was 1976 the last election where (user search)
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  was 1976 the last election where (search mode)
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Author Topic: was 1976 the last election where  (Read 5883 times)
Napoleon
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« on: April 04, 2011, 08:52:54 AM »

It's funny that 1960 is brought up as an example because it, along with 1976, are the two post-World War II elections where, IMO, the candidates were the most similar to each other. Both also happened to be decided by fairly close margins. The closest we have to that now would be the 2000 election, a near 50-50 split with similar dynamics to both 1960 and 1976.



Gore: 52
Bush: 65
Competitive: 421

So using Antonio V's formula of counting states that differ from the national PV margin by more than 10 points for either party, the most recent election with a similar result to 1960 was 2000, with more competitive electoral votes. The difference between the two candidates in PV was also almost exactly the same, as well as having a two-term VP heading the ticket for each incumbent party losing despite the popularity of the incumbent President. Some states are just "swingier" than others are, as 2008 shows.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2011, 04:37:31 AM »

Antonio, the popular vote margin was less than one percentage point. It was essentially a tie.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2011, 06:08:35 AM »

Antonio, the popular vote margin was less than one percentage point. It was essentially a tie.

So ? What does it change ? Huh

58% in a given state would be R+10 or D+10.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2011, 06:15:40 AM »
« Edited: April 05, 2011, 06:21:24 AM by Napoleon »

Your wording is/ was very confusing.  I took todiffer from the margin by ten as to add or subtract ten. You're wanting the margin itself to be within ten, which would be a difference OF ten or less.
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