this one for a while at the rate Racine County is counting.
How do you know which precincts are reporting, I thought you could only see the total county report?

http://www.elections.racineco.com/voting/index.aspx
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