Canada 2011 Official Thread

[Harry Hayfield]

Thank you. What is the numbers of seats Conservatives need for a majority?

The full figures for the last election in 2008 were:
Conservatives 5,208,796 votes (37.66%) winning 143 seats
Liberals 3,627,891 votes (26.23%) winning 76 seats
New Democrats 2,512,880 votes (18.17%) winning 37 seats
Bloc Quebecois 1,379,991 votes (9.98%) winning 50 seats
Green Party 940,294 votes (6.80%) winning 0 seats
Independents 89,387 votes (0.65%) winning 2 seats
Other Parties 72,757 votes (0.53%) winning 0 seats
Conservative lead of 1,580,905 votes (11.43%) but short of an overall majority by 12 seats

In order to get an overall majority, they need a swing from Liberal of 2.32%. The most recent poll suggested there has been a swing of 2% to the Liberals