Wisconsin Senate Recall-a-palooza: 2012 Edition

[Talleyrand]

As for the Dems, Wirch is safe but Holperin is potentially vulnerable. If things continue like they are going tonight, I don't know if the GOP will target him aggresively, but I think they will, to show their power and to take back one for the Kapanke seat which they will likely lose. Holperin is lucky to have a weak opponent, but his district narrowly leans GOP, making him probably one of the "Blue Dog" style Dems in the state.

[Talleyrand]

Kings now leads by 96 votes. Dems ahead in 3 races currently.

[Talleyrand]

Kings now leads by 96 votes. Dems ahead in 3 races currently.

Chances are, Dems will only take out Kapanke. But for the moment it looks nice in their column.

You are probably right. Little has been counted in 8 and 18, plus Waukesha hasn't come in much yet, so that's good for Darling.

[Talleyrand]

With 18 Winnebago precincts all that's left, Hopper is ahead by 534 votes. This might drag.

With 14 more to go, King is ahead by less than 200, so maybe a recount?

[Talleyrand]

Jennifer Shilling wins according to AP. No surprise.

[Talleyrand]

Dunno. How would you rate Simac as a candidate vs. Walker? More skilled and electable, about equal, or not as strong? How about Holperin vs. the Dem who ran?

Certainly less, but so was Randy Hopper.

In the last year, the bulk of candidates that really tick off the left in districts like this have lost. However, some have won.

Per the OP this district is more Republican than Hopper's district and about equal to Olsen's district.

We shall see!

In terms of presidential results it is more blue than all of them except Kapanke's. (53% Obama)
But as you said, we will wait and see.

[Talleyrand]

Republican recruiting failures will probably keep Holperin and Wirch in office. State Rep. Samantha Kerkman could have made the Wirch seat competitive. She is just 37 and is a rising star, but maybe she didn't think she could win in the Dem district.

ALL 3 of Holperin's district's assembly seats are in GOP hands, but surprisingly, none of them challenged him. Holperin's pretty moderate, has a horrible opponent, and has been through a recall before (1990, when he was in the assembly), but the political composition of the district will still keep it competitive.

[Talleyrand]

Inside Michigan Politics' pollster did the best. They had 53% Holperin 46% Simac.