English local elections 2011

[Hash]

Tim Farron seems to have a huge personal vote.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So is that the reason for the apparently disappointing Labour results in Northants (except Corby, which I suspect should be treated as somewhat semi-detached from Northants for these purposes) in the above figures?  Kettering, Wellingborough and Northampton are all places Labour had MPs in the Blair years, and all look like the Labour revival was weaker than further north.

In a word: yes. Given the problems Labour had with candidates in Northants, they actually did pretty well, re-establishing themselves in places where there had been wipeouts and building some solid groups where they'd come close to wipeouts (Labour had, for example, been reduced to five seats in Northampton in 2007; now they're up to fifteen. Interestingly enough they actually won a majority of seats within the old county borough; there were less breakthroughs in the newer developments). Anyway, I know it's a cliché but you have to walk before you can run.

Yeah, Corby is different; Labour are well-organised there with high (for the way things are now) Party membership rates and union density in the town.

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By which you mean 'never' or 'since the 1920s'!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Tim Farron seems to have a huge personal vote.

Which is a remarkable thing when you consider how irritating he is.

[You kip if you want to...]

Tim Farron seems to have a huge personal vote.

Which is a remarkable thing when you consider how irritating he is.

^This.

This is the man who called Labour a bunch of trots at by-election night in Barnsley. I guess people say silly things when they're in 6th place.

[Leftbehind]

It was funny as watching Burham trolling him that night.

[YL]

Much of Lincolnshire also seems excessively weak for Labour, but those areas haven't had Labour MPs in recent years.

By which you mean 'never' or 'since the 1920s'!

I thought that might be the case, but couldn't be bothered to check; they came very close to winning Boston & Skegness in both 1997 and 2001, though.  I'd still think that Labour ought to have potential to do quite a lot better than they did in Boston, though it's clearly quite a strange place.

[YL]

Yeah, Corby is different; Labour are well-organised there with high (for the way things are now) Party membership rates and union density in the town.

How much does the Scottish influence in Corby have to do with that?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I thought that might be the case, but couldn't be bothered to check; they came very close to winning Boston & Skegness in both 1997 and 2001, though.

And the seat that Boston was in in 1966. The last non-Tory to win a rural Lincolnshire seat was the... er... interesting Denis Kendall.

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I agree. At present there doesn't seem to be the organisation in place that might capitalise on it, and that's not really acceptable. If you look at all of the Lincolnshire constituencies, only Lincoln and Sc**nthorpe have sizeable CLPs. The other Lindsey-via-'Humberside' CLPs have small memberships (Grimsby included), and the rural constituencies have very low rates. And in the districts there's no Union strength to make up for it.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah, Corby is different; Labour are well-organised there with high (for the way things are now) Party membership rates and union density in the town.

How much does the Scottish influence in Corby have to do with that?

I wouldn't have thought a great deal as there's not much of a tradition of active CLPs in Scotland (large memberships there, when they happen, have tended/still tend to be a sign of branch-stacking as much as anything positive). It's probably because of historical ISTC strength and the fact that the town has been in a marginal constituency for decades.

[Leftbehind]

Region;

West Midlands
Con 39.9% (+2.7%)
Lab 35.0% (+8.4%)
Lib 10.3% (-6.6%)
Ind  5.0% (-0.4%)
Grn  3.1% (+0.1%)
UKI  2.0% (-0.5%)
IOC  0.9% (+0.9%)
BNP  0.8% (-4.1%)
R-A  0.6% (+0.4%)
MDA  0.5% (+0.2%)**
ICH  0.3% (-0.2%)
Res  0.3% (-0.8%)
C-V  0.2% (+0.2%)
S-A  0.1% (+0.0%)
TWP  0.1% (-0.1%)
DLP  0.1% (-0.0%)
Lib* 0.1% (-0.1%)
TUS  0.1% (+0.1%)
EDP  0.0% (+0.0%)
E-F  0.0% (+0.0%)
N-F  0.0% (+0.0%)
HOM  0.0% (+0.0%)
Pop  0.0% (-0.0%)
TrC  0.0% (+0.0%)
SDP  0.0% (+0.0%)
[SLP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[Pot 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[CIP 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[NNP 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[TCG 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[PJP 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[N-P 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[GSO 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[Mer 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[R&G 0.0% (-0.0%)]

**change from Staffordshire Moorlands Ratepayers result

Counties;

Staffordshire       Warwickshire***     West Midlands       Worcestershire
Con 45.0% (+5.9%)   Con 44.4% (+2.4%)   Lab 46.7% (+14.6%)  Con 49.8% (+3.4%)
Lab 31.0% (+4.8%)   Lab 27.8% (+3.4%)   Con 32.5% (-0.5%)   Lab 20.4% (+6.3%)
Ind  9.8% (-0.8%)   Lib 16.0% (-7.5%)   Lib 10.4% (-6.5%)   Lib 12.7% (-6.9%)
Lib  7.1% (-6.8%)   Grn  6.9% (+1.3%)   Grn  3.7% (+0.8%)   Ind  5.5% (-0.1%)
UKI  2.7% (-0.6%)   R-A  2.2% (+0.6%)   UKI  2.4% (-0.6%)   Grn  4.7% (+1.0%)
MDA  2.0% (+0.3%)** Ind  1.9% (-0.1%)   BNP  1.4% (-6.2%)   ICH  2.9% (-1.8%)
BNP  0.7% (-3.2%)   TUS  0.4% (+0.4%)   Res  0.7% (-1.4%)   UKI  1.4% (+0.1%)
C-V  0.7% (+0.7%)   UKI  0.3% (-0.3%)   R-A  0.5% (+0.5%)   R-A  1.1% (+0.1%)
Grn  0.4% (-0.1%)   [BNP 0.2% (-0.2%)]  Ind  0.5% (-0.7%)   Lib* 0.8% (-0.8%)
E-F  0.2% (+0.2%)                       S-A  0.4% (+0.2%)   HOM  0.3% (+0.3%)
Pop  0.1% (-0.1%)                       DLP  0.2% (-0.0%)   TUS  0.1% (+0.1%)
TUS  0.1% (+0.1%)                       EDP  0.1% (+0.1%)   BNP  0.1% (-1.8%)
EDP  0.0% (+0.0%)                       N-F  0.1% (+0.1%)
[Pot 0.4% (-0.4%)]                      TrC  0.0% (+0.0%)
[N-P 0.0% (-0.0%)]                      SDP  0.0% (+0.0%)
[GSO 0.0% (-0.0%)]                      [CIP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[Mer 0.0% (-0.0%)]                      [Lib*0.1% (-0.1%)]
                                        [NNP 0.0% (-0.0%)]
                                        [TCG 0.0% (-0.0%)]
                                        [PJP 0.0% (-0.0%)]
                                        [R&G 0.0% (-0.0%)]

**change from Staffordshire Moorlands Ratepayers result
*** w/o Nuneaton and Bedworth    

 

Herefordshire
Con 38.3% (+0.5%)
Ind 20.4% (-6.5%)
IOC 18.7% (+18.7%)
Lib 14.6% (-5.4%)
Lab  5.0% (+2.6%)
Grn  2.9% (-9.1%)
UKI  0.1% (+0.1%)
[BNP 0.9% (-0.9%)]

Shropshire:

Telford & Wrekin
Lab 45.3% (+17.9%)
Con 39.8% (-3.1%)
Ind  5.6% (-10.5%)
TWP  3.5% (-1.6%)
Lib  3.4% (-2.8%)
UKI  2.2% (-0.1%)
BNP  0.1% (+0.1%)

Staffordshire:

Cannock Chase       East Staffordshire  Lichfield           Newcastle-u-Lyme    South Staffordshire
Lab 41.6% (+5.3%)   Con 49.8% (-2.5%)   Con 58.6% (+5.8%)   Lab 38.2% (+14.1%)  Con 61.8% (+7.4%)
Con 38.4% (+3.1%)   Lab 41.2% (+9.2%)   Lab 25.3% (+3.3%)   Con 27.2% (-4.5%)   Lab 17.1% (-1.9%)
Lib 18.2% (-5.7%)   Lib  3.0% (-5.3%)   Lib 11.8% (-6.3%)   UKI 17.4% (+0.0%)   Ind 16.7% (-0.2%)
Ind  1.1% (+1.1%)   Ind  2.9% (+1.4%)   UKI  2.2% (+0.9%)   Lib 16.6% (-7.9%)   UKI  4.3% (+0.9%)
BNP  0.7% (-1.4%)   BNP  1.3% (-1.8%)   Ind  1.4% (-4.3%)   Ind  0.5% (-0.6%)   [Lib 6.3% (-6.3%)]
[UKI 1.2% (-1.2%)]  UKI  1.0% (+0.3%)   Grn  0.5% (+0.5%)   [Grn 1.2% (-1.2%)]
[N-P 0.6% (-0.6%)]  Pop  0.7% (-1.3%)
[GSO 0.6% (-0.6%)]

Stafford            Staff. Moorlands    Stoke-on-Trent      Tamworth
Con 55.5% (+5.5%)   Con 38.6% (+4.2%)   Lab 39.9% (+9.4%)   Con 48.6% (+3.6%)
Lab 32.5% (+8.9%)   Ind 20.1% (+3.7%)   Ind 22.7% (+0.8%)   Lab 43.4% (+5.7%)
Ind  6.1% (-2.8%)   MDA 16.7% (+3.3%)** Con 15.4% (-2.7%)   Ind  4.4% (-4.5%)
Lib  3.6% (-13.0%)  Lab 13.7% (-1.1%)   Lib  8.7% (-1.5%)   Lib  2.1% (-4.0%)
Grn  1.4% (+0.5%)   Lib  9.2% (-4.3%)   C-V  4.8% (+4.8%)   Grn  1.4% (+1.4%)
UKI  0.8% (+0.8%)   UKI  1.6% (-2.2%)   BNP  3.4% (-11.2%)  [BNP 2.2% (-2.2%)]
BNP  0.1% (+0.1%)   [Grn 1.8% (-1.8%)]  UKI  2.7% (+0.2%)
                    [BNP 1.7% (-1.7%)]  E-F  1.2% (+1.2%)
                    [Mer 0.2% (-0.2%)]  TUS  0.6% (+0.6%)
                                        EDP  0.3% (+0.3%)
                                        [P-A 2.0% (-2.0%)] 

**change from Staffordshire Moorlands Ratepayers result

Warwickshire:

North Warwickshire  Rugby               Stratford-on-Avon   Warwick
Con 49.4% (-0.0%)   Con 46.0% (+0.8%)   Con 49.9% (-2.0%)   Con 40.8% (-0.2%)
Lab 48.3% (+10.3%)  Lab 29.6% (+3.9%)   Lib 29.2% (-6.4%)   Lab 25.1% (+5.6%)
Ind  1.9% (-1.6%)   Lib 16.1% (-9.5%)   Lab 11.2% (+5.7%)   Lib 17.7% (-3.2%
UKI  0.3% (+0.3%)   Grn  5.0% (+2.1%)   Ind  8.0% (+5.0%)   Grn 11.2% (-0.9%)
[Lib 8.6% (-8.6%)]  TUS  3.2% (+3.2%)   Grn  1.6% (-0.0%)   R-A  4.2% (-0.1%)
[Grn 0.4% (-0.4%)]  [Ind 0.5% (-0.5%)]  [UKI 2.3% (-2.3%)]  Ind  0.6% (-1.0%)
                                                            UKI  0.4% (+0.4%)
                                                            [BNP 0.6% (-0.6%)]

West Midlands:

Birmingham          Coventry            Dudley              Sandwell            Solihull
Lab 48.6% (+16.6%)  Lab 53.5% (+15.2%)  Lab 40.3% (+11.6%)  Lab 66.1% (+21.0%)  Con 48.4% (+3.1%)
Con 27.4% (+0.3%)   Con 28.0% (-6.1%)   Con 40.1% (+3.6%)   Con 25.4% (-1.9%)   Lib 19.5% (-14.1%)
Lib 14.7% (-6.8%)   Lib  5.1% (-5.1%)   UKI  8.5% (-8.4%)   Lib  4.8% (-6.4%)   Lab 16.7% (+6.9%)
Grn  4.4% (-0.3%)   Grn  4.8% (+1.7%)   Lib  5.9% (-2.6%)   Grn  1.9% (+1.2%)   Grn  7.5% (+2.4%)
Res  1.9% (-3.0%)   BNP  3.8% (-4.7%)   Grn  4.1% (+3.4%)   BNP  0.8% (-14.4%)  R-A  5.6% (+5.6%)
BNP  1.8% (-5.9%)   S-A  3.6% (+1.1%)   BNP  0.4% (-7.1%)   STC  0.5% (+0.5%)   EDP  1.1% (+1.1%)
UKI  1.2% (+0.7%)   UKI  0.8% (+0.8%)   N-F  0.3% (+0.3%)   N-F  0.5% (+0.5%)   UKI  0.7% (-0.4%)
SDP  0.1% (+0.1%)   Ind  0.3% (-2.8%)   Ind  0.2% (+0.2%)   [Ind 0.5% (-0.5%)]  BNP  0.4% (-3.9%)
[SLP 0.5% (-0.5%)]  [Res 0.2% (-0.2%)]  [Res 1.0% (-1.0%)]  [R&G 0.1% (-0.1%)]  [Ind 0.8% (-0.8%)]
[Ind 0.3% (-0.3%)]
[CIP 0.3% (-0.3%)]
[N-F 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[NNP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[TCG 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[PJP 0.1% (-0.1%)]

Walsall             Wolverhampton
Lab 41.6% (+12.3%)  Lab 52.4% (+14.0%)
Con 38.7% (-2.4%)   Con 34.8% (-2.8%)
Lib  7.5% (-4.4%)   Lib  6.7% (-7.7%)
UKI  5.4% (-0.1%)   UKI  2.5% (+2.5%)
Ind  3.3% (-0.7%)   BNP  1.3% (-3.6%)
DLP  2.5% (-0.2%)   Grn  1.0% (+0.1%)
BNP  0.4% (-2.9%)   Ind  1.0% (-1.8%)
Grn  0.4% (-0.5%)   [Lib*0.9% (-0.9%)]
EDP  0.3% (+0.3%)
[Res 1.3% (-1.3%)]

Worcestershire:

Bromsgrove          Malvern Hills       Redditch            Worcester           Wychavon
Con 52.5% (+2.2%)   Con 51.3% (+5.6%)   Con 43.9% (+2.0%)   Con 43.5% (+0.6%)   Con 58.6% (+3.7%)
Lab 28.4% (+9.8%)   Lib 25.3% (-8.7%)   Lab 39.8% (+10.5%)  Lab 33.7% (+8.4%)   Lib 22.0% (-10.1%)
Ind 10.5% (-3.6%)   Grn  9.4% (-0.0%)   Lib 10.3% (-10.4%)  Grn 10.8% (+1.1%)   Lab 10.5% (+5.8%)
R-A  4.6% (-1.4%)   UKI  5.9% (+2.5%)   Grn  5.9% (+5.9%)   Lib 10.5% (-2.5%)   Ind  6.8% (+1.2%)
Grn  1.8% (-0.1%)   Ind  5.7% (-0.2%)   [BNP 7.6% (-7.6%)]  TUS  0.7% (+0.7%)   Grn  2.0% (+0.1%)
Lib  1.6% (-3.3%)   HOM  1.6% (+1.6%)   [Ind 0.5% (-0.5%)]  BNP  0.7% (-3.0%)   [UKI 0.8% (-0.8%)]
UKI  0.4% (-3.6%)   ICH  0.7% (+0.7%)                       [Ind 4.8% (-4.8%)]
                    [BNP 1.6% (-1.6%)]                      [UKI 0.6% (-0.6%)]

Wyre Forest
Con 38.6% (+2.9%)
Lab 23.9% (+8.1%)
ICH 21.1% (-9.7%)
Lib* 5.9% (-4.5%)
Ind  3.6% (+3.1%)
Lib  3.3% (-2.7%)
UKI  1.8% (+1.8%)
Grn  1.7% (+1.0%)

[Leftbehind]

Midlands gifs;

Labour:


Tory:


Liberal:

[joevsimp]

Libdems up in Oadby and Wigston?

[Leftbehind]

Yep, I'm not sure why though.

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[Filuwaúrdjan]

Manchester. So, yeah.

[minionofmidas]

Was that Labour map really necessary?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Was that Labour map really necessary?

Haha, quite. The only reason was constituency.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Was that Labour map really necessary?

Haha, quite. The only reason was consistency.

Fixed that for you

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Was that Labour map really necessary?

Haha, quite. The only reason was consistency.

Fixed that for you

Oh dear. That typo really does say far too much, doesn't it?

[minionofmidas]

I didn't point it out because I thought it looked cool.

[Leftbehind]

Region;

East Anglia
Con 46.4% (+1.4%)
Lab 24.7% (+7.9%) 
Lib 17.1% (-6.9%)
Ind  5.0% (-0.5%)
Grn  3.5% (-0.6%)
UKI  2.1% (+1.1%)
T-F  0.4% (+0.1%)
R-A  0.2% (+0.0%)
EDP  0.2% (+0.1%)
BNP  0.1% (-1.5%)
Lib* 0.0% (-0.1%)
SuT  0.0% (-0.1%)
CRp  0.0% (-0.2%)
RDR  0.0% (+0.0%)
TUS  0.0% (+0.0%)
CSo  0.0% (+0.0%)
N-F  0.0% (-0.1%)
Res  0.0% (-0.1%)
[B-B 0.3% (-0.3%)]
[UKF 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[CAG 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[SLP 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[IWC 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[Mum 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[VLF 0.0% (-0.0%)]

Counties;

Bedfordshire*       Cambridgeshire      Essex               Hertfordshire       Norfolk
Con 40.0% (+2.0%)   Con 45.7% (+0.0%)   Con 48.1% (+1.5%)   Con 49.4% (+3.6%)   Con 47.0% (+0.9%)
Lab 32.9% (+14.0%)  Lab 20.8% (+6.6%)   Lab 21.5% (+4.3%)   Lab 24.9% (+6.1%)   Lab 22.8% (+7.9%)
Lib 20.3% (-8.5%)   Lib 19.9% (-6.4%)   Lib 15.1% (-3.6%)   Lib 18.8% (-7.2%)   Lib 17.7% (-7.5%)
Ind  5.1% (+0.8%)   Ind  6.2% (-0.9%)   Ind  6.4% (-0.1%)   Grn  3.1% (-1.6%)   Grn  6.2% (-0.6%)
Grn  0.9% (-1.9%)   Grn  3.2% (-1.1%)   Grn  2.7% (+0.2%)   Ind  2.1% (-0.7%)   Ind  3.6% (-1.3%)
UKI  0.6% (+0.0%)   UKI  2.7% (+2.1%)   UKI  2.5% (+1.5%)   UKI  1.1% (+0.9%)   UKI  2.6% (+1.2%)
BNP  0.0% (-1.6%)   Lib* 0.6% (-0.7%)   T-F  1.6% (+0.3%)   EDP  0.4% (+0.4%)   [N-P 0.2% (-0.2%)]
Res  0.0% (-0.9%)   EDP  0.5% (+0.5%)   R-A  0.8% (+0.1%)   TUS  0.1% (+0.1%)   [N-F 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[B-B 3.0% (-3.0%)]  CSo  0.2% (+0.2%)   BNP  0.5% (-3.5%)   [BNP 1.2% (-1.2%)]  [BNP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[UKF 0.5% (-0.5%)]  [Res 0.2% (-0.2%)]  EDP  0.2% (-0.2%)   [N-F 0.2% (-0.2%)]  [EDP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[N-F 0.2% (-0.2%)]  [BNP 0.2% (-0.2%)]  CRp  0.2% (-0.4%)   [SLP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
[EDP 0.1% (-0.1%)]                      RDR  0.1% (+0.1%)   [N-P 0.0% (-0.0%)]
[VLF 0.0% (-0.0%)]                      N-F  0.0% (+0.0%)
                                        [CAP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
                                        [Res 0.0% (-0.0%)]
                                        [IWC 0.0% (-0.0%)]
                                        [Mum 0.0% (-0.0%)]

Suffolk
Con 45.8% (+0.9%)
Lab 26.5% (+11.0%)
Lib 12.5% (-11.6%)
Ind  6.1% (-1.7%)
Grn  5.5% (+1.5%) 
UKI  3.0% (+0.2%)
SuT  0.4% (-0.4%)
[BNP 0.1% (-0.1%)]

*Central Bedfordshire's changes are from '09, rather than '07.

Councils;

Bedfordshire:

C. Bedfordshire*    Bedford             Luton
Con 54.2% (+6.6%)   Con 36.6% (+0.2%)   Lab 48.7% (+15.5%)
Lab 22.5% (+11.7%)  Lab 28.6% (+12.4%)  Con 24.4% (+0.2%)
Lib 14.5% (-14.1%)  Lib 25.5% (-2.6%)   Lib 24.0% (-5.5%)
Ind  7.0% (+0.8%)   Ind  7.8% (+5.6%)   Ind  0.8% (-2.0%)
Grn  1.0% (-1.7%)   Grn  1.1% (-1.5%)   UKI  0.8% (-0.9%)
UKI  0.7% (+0.7%)   UKI  0.2% (-0.0%)   Grn  0.7% (-2.4%)
[BNP 2.2% (-2.2%)]  [BB 14.2% (-14.2%)] BNP  0.2% (-1.5%)
[UKF 1.1% (-1.1%)]                      Res  0.1% (-2.8%)
[N-F 0.5% (-0.5%)]                      [EDP 0.5% (-0.5%)]
                                        [VLF 0.1% (-0.1%)]

*changes are from '09, rather than '07.

Cambridgeshire:

Cambridge           E. Cambridgeshire  Fenland             Huntingdonshire     Peterborough
Lab 35.5% (+9.2%)   Con 48.5% (+4.1)   Con 59.9% (+1.9%)   Con 55.0% (-2.9%)   Con 43.0% (-3.0%)
Lib 26.5% (-7.8%)   Lib 32.9% (-2.4)   Lab 15.4% (+5.0%)   Lib 21.6% (-9.8%)   Lab 31.4% (+8.5%)
Con 21.4% (-2.8%)   Lab 11.7% (+10.4)  Ind 11.3% (+1.9%)   Lab 13.2% (+5.2%)   Ind  8.8% (-2.6%)
Grn 14.7% (+2.0%)   Ind  6.4% (-8.2)   Lib 10.8% (-11.3%)  UKI  8.2% (+7.7%)   UKI  4.8% (+4.1%)
CSo  1.0% (+1.0%)   Grn  0.3% (-4.0)   Grn  1.3% (+1.3%)   Ind  1.9% (+1.9%)   Lib  3.8% (-5.0%)
UKI  0.4% (-0.8%)                      UKI  1.2% (+1.2%)   [BNP 1.0% (-1.0%)]  Lib* 3.4% (-2.3%)
Ind  0.3% (+0.3%)                                          [Grn 1.0% (-1.0%)]  EDP  3.2% (+3.2%)
[Res 1.2% (-1.2%)]                                                             Grn  1.4% (-3.0%)

S. Cambridgeshire
Con 46.9% (-4.1%)
Lib 21.9% (-8.4%)
Lab 18.2% (+10.0%)
Ind  9.4% (-0.0%)
Grn  1.9% (+1.6%)
UKI  1.7% (+1.0%)

Essex:

Basildon            Braintree           Brentwood           Castle Point        Chelmsford
Con 46.0% (+2.8%)   Con 52.8% (+6.0%)   Con 50.2% (-3.0%)   Con 51.7% (-4.1%)   Con 51.8% (-1.2%)
Lab 32.0% (+9.7%)   Lab 31.1% (+6.5%)   Lib 26.0% (-7.3%)   Ind 23.9% (+3.1%)   Lib 25.7% (-7.5%)
Lib  8.9% (-4.0%)   Grn  7.3% (+0.1%)   Lab 15.2% (+6.7%)   Lab 21.3% (+3.2%)   Lab 16.8% (+6.4%)
UKI  8.2% (+7.1%)   R-A  2.3% (-1.4%)   UKI  5.7% (+3.6%)   Grn  3.0% (-0.8%)   Ind  4.3% (+3.4%)
Ind  3.3% (-4.4%)   Lib  2.2% (-9.0%)   Ind  2.2% (-0.6%)   [UKI 1.4% (-1.4%)]  Grn  0.8% (-0.4%)
BNP  0.8% (-11.2%)  Ind  2.1% (-1.0%)   EDP  0.4% (+0.4%)                       UKI  0.5% (-0.7%)
N-F  0.6% (+0.6%)   UKI  1.5% (+0.4%)   Grn  0.2% (+0.2%)
[Grn 0.6% (-0.6%)]  BNP  0.5% (+0.5%)
                    [EDP 2.2% -2.2%)]

Colchester          Epping Forest       Harlow              Maldon              Rochford
Con 36.5% (-5.3%)   Con 56.6% (-0.7%)   Lab 46.1% (+12.1%)  Con 66.4% (+14.6%)  Con 50.5% (+1.3%)
Lib 27.5% (-1.8%)   Lib 17.9% (-6.9%)   Con 42.3% (-0.9%)   Ind 14.4% (-17.9%)  Lib 16.3% (-6.5%)
Lab 21.9% (+5.6%)   Lab  8.9% (+4.1%)   Lib 10.8% (-9.8%)   Lab 10.5% (-0.7%)   Lab 13.3% (+2.1%)
Grn  7.6% (-1.9%)   Grn  8.6% (+8.6%)   UKI  0.8% (+0.8%)   Grn  4.7% (+4.7%)   EDP  8.0% (+4.8%)
Ind  6.1% (+3.0%)   Ind  4.1% (+1.8%)   [Res 1.2% (-1.2%)]  BNP  2.2% (-1.1%)   Grn  4.9% (-1.0%)
UKI  0.4% (+0.4%)   UKI  3.1% (+2.6%)   [Ind 1.0% (-1.0%)]  UKI  0.8% (-0.7%)   RDR  4.1% (+4.1%)
                    EDP  0.7% (-0.8%)                       Lib  1.0% (+1.0%)   UKI  1.6% (+1.6%)
                    [BNP 6.0% (-6.0%)]                                          Ind  1.0% (-1.8%)
                    [ECA 2.8% (-2.8%)]                                          [BNP 4.8% (-4.8%)]

Tendring            Thurrock            Southend-on-Sea     Uttlesford
Con 41.4 (+1.6%)    Lab 41.0% (+6.9%)   Con 36.4% (-4.5%)   Con 58.7% (+5.3%)
Lab 18.1 (+2.9%)    Con 32.7% (+2.0%)   Lab 19.4% (+3.7%)   Lib 31.3% (-8.1%)
T-F 13.3 (+1.4%)    UKI 12.7% (+11.0%)  Ind 17.9% (+7.0%)   Lab  8.2% (+7.2%)
Ind  9.6 (+1.6%)    Ind  5.4% (+1.2%)   Lib 16.9% (-5.2%)   Ind  1.8% (-4.1%)
Lib  8.8 (-6.0%)    BNP  4.2% (-20.4%)  UKI  6.6% (+4.9%)   [UKI 0.4% (-0.4%)]
R-A  4.1 (+1.0%)    Lib  3.7% (-0.4%)   Grn  1.8% (-0.5%)
Grn  1.7 (+1.2%)    Grn  0.2% (+0.2%)   BNP  0.5% (-5.4%)
Crp  1.5 (-4.5%)    [IWC 0.5% (-0.5%)]  N-F  0.2% (+0.2%)
UKI  1.2 (+0.5%)                        [Mum 0.3% (-0.3%)]
BNP  0.3 (+0.3%)

Hertfordshire:

Broxbourne          Dacorum             E. Hertfordshire    Hertsmere           N. Hertfordshire
Con 63.1% (-0.9%)   Con 53.4% (+2.1%)   Con 58.2% (+10.6%)  Con 59.6% (+0.1%)   Con 48.4% (+1.4%)
Lab 26.1% (+7.1%)   Lab 25.7% (+7.3%)   Lab 19.4% (+8.4%)   Lab 29.0% (+8.8%)   Lab 22.9% (+4.4%)
EDP  4.7% (+4.7%)   Lib 18.2% (-2.7%)   Lib 12.9% (-6.1%)   Lib 10.3% (-3.6%)   Lib 17.6% (-8.1%)
UKI  2.4% (+2.4%)   Grn  2.0% (-3.5%)   Ind  9.2% (-8.6%)   UKI  0.9% (+0.9%)   Grn  8.2% (+0.8%
Ind  1.9% (+1.9%)   Ind  0.5% (-2.1%)   TUS  0.2% (+0.2%)   [Grn 3.9% (-3.9%)]  UKI  1.9% (+1.0%)
Lib  1.7% (-1.1%)   EDP  0.2% (+0.2%)   [Grn 2.8% (-2.8%)]  [SLP 1.2% (-1.2%)]  Ind  0.7% (+0.2%)
[BNP13.3% (-13.3%)] [N-F 1.3% (-1.3%)]  [BNP 1.0% (-1.0%)]  [Ind 1.1% (-1.1%)]  EDP  0.2% (+0.2%)
[N-P 0.5% (-0.5%)]                      [UKI 0.6% (-0.6%)]
[N-F 0.4% (-0.4%)]

St. Albans          Stevenage           Three Rivers        Watford             Welwyn Hatfield
Con 42.5% (+1.4%)   Lab 46.8% (+0.0%)   Lib 42.5% (-12.4%)  Lib 36.7% (-10.3%)  Con 53.6% (-0.9%)
Lib 29.3% (-9.3%)   Con 31.2% (+1.1%)   Con 38.2% (+2.5%)   Lab 28.0% (+10.5%)  Lab 30.1% (+5.0%)
Lab 19.6% (+6.5%)   Lib 10.3% (-11.0%)  Lab 15.7% (+8.0%)   Con 23.5% (-0.7%)   Lib 13.2% (-3.5%)
Grn  8.3% (+1.1%)   UKI 10.0% (+10.0%)  UKI  2.5% (+1.8%)   Grn  9.9% (-0.7%)   Grn  2.8% (-0.8%)
Ind  0.3% (+0.3%)   TUS  1.2% (+1.2%)   EDP  0.7% (+0.7%)   UKI  1.1% (+1.1%)   Ind  0.2% (+0.2%)
                    Grn  0.4% (-0.4%)   Grn  0.3% (-0.7%)   Ind  0.7% (+0.0%)
                    [BNP 1.0% (-1.0%)]

Norfolk:

Breckland           Broadland           Great Yarmouth      King's Lynn[...]    North Norfolk
Con 56.6% (+2.1%)   Con 50.4% (+1.0%)   Con 51.4% (-1.6%)   Con 53.9% (-0.9%)   Lib 36.8% (-9.2%)
Lab 23.9% (+7.1%)   Lib 24.6% (-1.1%)   Lab 42.3% (+6.3%)   Lab 27.4% (+8.6%)   Con 30.8% (-9.1%
Ind  6.7% (-3.9%)   Lab 19.0% (+7.6%)   UKI  3.2% (-0.1%)   Ind 11.1% (+6.2%)   Lab 19.9% (+16.1%)
Grn  5.8% (-3.8%)   UKI  2.6% (+2.0%)   Ind  1.4% (+1.4%)   Lib  4.4% (-10.0%)  UKI  5.5% (+4.1%)
UKI  3.9% (+2.8%)   Grn  1.8% (-0.6%)   Lib  1.1% (-1.5%)   Grn  2.9% (+2.0%)   Grn  5.3% (+4.0%)
Lib  2.9% (-4.3%)   Ind  1.4% (-8.8%)   Grn  0.5% (-3.0%)   UKI  0.2% (-3.1%)   Ind  1.7% (-5.7%)
                                        [N-F 1.6% (-1.6%)]  [N-P 1.6% (-1.6%)]  [EDP 0.2% (-0.2%)]
                                                            [BNP 1.2% (-1.2%)]
Norwich             South Norfolk
Lab 36.6% (+7.7%)   Con 57.2% (+1.2%)
Grn 28.0% (+1.3%)   Lib 29.3% (-7.7%)
Con 20.6% (+0.3%)   Lab  7.9% (+5.0%)
Lib 12.4% (-10.6%)  Grn  3.9% (+1.0%)
UKI  2.2% (+1.3%)   UKI  1.4% (+0.9%)
                    Ind  0.3% (-0.2%)
                    [EDP 0.3% (-0.3%)]

Suffolk:

Babergh             Forest Heath        Ipswich             Mid Suffolk         St Edmundsbury
Con 38.6% (-0.9%)   Con 56.4% (+10.7%)  Lab 47.1% (+11.4%)  Con 42.8% (-1.8%)   Con 54.0% (+1.8%)
Lib 23.5% (-14.7%)  Lab 12.6% (+6.0%)   Con 37.2% (-2.6%)   Lib 21.7% (-8.9%)   Lab 26.6% (+13.4%)
Lab 17.0% (+11.7%)  UKI 11.6% (-4.5%)   Lib 13.0% (-7.9%)   Lab 11.9% (+7.1%)   Ind  7.9% (-5.3%)
Ind 15.4% (+2.1%)   Lib 10.2% (+2.1%)   Grn  2.3% (-0.1%)   Grn 11.6% (+6.5%)   Lib  5.4% (-12.6%)
UKI  4.5% (+0.8%)   Ind  9.2% (-14.3%)  Ind  0.3% (-0.7%)   Ind  5.6% (-2.2%)   Grn  5.3% (+3.2%)
Grn  0.9% (+0.9%)                       [UKI 0.2% (-0.2%)]  SuT  3.2% (-1.8%)   UKI  0.5% (-0.8%)
                                                            UKI  3.1% (+1.4%)
                                                            [BNP 0.3% (-0.3%)]

Suffolk Coastal     Waveney
Con 54.7% (+1.6%)   Con 39.9% (+3.2%)
Lab 22.7% (+11.9%)  Lab 38.7% (+10.2%)
Lib 14.0% (-13.9%)  Grn 10.1% (-0.6%)
Ind  5.3% (+2.4%)   UKI  5.3% (-0.8%)
Grn  3.3% (-1.8%)   Lib  3.2% (-8.5%)
[UKI 0.2% (-0.2%)]  Ind  2.8% (-3.5%)
[BNP 0.1% (-0.1%)]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

20% in North Norfolk? Confirms a lot of theories, that does. Didn't win any seats, but then the Labour vote there was traditionally quite evenly distributed so that's not a surprise.

[Leftbehind]

That it'd only collapsed to the depths it had in favour of tactical voting to keep the Libs in (à la S/W)?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

That it'd only collapsed to the depths it had in favour of tactical voting to keep the Libs in (à la S/W)?

Yes, more or less. The interesting question is whether they can actually do anything with that; the County Council elections aren't so far away now and now they have numbers they can use to work out where to target. Though that assumes that they have the organisational ability to actually do that by then.

[You kip if you want to...]

That it'd only collapsed to the depths it had in favour of tactical voting to keep the Libs in (à la S/W)?

The lose of support will obviously hurt the Libs come the next election, but it'll be unwind of their Labour tactical voters that will bring the biggest shocks of the night for them (Eastleigh being the first example that came to mind for me). All of this is good news for David Cameron though, of course.

And those Liberals who used to tactically vote Labour will probably vote Labour anyway next time round.

[Leftbehind]

Are there many seats where there are tactical Liberal > Labour votes? South Dorset's the obvious example, but the tactical anti-Tory vote usually applies to the South moreso than anywhere else - an area where the Liberals are usually the main challengers.