Peruvian elections 2011

[Tender Branson]

Well, then let's hope that the Polish guy defeats Humala in the run-off - if he really stays second.

[big bad fab]

68.7% counted

Humala 28.8
Fujimori 22.6
Kuczynski 21.6
Toledo 15.1


RIPeru

[Niemeyerite]

Humala vs. Fujimori... ... ... ... GO HUMALA!

[Verily]

Humala vs. Fujimori... ... ... ... GO HUMALA!

No.

Just feel terrible for the people of Peru and their choice between two of the worst possible candidates imaginable.

[tpfkaw]

Looks like Peruvians like dictatorship.

[Bacon King]

83.5% counted-

Humala 30.1%
Fujimori 23.2%
Kucynzski 19.6%
Toledo 15.2%
Castaneda 10.3%

[minionofmidas]

Wow.

[Bacon King]

The Peruvian election board website is more advanced, detailed, and user-friendly than any such website in the United States.

In the handy table/chart, you can look at results for a specific department, and from there look at results for a specific region, and from there look at results for a specific district! (to emphasize the level of detail available here, Peru has 1,833 districts).

In the international results, you can break down results by continent, then nation, then even local areas within these foreign nations! For example, though no United States results have been counted yet (only 5% of international results counted so far), I could see how Peruvians in Atlanta voted.

To highlight how much of a flop Castañeda's candidacy was, note that he's in fifth place with 13.4% (96% reporting) in the Lima province (equivalent to the city of Lima, of which he was the mayor).

[Bacon King]

Oh, just as I typed that they put up results for Massachusetts (with Boston counted separately from non-Boston).

Boston's 862 votes are split 38.7% for PPK, 28.8% for Fujimori, 14.2% for Toledo, 10.4% for Humala, and 7.4% for Castaneda.

the rest of MA's 212 votes are 41.5% for PPK, 23.1% Fujimori, 16.5% Toledo, 9% for both Castaneda and Humala.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

83.5% counted-

Humala 30.1%
Fujimori 23.2%
Kucynzski 19.6%
Toledo 15.2%
Castaneda 10.3%

God, I know Polish names are hard, but it's Kuczynski, not Kucynzski.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Oh, and now I have to say, go Humala.

Not that any of the original candidate was a good choice

[Bacon King]

83.5% counted-

Humala 30.1%
Fujimori 23.2%
Kucynzski 19.6%
Toledo 15.2%
Castaneda 10.3%

God, I know Polish names are hard, but it's Kuczynski, not Kucynzski.

My bad. I was typing quickly You'll notice I also routinely ignore the Castaneda's tilde.

[Hash]

Ottawa! - PPK 53.1, Toledo 16.5, Keiko 13.3, Castaneda 8.6, Humala 7.7

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Poor Peru.

No results in from Minnesota it seems, though I'd be shocked if there were many cast.

[Tender Branson]

Fujimori and Humala have no chance in the Austrian expat vote:

49.5% Pedro Pablo Kuczynski
15.9% Alejandro Toledo
12.7% Luis Castañeda Lossio
11.7% Keiko Fujimori
  9.2% Ollanta Humala

[Bacon King]

Okay, I've charted out the results and I'll now be making maps. (Note that in a couple of departments the results are very close, so things may change with the 5-10% that's yet to report).

But some information to chew on for you now:

10 departments had Humala in first, Fujimori in second.
4 departments had Humala in first, Kuczynski in second.
2 departments had Humala in first, Toledo in second.

6 departments had Fujimori in first, Humala in second.

2 departments had Kuczynski in first, Fujimori in second.

1 department had Toledo in first, Humala in second.

Humala's best result: 63% in Puno
Fujimori's best result: 36% in Tumbes
Kuczynski's best result: 29% in Callao
Toledo's best result: 35% in Loreto
Castañeda's best result: 24% in Lambayeque (third place)

[Bacon King]

Quickly made; don't know why uploading it to the forum did the distortion thing.

EDIT: adding new maps to this post to keep them all together.





Note the color key change on the map above. I would have included a >35% category but that would only include Tumbes where she made 36%.

 

[Bacon King]

Alright, that's all the maps from me. Don't think I'll bother doing a map for Castaneda unless people really want to see it. He only broke 20% in one region (Lambayeque, third one down on the north coast) and only broke 10% in four (La Libertad, just down the coast from Lambayeque; Callao, the inset; Lima, the region surrounding the inset; and Ica, the region to the south of Lima)

[minionofmidas]

What's with Toledo's strength in the Amazonas? What are demographics there like?
Humala map is really a race map of course.

[Bacon King]

What's with Toledo's strength in the Amazonas? What are demographics there like?

The areas are pretty indigenous. He was Peru's first indigenous president, after all. He had a big second inauguration ceremony at Machu Picchu after he was elected, with Incan allusions and everything, IIRC. A Google search reveals that he basically started his reentry into national politics by coming out hard against President Garcia's plan to sell Amazon land in 2009ish. He possibly also got some support from people remembering him as the "face" of the opposition to papa Fujimori.

[RodPresident]

Congressional seats:
Gana Peru (Humala): 46 seats
Fuerza 2011 (Fujimori): 38 seats
Peru Posible (Toledo): 21 seats
Alianza para el Gran Cambio (Kuczynski): 12 seats
Solidaridad Nacional (Castañeda): 9 seats
APRA: 4 seats
Humala won't have majority unless he mades a coalition. This way, he would face difficulties to make changes like Chávez or Morales.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

APRA: 4 seats

Wow, that bad?

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Btw, you know what would be kind of ironic? Garcia being twice succeeded by someone named Fujimori. Ugh...

[Хahar 🤔]

Well, that's an amusing result. Humala is no Evo, but he'll have to do.

[RodPresident]

Run-off will be nexy Sunday. Vargas Llosa endorsed Humala against daughter of his old enemy. He even split with a rightist newspaper that is endorsing Keiko Fujimori. From former candidates, Toledo will go with Humala, while PPK and Castañeda will endorse Keiko. APRA's designate-candidate, Mercedes Araóz, will vote for Keiko too. Election is a deadlock and results will be probably contested by defeated.