Governors' statewide popularity

[Hashemite]

Brownback is in negative territory:

36-49

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=47a767c3-dff1-4a91-b02d-49b068e3cc6f

Wow. Why is that?

[pbrower2a]

Missouri Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jay
Nixon’s job performance?
Approve................. 44%
Disapprove............ 31%
Not sure ................ 24%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_020312.pdf

"A" is not a letter grade here, but it might as well be.


Kansas (SUSA):

Can any Kansans do any explaining -- is Sam Brownback incompetent or something?

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=47a767c3-dff1-4a91-b02d-49b068e3cc6f


Approve 36%  disapprove 49%

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         321
GOP advantage                                             122      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 130
Modest 10
Slight 33


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 140
Huge 169

[pbrower2a]

Rocky Mountain Polls, January:

Brewer, R-AZ 47-45

Hickenlooper, D-CO 67-19

Schweitzer, D-MT  65-24

Martinez, R-NM  61-27

Herbert, R-UT 68-17

Mead, R-WY 77-11

http://www2.coloradocollege.edu/stateoftherockies/conservation_west_survey/Politics_in_West.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         310
GOP advantage                                             136      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 139
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 129
Huge 169

[pbrower2a]

...CT, Yankee Institute and Rasmussen:

• Senator Richard Blumenthal:       62% approve, 31% disapprove (net +31)
• Senator Joe Lieberman:                 53% approve, 43% disapprove (net +10)
• President Barack Obama:              53% approve, 44% disapprove (net +9)
• Governor Dannel Malloy:              51% approve, 46% disapprove (net +5)

http://www.yankeeinstitute.org/2012/02/voters-back-obama-murphy-in-new-poll/

Big improvement for the Governor since September.


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 136
Huge 169

[pbrower2a]

Ohio Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Kasich’s job performance?
Approve................. 33%
Disapprove............ 53%
Not sure ................ 14%

Q2 If you could do last fall’s election for Governor
over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted
Strickland or Republican John Kasich?
Ted Strickland ....... 56%
John Kasich .......... 36%
Not sure ................ 8%

Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rob
Portman's job performance?
Approve ................. .26%
Disapprove............. .32%
Not sure ................. .42%

Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job House
Speaker John Boehner is doing?

Approve ................. .28%
Disapprove............. .54%
Not sure ................. .18%

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 136
Huge 169

[pbrower2a]

Two polls next to each other. The first is by PPP:
 

Ohio Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Kasich’s job performance?
Approve................. 33%
Disapprove............ 53%
Not sure ................ 14%

Q2 If you could do last fall’s election for Governor
over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted
Strickland or Republican John Kasich?
Ted Strickland ....... 56%
John Kasich .......... 36%
Not sure ................ 8%

Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rob
Portman's job performance?
Approve ................. .26%
Disapprove............. .32%
Not sure ................. .42%

Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job House
Speaker John Boehner is doing?

Approve ................. .28%
Disapprove............. .54%
Not sure ................. .18%

The second is from Quinnipiac:

Gov. John Kasich's job approval numbers remain poor, although they are getting better, as 40 percent of registered voters approve of how he is doing his job compared to 46 percent who disapprove of how he is running the Buckeye State. Those numbers are little changed from the negative 39 - 48 percent job approval rating in a January 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, but are better than the negative 36 - 52 percent approval rating in an October 25, 2011, poll.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=1704

In accordance with my rule, the later poll reigns:

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 154
Huge 151

[pbrower2a]

Rick Snyder, R-MI, PPP . Still underwater.

Michigan Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Rick Snyder’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 40%
Disapprove...................................................... 47%
Not sure .......................................................... 13%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_216.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 152
Huge 153

[pbrower2a]

Wisconsin Survey Results (PPP)

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Scott Walker’s job performance?
Approve................. 47%
Disapprove............ 52%
Not sure ................ 2%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022812.pdf

Bill Haslam (R-TN), Vanderbilt, simple update

Chris Christie, R-NJ, Quinnipiac:

New Jersey voters approve 55 - 38 percent of the job Christie is doing as governor, compared to his all-time high of 58 - 38 percent October 12. Approval is 62 - 32 percent among men and 49 - 44 percent among women.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/search-releases/search-results/release-detail?ReleaseID=1711&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 152
Huge 153

[a Person]

It seems you forgot to change Wisconsin.

[argentarius]

Am I imagining things, or is Quinnipiac more favourable to republicans than other polls in general?

[pbrower2a]

It seems you forgot to change Wisconsin.

Correction made.

[pbrower2a]

Does Andrew Cuomo look like a highly-likely Next President of the United States?

Approve 67%, Disapprove 20%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5897288c-c667-4bc4-be81-23f0d47f5bd8

Simple update here.


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 152
Huge 153

[I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head]

Wisconsin still blue.

Astonishing that nearly everyone in Wisconsin has an opinion on Walker.

[pbrower2a]

Maine Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Paul LePage’s job performance?

Approve................. 41%
Disapprove............ 52%
Not sure ................ 7%

Maine hadn't been updated since May of last year.

Maine voters must still wonder how they got that Governor.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_0307.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

California -- Brown (D)

The governor’s job approval rating among likely voters is at 46 percent, similar to January (44%). Since
taking office in January 2011, his approval rating has changed little, but disapproval has grown (20%
January 2011, 38% today). Fewer are undecided about Brown (33% January 2011, 16% today).

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_312MBS.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157
[/quote]

[pbrower2a]

Nebraska, PPP:

-Dave Heineman is the only sitting Governor in the country with an approval rating in the 60s in PPP's polling. 60% of voters think he's doing a good job to 27% who disapprove. What sets him apart from most of his peers is that even with Democrats he comes close to breaking even with 42% approving and 44% disapproving of him. That's a rare feat in this era of heavy partisan polarization.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/03/nebraska-miscellany.html

I am not splitting the state by electoral votes on this map.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             124      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

Massachusetts Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Deval Patrick’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 48%
Disapprove...................................................... 37%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MA_322121.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             124      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 44


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

I hereby remove two year-old polls for Georgia and Nevada. "D" should apply to April 2012 and not to April 2011.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             102      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

Majority Want Walker Recalled

A new Rasmussen survey in Wisconsin shows a majority of voters want Gov. Scott Walker (R) recalled in the June 5 election, 52% to 47%.

Key finding: 53% disapprove of his job as governor with a whopping 46% saying they "strongly disapprove" of him.

"D" stands for April as the fourth month of the year, and not "disaster" -- in case someone like Cuomo or Hickenlooper is polled this month

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             102      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

I delete a year-old poll for Nevada, and PPP gives us a new one for the Governor of Nevada.

Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Brian Sandoval’s job performance?
Approve................. 46%
Disapprove............ 31%
Not sure ................ 23%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NV_040412.pdf

Governor Sandoval will not be enough to keep Nevada from going for President Obama even if he is the VP nominee:

Q8 If the candidates for President this year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 43%
Undecided....................................................... 6%

Q10 If the Democratic ticket for President was
Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the
Republican ticket was Mitt Romney and Brian
Sandoval, which would you vote for?
Obama-Biden.................................................. 50%
Romney-Sandoval .......................................... 44%
Not sure .......................................................... 6%

The Presidential race is not going to be close enough in Nevada that a popular governor could make enough of a difference as a VP nominee.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[argentarius]

Nevada is dark red it should be dark blue.

[pbrower2a]

Nevada is dark red it should be dark blue.

Correction made.

[pbrower2a]

Indiana:

With a 63% job approval rating among all voters, Mitch Daniels is among the most popular governors in the country (along with New Mexico’s Susana Martinez and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo).  The majority (53%) of all voters think the state is heading in the right direction, compared with 26% who think the country is.

http://howeypolitics.com/main.asp?SectionID=10&SubSectionID=278&ArticleID=7612



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[pbrower2a]

Maine -- Governor Paul LePage is laying an egg, and it isn't an Easter egg.

Do you approve or disapprove of how Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?

39-56

http://mprc.me/research/mprc_0412can12.pdf




Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28


No advantage or indeterminate 7

Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[/quote]

[Big Wiggly Style]

Any recent polls for Tom Corbett's approvals?