Post the map of an election between the two preceding posters (user search)
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  Post the map of an election between the two preceding posters (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post the map of an election between the two preceding posters  (Read 62210 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: April 07, 2011, 08:37:02 PM »

I think I'm being generous to Ghostie here...



408-130
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2011, 10:04:48 PM »

FWIW... I don't think I'd do that badly - I'd probably lose...but I think i'd take the west coast and Hawaii - and probably one or two MW States.

But this is an interesting match-up, the old-school Democrats versus Reaganfan, our resident nationalist.



Ben: 331
Naso: 207

I would expect a relatively successful left 3rd party candidacy here. The popular vote would be razor thin.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2011, 11:39:29 PM »



This is a battle of economic values - as they're pretty matched socially.

There would definitely be a left-third party candidate, so the vote margin won't be reflected in the somewhat blowout win of ...

Realisticidealist (D) - 407
A-Bob (R) - 131

I would imagine, turnout would be very suppressed.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2011, 09:51:33 PM »


Blue-Ghost_white
Red-Polnut

This is my guess as I'm not really familiar with either of the two posters.

I think I'd win... honestly... [SKIP]
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2011, 11:38:50 PM »



This is the kind of election in which the Democrats couldn't help themselves and would run a ticket to take advantage of the badly split GOP vote.

Jbrase has a strong base in the libertarian heartland - his social views do not help him in traditionally liberal states, and they do him in in the South. A-Bob has the advantage of being a pretty run of the mill moderate-ish GOPer, assuming he doesn't beat the social issues drum, chances are he'd flatten his opponent.

But turnout in liberal states would be very suppressed.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2011, 01:44:22 AM »

This is a very difficult one to judge as Liberte is relatively new but the fact that he can speak with considerable knowledge on Marxism will utterly doom him....



Assuming A-bob runs as a harmless GOPer... sadly Lib gets thumped...

384 - 154 (frankly... I'm being generous probably)...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2011, 08:07:02 PM »

This a battle of economics and they're both pretty left socially...

I would expect record low evangelical turnout, leaving the South just prime picking for Barnes.

Gio would do quite well in the upper plains and other right-libertarian base states.



So a very clear 471-67 EV win for Barnes... and the depressed evangelical vote would probably mean a considerable popular vote win too.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2011, 09:48:30 PM »



I think is probably the best I can see Antonio do - but if he let's slip his more socialist views, it probably costs him OR, MN, IL and all of ME - even NJ would be at risk.

343-195 (or 397-141)
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #8 on: July 08, 2012, 07:22:17 PM »



Hagrid - 390
Jbrase - 148

This is a battle between the traditional conservative and the libertarian... Jbrase probably wins those areas which are more sympathetic to genuine libertarians, but Hagrid dominates by being a more mainstream conservative.

You'll probably see high voter apathy from the centre and the left... with very low turnout.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #9 on: December 03, 2012, 06:46:44 PM »



This is actually a tough one... me thinks Hockey benefits from very low GOP turnout in the South, due to Goldwater's social liberalism. It becomes an exercise in economics, who makes the stronger argument... I think Hockey wins that one.

Hockey - 378 EV - 51.0%
Goldwater - 160EV - 40.5%
...I see a strong conservative third-party in this one getting about 8% overall.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #10 on: February 23, 2014, 06:17:00 PM »

Primary 2016



Sen. TNF (D-KY) v Sen. Brewer (D-MN)... this essentially becomes a pretty nasty primary battle between these two senators.

While still to the left of the party, Senator Brewer capitalises on the unease that moderate voters have for TNF's aggressive left-wing economic populism, minorities also have a difficult time getting on board with TNF, which is deadly in a Democratic Primary.

The establishment and money rallies around Brewer, but TNF's grassroots campaign keeps him going well into primary season.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2015, 07:53:55 AM »



This is a very interesting race between a mainstream (slightly more socially conservative), but Mormon Democrat... and a Libertarian Republican without a base in any of the traditionally powerful GOP factions. There will be some cross-over in safer Democratic states with social liberals voting for Goldwater and moderate GOPers in states like MO, IN etc voting for Morm over Goldwater.

Goldwater picks up most of the GOP territory due to the (R) next to his name and a likely Southern conservative running-mate. But MormDem has a natural advantage and pretty much runs the table of the toss-up states. A slightly depressed right-wing base reduces turnout. There was a strong right wing third party candidate in some random states.

Senator L. D. Smith (D-VA) 382EV - 53.9%
Rep. Goldwater (R-WA) 156EV - 44.3%
Others - 0EV - 1.8%
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2015, 12:25:43 AM »

This election sees a left-leaning Democrat face off against the more Libertarian Republican.  The Democrats were near victory, but the leftism of the Democratic candidate swung Ohio Republican, while Washington, very closely went for the Republican.

Rep. Goldwater (R-WA) 284 EV - 51.1%
Sen. Polnut (D-CA) 254 EV - 48.9%


Skip... but, I'm a leftist now?
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