State Legislative Chambers in LA, MS, and VA

[rbt48]

I don't envision the Virginia House becoming much more strongly Republican than it is.  The Mississippi Senate will probably remain pretty close to 27-25 baring a blow-out in the governorship race, which I don't see happening.  Otherwise, the Republicans should gain in the remaining chambers, I do believe.

[rbt48]

I just noticed that two more Louisiana Democratic state legislators jumped ship, one in the Senate and the other in the House.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Chandler
The Senate is now 21R, 18D.

http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/3769860428dd4288aa3a8905a0fa1612/LA--Lawmaker-Party-Switch/
The House is now 53R, 46D, 4I, 2 vacant.

[rbt48]

I just noticed that two more Louisiana Democratic state legislators jumped ship, one in the Senate and the other in the House.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billy_Chandler
The Senate is now 21R, 18D.

http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/3769860428dd4288aa3a8905a0fa1612/LA--Lawmaker-Party-Switch/
The House is now 53R, 46D, 4I, 2 vacant.

You're way behind the times, the latest Senator to switch parties is Norby Chabert, who was just elected two years ago. The Democrats are down to 17 seats. What I'm curious to find out is how many white Democrats will be left in the Senate come 2012; currently (and obviously this is subject to change) they have 9 of the 17 seats.

I wonder how the voters will react to the party switchers in the fall elections.  Sometimes, as well all know, party changers aren't treated well when they come up for re-election.

[rbt48]

I believe that Repbulicans will retain control of both chambers in Louisiana.  They've already clinched the State Senate as in 22 districts they don't have opposition.

In Mississippi, they will retain the Senate and take control of the House.

In Virginia, they will retake the Senate and retain the House.

In New Jersey, they will close the gap in both chambers but fall short of control or parity.

[rbt48]

It was a safe Democratic seat in western Massachusetts (Pittsfield). The Green ran in 2010 and got 45% of the vote in a two-way race with the Democrat, while the Independent was a former Pittsfield City Council member.

It sounds like it is an extension of Vermont!

[rbt48]

What about the Virginia State Senate?  It is currently 22D, 18R.  I remember the Democrats gaining 5 seats to take a 21 to 19 advantage in 2007, then adding one more in a special election when the new Attorney General, Ken Cuccinelli, vacated his seat.

Is this likely to change one way or the other?

[rbt48]

I must admit, I'm surprised at the lack of comments on this thread.  We are within 48 hours of election returns starting to be available for the New Jersey, Virginia, and Mississippi.  

What effect (if any) will the recent Corzine financial implosion have on the NJ legislative races?

Anyone care to toss out predictions for the three states?  Here are mine:

NJ Senate:  22 D, 18 R
NJ Assembly: 43 D, 37 R

MS Senate: 29 R, 23 D
MS House:  62 R, 60 D

VA Senate:  21 R, 19 D
VA House:   63 R, 36 D, 1 I

[rbt48]

Does anyone have AP websites for election returns for tonight for Virginia, New Jersey, Mississippi, and Kentucky? 

I know the Kentucky SOS site has traditionally reported quite quickly athttp://elect.ky.gov/results/Pages/default.aspx. 

Virginia's site is http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/Election_Information/Election_Results/Election_Results_for_2011.html

[rbt48]

Using the results from the 2007 state house elections on Ballotpedia, here's a sort of battleground list for 2011

5% swing needed to gain
111, 43, 20, 19, 71, 25

10% swing needed to gain
45, 34, 78, 105, 2

15% swing needed to gain
86, 3, 79, 66

Apologies for my denseness, Harry, but I don't follow what your numbers mean.

[rbt48]

It's official: the GOP has captured the Mississippi House with 62 seats -with two more still undecided. 

Here is the story from the Jackson Clarion Ledger:
http://www.clarionledger.com/article/20111114/NEWS/111114023/Rep-Philip-Gunn-backed-House-speaker?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|Home

[rbt48]

Questions from the 2011 elections:

Has a final result in VA House of Delegate district 87 been declared?

What about the two Mississippi House districts that the Republican candidates had slim leads?

If anyone knows the answers, I do appreciate it.