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June 18, 2013, 12:26:26 am
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
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Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
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Author
Topic: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition (Read 38546 times)
TJ in Wisco
TJ in Cleve
YaBB God
Posts: 3389
Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: 7.30
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #650 on:
March 16, 2012, 02:33:36 pm »
Some quick numbers on the districts from the DRA (note the "avg" is close to a net of 52% Republican for the state so it's skewed):
SD-13 (Fitzgerald) McCain 50.9-47.8 "Avg" 62.6% Republican
SD-21 (Van Wanggard) Obama 55.3-43.4 "Avg" 54.2% Republican
SD-23 (Moulton) Obama 55.1-43.0 "Avg" 56.0% Republican
SD-29 (Galloway) Obama 53.4-44.7 "Avg" 57.0% Republican
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
Posts: 21386
Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: 3.22
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #651 on:
March 16, 2012, 03:06:29 pm »
Since these are "just another election" where anyone can file and challenge the incumbent, can another Republican just declare for Galloway's seat, or does the resignation cancel the recall since Galloway is gone, with Galloway being replaced by a special election?
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He's BACK!!! His Time Has Come Once Again!
Now We're All Gonna Die! No One is Safe From His Wrath!
Nhoj
YaBB God
Posts: 5592
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #652 on:
March 16, 2012, 03:22:34 pm »
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on March 16, 2012, 03:06:29 pm
Since these are "just another election" where anyone can file and challenge the incumbent, can another Republican just declare for Galloway's seat, or does the resignation cancel the recall since Galloway is gone, with Galloway being replaced by a special election?
The GAB says the recall will go on ahead just without her, and yes I am pretty sure any republican can file to run. Though I am not sure how you recall someone who is no longer there... so I wouldn't be shocked if the recall gets cancelled and a special election happens instead.
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آزادی برای ایران
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56699
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #653 on:
March 17, 2012, 07:24:14 am »
Wait, is there any difference?
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Support Tahiti!
JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6854
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #654 on:
March 19, 2012, 05:00:22 pm »
A couple more recalls of Republican Senators are being considered... by a right-wing group annoyed with their vote against a mining bill.
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JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6854
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #655 on:
April 17, 2012, 04:27:06 pm »
PPP/DK polling
:
Quote
SD-21 (MoE: ±3.9%):
John Lehman (D): 46
Van Wanggaard (R-inc): 48
Undecided: 5
SD-23 (MoE: ±3.6%):
Kristin Dexter (D): 41
Terry Moulton (R-inc): 51
Undecided: 8
SD-29 (MoE: ±3.6%):
Donna Seidel (D): 37
Jerry Petrowski (R): 51
Undecided: 12
SD-13 (MoE: ±3.5%):
Lori Compas (D): 40
Scott Fitzgerald (R-inc): 54
Undecided: 6
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5150
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #656 on:
April 17, 2012, 06:29:32 pm »
Clean and easy GOP sweep. Too bad for Randy Hopper's mistress.
The union buster Scott Walker will be vindicated by the populace.
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asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
YaBB God
Posts: 9097
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #657 on:
April 18, 2012, 11:48:06 am »
If that's the case then the populace has collectively lost its mind, but we've established that that's the case in this country long since so I'll just ask: Why exactly do you expect Van Wanggaard's race to be 'easy'?
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Quote from: Averroės Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor
Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?
Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5150
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #658 on:
April 18, 2012, 11:55:39 am »
Quote from: Nathan on April 18, 2012, 11:48:06 am
If that's the case then the populace has collectively lost its mind, but we've established that that's the case in this country long since so I'll just ask: Why exactly do you expect Van Wanggaard's race to be 'easy'?
That district of course is a heavily GOP district in redistricting, but even the current district is only as Democratic as others that were already won by the GOP in prior recalls. Scott Walker is handily leading in that district 51-44.
The Wisconsin Senate is out of session in any case. The GOP has 2 very winnable districts ahead especially with Holperin retiring.
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Senator Napoleon
Napoleon
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Posts: 11682
Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -8.17
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #659 on:
April 18, 2012, 01:05:30 pm »
I told people these recalls were a waste of money even before the last round of semi-failure...this just gives Walker a claim to a stronger mandate and makes us look weak.
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Quote from: bgwah on April 20, 2013, 12:46:53 am
The only thing that is certain is that he's a douche! What he will infract is uncetain.
krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5150
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #660 on:
April 18, 2012, 01:37:49 pm »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on April 17, 2012, 04:27:06 pm
PPP/DK polling
:
Quote
SD-21 (MoE: ±3.9%):
John Lehman (D): 46
Van Wanggaard (R-inc): 48
Undecided: 5
SD-23 (MoE: ±3.6%):
Kristin Dexter (D): 41
Terry Moulton (R-inc): 51
Undecided: 8
SD-29 (MoE: ±3.6%):
Donna Seidel (D): 37
Jerry Petrowski (R): 51
Undecided: 12
SD-13 (MoE: ±3.5%):
Lori Compas (D): 40
Scott Fitzgerald (R-inc): 54
Undecided: 6
If anyone wants to read a lot of very funny things, check out those comments! Lol!
Death of democracy!
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krazen1211
YaBB God
Posts: 5150
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #661 on:
April 20, 2012, 01:18:09 pm »
The GOP has a new improved candidate for the 18th district which was lost due to Randy Hopper's mistress.
http://rickgudexforsenate.com/
In addition of course in the unlikely even that the GOP loses the 21st the Democrat can be promptly recalled in a year's time.
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AmericanNation
YaBB God
Posts: 945
Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #662 on:
April 23, 2012, 11:16:56 am »
Quote from: Nhoj on March 16, 2012, 03:22:34 pm
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on March 16, 2012, 03:06:29 pm
Since these are "just another election" where anyone can file and challenge the incumbent, can another Republican just declare for Galloway's seat, or does the resignation cancel the recall since Galloway is gone, with Galloway being replaced by a special election?
The GAB says the recall will go on ahead just without her, and yes I am pretty sure any republican can file to run. Though I am not sure how you recall someone who is no longer there... so I wouldn't be shocked if the recall gets cancelled and a special election happens instead.
1) The "recall" election can't "go away" from a resignation
2) you can't "recall" someone who has resigned.
3) you hold a "Special Election" in the event of a resignation
4) You should than hold a "Special Election" on the date (if easier) of the scheduled recall.
5) The Doyle appointed GAB will call this obvious "special election" a "recall" because they have managed to screw up an amazing number of easy things. There is no real difference though.
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Gravis Marketing
brittain33
YaBB God
Posts: 12054
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #663 on:
April 25, 2012, 10:41:27 am »
Quote from: krazen1211 on April 20, 2012, 01:18:09 pm
The GOP has a new improved candidate for the 18th district which was lost due to Randy Hopper's mistress.
One of three city council members in a village of 687 people, cool.
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TJ in Wisco
TJ in Cleve
YaBB God
Posts: 3389
Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: 7.30
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #664 on:
April 25, 2012, 01:22:59 pm »
Quote from: brittain33 on April 25, 2012, 10:41:27 am
Quote from: krazen1211 on April 20, 2012, 01:18:09 pm
The GOP has a new improved candidate for the 18th district which was lost due to Randy Hopper's mistress.
One of three city council members in a village of 687 people, cool.
Is he scandal-ridden? If not then he's an improvement.
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JohnnyLongtorso
YaBB God
Posts: 6854
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #665 on:
June 04, 2012, 05:28:32 pm »
I guess I'll bump this thread, even though these recalls have had zero press.
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Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
Posts: 21386
Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: 3.22
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #666 on:
June 04, 2012, 05:33:22 pm »
Where are the four districts located and are there any new polls for them?
How has the open seat and Van Wanggarrd's races been progressing this past month and some change?
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He's BACK!!! His Time Has Come Once Again!
Now We're All Gonna Die! No One is Safe From His Wrath!
AmericanNation
YaBB God
Posts: 945
Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #667 on:
June 04, 2012, 09:55:37 pm »
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on June 04, 2012, 05:33:22 pm
Where are the four districts located and are there any new polls for them?
How has the open seat and Van Wanggarrd's races been progressing this past month and some change?
Van is probably slightly ahead in his Racine county district.
Fitzgerald will cruise easily.
The other two, in north west Wisconsin, I have no idea what is going on. Maybe lean GOP.
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rbt48
YaBB God
Posts: 726
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #668 on:
June 05, 2012, 10:21:29 pm »
Walker will end up with more votes that the 1,128,941 that he received in the 2010 General Election. Barrett won't get much more that 950,000. He had 1,004,303 in 2010.
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R. Bruce Telfeyan
With patriotic fervor of an undiminished magnitude
http://www.rbt48.com/weather
http://www.rbt48.com/weather/Presidential_Elections/2012_State_Legislatures_post_election.pdf
http://www.rbt48.com/weather/Presidential_Elections/2012_Elections_Cong_Gov.pdf
ModerateCoward
seatown
YaBB God
Posts: 3916
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #669 on:
June 05, 2012, 10:34:51 pm »
Quote from: Governor Napoleon on April 18, 2012, 01:05:30 pm
I told people these recalls were a waste of money even before the last round of semi-failure...this just gives Walker a claim to a stronger mandate and makes us look weak.
No, this means that DNC doesn't care about fortunes of many people.
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rbt48
YaBB God
Posts: 726
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #670 on:
June 05, 2012, 10:41:49 pm »
It looks like Senate District 21 will determine if the State Senate is 17R - 16D or visa versa. The Racine County district has the Republican leading 62 to 38 with about 22% of the precincts reporting. AP has not yet called the race.
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R. Bruce Telfeyan
With patriotic fervor of an undiminished magnitude
http://www.rbt48.com/weather
http://www.rbt48.com/weather/Presidential_Elections/2012_State_Legislatures_post_election.pdf
http://www.rbt48.com/weather/Presidential_Elections/2012_Elections_Cong_Gov.pdf
Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13924
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #671 on:
June 05, 2012, 10:53:15 pm »
Comparing the precincts in that are in so far in SD-21 to their 2010 results actually has the Democrat doing well enough to win the seat if it's extrapolated out. No telling whether that will hold once the remaining 78% of precincts come in though.
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Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13924
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #672 on:
June 05, 2012, 11:07:31 pm »
... and now he's 1/4 of a percent below where he needs to be with a few more precincts reporting. Won't know this one for a while at the rate Racine County is counting.
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ModerateCoward
seatown
YaBB God
Posts: 3916
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #673 on:
June 05, 2012, 11:25:09 pm »
Quote from: Meeker on June 05, 2012, 11:07:31 pm
... and now he's 1/4 of a percent below where he needs to be with a few more precincts reporting. Won't know this one for a while at the rate Racine County is counting.
How do you know which precincts are reporting, I thought you could only see the total county report?
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Meeker
meekermariner
YaBB God
Posts: 13924
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -2.61
Re: Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition
«
Reply #674 on:
June 05, 2012, 11:32:29 pm »
Quote from: Senator Seatown on June 05, 2012, 11:25:09 pm
Quote from: Meeker on June 05, 2012, 11:07:31 pm
... and now he's 1/4 of a percent below where he needs to be with a few more precincts reporting. Won't know this one for a while at the rate Racine County is counting.
How do you know which precincts are reporting, I thought you could only see the total county report?
http://www.elections.racineco.com/voting/index.aspx
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