Governors' statewide popularity
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #100 on: September 20, 2011, 12:18:57 PM »
« edited: September 21, 2011, 11:42:16 PM by pbrower2a »

Assuming that President Obama has two full terms as President, this fellow could be next:


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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1647

This may be more relevant to 2016 than to 2012 (New York is a slam dunk for President Obama or else he is through). Now for someone running against President Obama in 2012:

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Quinnipiac, Florida: Rick Scott remains in "execrable" territory:
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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1649

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 87
Modest 40
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 206
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #101 on: September 30, 2011, 09:53:48 AM »
« Edited: September 30, 2011, 11:37:02 AM by pbrower2a »

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Awful! That's almost the realm of Rick Scott, Scott Walker, and John Kasich. Don't expect him to be a featured speaker at the Democratic National Convention next year or to appear on the same stage as President Obama.  

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Fading in significance.  

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CT_0929424.pdf






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 94
Modest 33
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 206

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Simfan34
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« Reply #102 on: September 30, 2011, 10:02:37 AM »

I'm new to this, so why isn't RI white?
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #103 on: September 30, 2011, 11:13:44 AM »

RI is white.

Anyways, Iowa is inconsistent. On the first map it is 20 or 30% green, so on the second map it should be 20 or 30% red, not blue.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #104 on: September 30, 2011, 11:32:02 AM »
« Edited: October 01, 2011, 09:13:57 AM by pbrower2a »


The governor Lincoln Chaffee is an independent, so he cannot offer partisan advantage for any nominee. DC has no Governor, so it is also in white.

white -- no governor,  Independent governor, or an exact  tie.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #105 on: September 30, 2011, 11:35:47 AM »

RI is white.

Anyways, Iowa is inconsistent. On the first map it is 20 or 30% green, so on the second map it should be 20 or 30% red, not blue.

Corrected in the latest map. Thank you.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #106 on: October 01, 2011, 02:40:21 AM »


The governor Lincoln Chaffee is an independent, so he cannot offer partisan advantage for any nominee. DC has no Governor, so it is also in white.

white -- no governor,  Independent governor, or an exact  tie.
No, that's yellow.
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Like Minnesota, for example.
Smiley
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #107 on: October 01, 2011, 09:35:35 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2011, 11:34:28 AM by pbrower2a »

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From the atrocious to the execrable. Wow!

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It's possible to warm up a bit to a lemon as you try to pretend that what you thought was an astute purchase wasn't so bad after all. But not much. Oh, the car was flooded and the dealer didn't tell you about that? It still has nice leg room and a good trunk.  


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Maybe he can do much good as the titular head of "Republicans for Obama". Think of Jeane Kirkpatrick or  Zell Miller at a Republican National Convention in recent years, and you get the general idea.

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Nostalgia for moderation and integrity. What a concept!

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Not far off from 2008 results. 2010 was very different.  

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white






  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 94
Modest 33
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 206

[/quote]
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #108 on: October 04, 2011, 11:24:22 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2011, 10:20:06 PM by pbrower2a »

West Virginia

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/west-virginia-race-looking-too-close-to-call.html

Not "too close to call" anymore! Governor Tomblin won.

http://wvgazette.com/News/201110042458

Because the re-election of a Governor suggests that people already know him there is no need to restart the  map for a state. Note that I accepted the continuation of the approval ratings of re-elected Governors earlier and still do.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         276
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 94
Modest 33
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 206

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #109 on: October 05, 2011, 03:06:54 PM »



Not "too close to call" anymore! Governor Tomblin won.

http://wvgazette.com/News/201110042458

Because the re-election of a Governor suggests that people already know him there is no need to restart the  map for a state. Note that I accepted the continuation of the approval ratings of re-elected Governors earlier and still do.

This one is straightforward (Maryland):

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.

http://www.gonzalesresearch.com/polls/Maryland%20Poll%20October%202011.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         286
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 94
Modest 33
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 216

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #110 on: October 12, 2011, 12:56:47 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2011, 11:36:36 AM by pbrower2a »

New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie would have won, Garden State voters say, but they back his decision not to run for president 8-1. They seem glad to be stuck with him and give him a 58 - 38 percent job approval rating, his best score ever, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. A big swing from women lifts him from a 47 - 46 percent score August 17.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1660

Currently, Governor Christie earns a 54% approve to 38% disapprove job rating among all
Garden State residents. Among registered voters, his rating stands at 55% approve to 37% disapprove.
This is the highest rating he has ever received in the Monmouth University/NJ Press Media Poll, topping
the 50% he received among registered voters in early August.

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP41_1.pdf

All above 15%, so it is all a matter of taste -- and the applicable rule would give the same result on the map.


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         286
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 94
Modest 33
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 216


[/quote]
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #111 on: October 14, 2011, 11:41:21 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2011, 11:43:09 AM by pbrower2a »

WWL-TV (CBS 4, New Orleans)/Clarus.

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http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/Gov-Jindal-well-ahead-in-WWLTV-poll-131632313.html

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         286
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 102
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 216


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #112 on: October 19, 2011, 03:00:06 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2011, 10:14:44 PM by pbrower2a »

Whoever the Republican nominee is, he (or she) will need Ohio. Governor Kasich will be of no help, as if anything really changes in the Buckeye State :

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1019513.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         286
GOP advantage                                             134      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 102
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 216
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #113 on: October 23, 2011, 10:19:27 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2011, 09:41:33 PM by pbrower2a »

Bobby Jindal was just  re-elected in Louisiana.  For good reason his approval rating will stick. Had he been defeated or had he decided not to run for another term, then Louisiana would have gone blank.

Re-election does not start the ratings over for a governor. End of a term without a re-election does, whether the cause is defeat, resignation, death, or removal through impeachment or recall.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #114 on: October 25, 2011, 01:06:21 AM »
« Edited: October 25, 2011, 01:14:49 AM by pbrower2a »

http://mtsusurveygroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/MTSU_Poll_Fall2011_Report.pdf

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PPP. Hawaii. This is not a misprint. This prose leaves no doubt:

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Hawaii Survey Results

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Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 212

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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #115 on: October 25, 2011, 01:24:44 AM »

What the hell could Abercrombie had done to piss people off?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #116 on: October 25, 2011, 09:10:11 AM »
« Edited: October 26, 2011, 09:36:00 PM by pbrower2a »

Quinnipiac and PPP basically concur on Ohio:

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Union-bashing is a losing proposition for Republicans in this very purple state:

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1665


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 13
Huge 212


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #117 on: October 26, 2011, 09:43:07 PM »


The passionate contempt that Scott Walker got earlier this year has largely abated. Has the governor  learned to say as little as necessary and avoid making controversial statements? Or has he trended 'moderate'?

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1026424.pdf


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 57
Modest 3
Huge 212


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #118 on: November 02, 2011, 12:38:51 PM »

Maine, PPP -- It's been a long time (March) since Maine was polled, and Governor LePage remains unpopular.

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_1102424.pdf



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 57
Modest 7
Huge 208


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #119 on: November 08, 2011, 12:57:31 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2011, 09:42:21 PM by pbrower2a »

Mississippi Survey Results

Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MS_1106925.pdf

No crosstabs were shown on the distribution of approval and disapproval on Governor Barbour  based on race -- but on about everything else, race determines more what side one stands on than does anything else in Mississippi. That includes age, economic status, the rural-urban split, and educational achievement. It also largely defines partisan affiliation.

The Republican (unless Herman Cain) will defeat Barack Obama about 65-35 in Mississippi in 2012. Count on that.  

"K" is for the eleventh month of the year and has no other significance on this map.



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 57
Modest 7
Huge 208



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pbrower2a
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« Reply #120 on: November 08, 2011, 09:53:31 PM »

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1106925.pdf

"K" is for the eleventh month of the year and has no other significance on this map.



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 57
Modest 7
Huge 208




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pbrower2a
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« Reply #121 on: November 16, 2011, 06:49:28 AM »

Quote
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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1673




Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 57
Modest 7
Huge 208
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #122 on: November 16, 2011, 05:38:44 PM »

Scott Walker. Governor of Wisconsin, Republican. Recent efforts to resuscitate approval have apparently failed. He isn't exactly Bob MacDonnell or Christopher Christie.

18% strongly approve
20% approve
21% disapprove
37% strongly disapprove
2%   have not heard of
3%   don't know
0%   refused

http://wpr.org/announce/survey1111/2011f-survey-1.pdf




Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 7
Huge 218

[/quote]
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #123 on: November 18, 2011, 09:29:47 PM »

California Survey Results

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It hadn't been updated since April.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CA_11181118.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white





  
Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   17
Obama advantage                                         284
GOP advantage                                             138      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 110
Modest 25
Slight 62



No advantage or indeterminate 17


Democratic advantage:

Slight 47
Modest 62
Huge 163

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jfern
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« Reply #124 on: November 19, 2011, 02:29:31 AM »

Could John Kasich be the next Robert Taft? Ohio sure knows how to pick them.

A +8 rating for California is pretty good considering the 12% unemployment rate.
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