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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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How did the following past third party voters vote?
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Topic: How did the following past third party voters vote? (Read 1177 times)
Nichlemn
YaBB God
Posts: 1097
How did the following past third party voters vote?
«
on:
April 08, 2011, 02:12:32 am »
Break them down by Dem/GOP/Other. If Other is significant (e.g. a lot of Nader 2000 voters would have voted for him in 2008), break that down too.
Thurmond 1948
Wallace 1968
Anderson 1980
Perot 1992
Nader 2000
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JulioMadrid
YaBB God
Posts: 5683
Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -7.13
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
«
Reply #1 on:
April 08, 2011, 09:21:58 am »
thurmond - 95% GOP
wallace - 95% GOP
anderson - 70% Dem
Perot - 51% Dem
Nader 45% Other, 45% Dem
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My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13
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freepcrusher
YaBB God
Posts: 2055
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
«
Reply #2 on:
April 08, 2011, 09:42:36 am »
I always thought that Reagan got to 59 percent was by gaining all the Anderson voters in his camp.
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Nichlemn
YaBB God
Posts: 1097
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
«
Reply #3 on:
April 08, 2011, 10:28:28 am »
When I meant was e.g.
Thurmond:
McCain 95%
Obama 4%
Other 1%
Nader:
Obama: 45%
Nader: 30%
Other: 15%
McCain: 10%
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Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24608
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
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Reply #4 on:
April 08, 2011, 12:48:33 pm »
Thurmond 1948 : 90% rep
Wallace 1968 : 90% rep
Anderson 1980 : 70% dem
Perot 1992 : 60% rep
Nader 2000 : 70% dem
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Truer today than it was yesterday.
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wormyguy
YaBB God
Posts: 7815
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: -7.65
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
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Reply #5 on:
April 08, 2011, 01:48:38 pm »
Thurmond - insufficient sample
Wallace - GOP 50%, Dem 35%, Oth 15% (remember that Wallace's strength was among urban whites)
Anderson - Dem 50%, GOP 30%, Oth 20%
Perot - GOP 50%, Dem 40%, Oth 10%
Nader - Oth 50%, Dem 40%, GOP 10%
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feeblepizza
YaBB God
Posts: 3104
Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
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Reply #6 on:
April 08, 2011, 03:53:40 pm »
Obama winning 4% of Thurmond voters is extremely generous.
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nclib
YaBB God
Posts: 8493
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
«
Reply #7 on:
April 08, 2011, 08:45:05 pm »
Quote from: Mourdock for Senate on April 08, 2011, 03:53:40 pm
Obama winning 4% of Thurmond voters is extremely generous.
Perhaps, but consider that since the voting age was 21 back then, so every living Thurmond voter in 2008 was at least 81. With such a small sample, and a potential for changing views from youth to old age, it's conceivable.
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JulioMadrid
YaBB God
Posts: 5683
Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -7.13
Re: How did the following past third party voters vote?
«
Reply #8 on:
April 09, 2011, 05:05:32 am »
Robert Byrd problably voted Thurmon and Obama.
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My evolution:
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