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Poll
Question: which is more likely to flip gop
#1
de		  
#2
nj		  
#3
equal chance		  
#4
duh!  both are solid gop		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: delaware or new jersey  (Read 1646 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: March 12, 2011, 01:11:41 PM »
ill go out on a limb...nj.  even if the nominee isnt christie.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2011, 01:21:31 PM »
Jersey Smiley
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RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
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« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2011, 02:14:57 PM »
« Edited: March 12, 2011, 02:17:56 PM by True Conservative »
Normally I'd say "equal chance", but since Biden is from Delaware, I voted New Jersey.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2011, 02:18:00 PM »
Quote from: True Conservative on March 12, 2011, 02:14:57 PM
Normally I'd say "equal chance", but since Biden is from Delaware, New Jersey.

Pretty much.
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Mr. Taft Republican
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« Reply #4 on: March 12, 2011, 02:29:28 PM »
Joisey.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2011, 08:56:31 AM »
NJ, obviously.
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mondale84
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« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2011, 11:08:32 AM »
Neither is going to flip....not a chance
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2011, 11:10:17 AM »
Obviously Jersey.
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Mechaman
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« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2011, 12:44:51 PM »
Jew Nerdsey.

If anybody else besides Six Abs Biden was in office my answer would be different.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2011, 03:31:03 PM »
Quote from: mondale84 on March 13, 2011, 11:08:32 AM
Neither is going to flip....not a chance
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Dgov
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« Reply #10 on: March 13, 2011, 04:19:43 PM »
Jersey, probably.  I mean, at least McCain won the White vote there, even if it was by an insignificant margin.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #11 on: March 13, 2011, 04:22:25 PM »
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Rowan
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« Reply #12 on: March 13, 2011, 04:23:50 PM »
Quote from: mondale84 on March 13, 2011, 11:08:32 AM
Neither is going to flip....not a chance

That wasn't the question.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #13 on: March 13, 2011, 04:25:37 PM »
It still pertains to the topic being discussed and I say neither will flip as well.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #14 on: March 13, 2011, 05:41:24 PM »
Neither will flip unless it's a landslide for the Republican, but New Jersey would fall first.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #15 on: March 14, 2011, 02:30:07 AM »
Delaware.

Neither state has a media market, and no Republican would waste money running ads in NYC just to reach the northern half of NJ. If they aren't on the air, they won't bother campaigning.

DE, on the other hand, would simply be a bonus three EVs for a Republican that managed to carry PA, considering it'd also be really cheap to get staff on the ground there.
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Smash255
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« Reply #16 on: March 14, 2011, 02:35:30 AM »

It may not have been a choice, but well that is the correct answer.  I guess you could put it in the equal chance category, with that chance being 0% for both of them...
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Franzl
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« Reply #17 on: March 14, 2011, 12:50:27 PM »
New Jersey is the correct answer, I believe. But we're talking probabilities approaching zero in both cases, unless it's a true nationwide landslide...but at that point it really doesn't matter anymore.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #18 on: March 14, 2011, 02:54:25 PM »
Are we talking 2012 or in general where neither candidate nor VP candidate has ties to either state? In that case, I say Delaware. If it were a Republican who had appeal in suburbia, like Philly, I could see that spilling over into New Castle County. NJ would be a much tougher barrier to break through for Republicans just by numbers alone.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #19 on: March 14, 2011, 03:33:39 PM »
New Jersey is much more likely than Delaware. The Delaware GOP is in shambles after their little experiment with Christine O'Donnell.
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PulaskiSkywayDriver
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« Reply #20 on: March 14, 2011, 06:38:48 PM »
New Jersey could if
a) Obama's national ratings are below 45%
b) The GOP nominates a decent candidate
c) The Shore counties overperform and the urban counties underperform (as in the Governors race)
d) the GOP nominee makes significant gains among Latinos
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krazen1211
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« Reply #21 on: March 14, 2011, 08:29:34 PM »
Jersey by far, especially if Ocean and Gloucester continue to grow and Essex/Hudson continue to shrink.
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DS0816
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« Reply #22 on: March 15, 2011, 02:14:25 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on March 12, 2011, 01:11:41 PM
ill go out on a limb...nj.  even if the nominee isnt christie.

When it comes to presidential elections, flip the general platforms of today's Republican and Democratic parties. Then I'll entertain the notion of these two states' willingness to go red (nationally recognized color).
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #23 on: March 15, 2011, 02:39:00 PM »
Easily Jersey.
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