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Author Topic: Governors' statewide popularity  (Read 12128 times)
Hashemite
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« Reply #150 on: February 02, 2012, 11:30:03 am »
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Wow. Why is that?
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« Reply #151 on: February 04, 2012, 01:20:42 am »
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Quote
Missouri Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jay
Nixon’s job performance?
Approve................. 44%
Disapprove............ 31%
Not sure ................ 24%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MO_020312.pdf

"A" is not a letter grade here, but it might as well be.


Kansas (SUSA):

Can any Kansans do any explaining -- is Sam Brownback incompetent or something?

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=47a767c3-dff1-4a91-b02d-49b068e3cc6f


Approve 36%  disapprove 49%

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         321
GOP advantage                                             122      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 130
Modest 10
Slight 33



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 140
Huge 169
« Last Edit: February 04, 2012, 01:26:35 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #152 on: February 04, 2012, 01:46:08 am »
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Rocky Mountain Polls, January:

Brewer, R-AZ 47-45

Hickenlooper, D-CO 67-19

Schweitzer, D-MT  65-24

Martinez, R-NM  61-27

Herbert, R-UT 68-17

Mead, R-WY 77-11

http://www2.coloradocollege.edu/stateoftherockies/conservation_west_survey/Politics_in_West.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble

No governor or an independent governor ... white



Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         310
GOP advantage                                             136      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 139
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 129
Huge 169
« Last Edit: February 04, 2012, 11:39:19 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #153 on: February 07, 2012, 12:21:25 pm »
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...CT, Yankee Institute and Rasmussen:

• Senator Richard Blumenthal:       62% approve, 31% disapprove (net +31)
• Senator Joe Lieberman:                 53% approve, 43% disapprove (net +10)
• President Barack Obama:              53% approve, 44% disapprove (net +9)
• Governor Dannel Malloy:              51% approve, 46% disapprove (net +5)

http://www.yankeeinstitute.org/2012/02/voters-back-obama-murphy-in-new-poll/

Big improvement for the Governor since September.


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 136
Huge 169

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« Reply #154 on: February 07, 2012, 05:22:32 pm »
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Quote
Ohio Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Kasich’s job performance?
Approve................. 33%
Disapprove............ 53%
Not sure ................ 14%

Q2 If you could do last fall’s election for Governor
over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted
Strickland or Republican John Kasich?
Ted Strickland ....... 56%
John Kasich .......... 36%
Not sure ................ 8%

Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rob
Portman's job performance?
Approve ................. .26%
Disapprove............. .32%
Not sure ................. .42%

Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job House
Speaker John Boehner is doing?

Approve ................. .28%
Disapprove............. .54%
Not sure ................. .18%


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 136
Huge 169


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« Reply #155 on: February 14, 2012, 06:47:36 am »
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Two polls next to each other. The first is by PPP:
 
Quote
Ohio Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
John Kasich’s job performance?
Approve................. 33%
Disapprove............ 53%
Not sure ................ 14%

Q2 If you could do last fall’s election for Governor
over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted
Strickland or Republican John Kasich?
Ted Strickland ....... 56%
John Kasich .......... 36%
Not sure ................ 8%

Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rob
Portman's job performance?
Approve ................. .26%
Disapprove............. .32%
Not sure ................. .42%

Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job House
Speaker John Boehner is doing?

Approve ................. .28%
Disapprove............. .54%
Not sure ................. .18%

The second is from Quinnipiac:

Quote
Gov. John Kasich's job approval numbers remain poor, although they are getting better, as 40 percent of registered voters approve of how he is doing his job compared to 46 percent who disapprove of how he is running the Buckeye State. Those numbers are little changed from the negative 39 - 48 percent job approval rating in a January 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, but are better than the negative 36 - 52 percent approval rating in an October 25, 2011, poll.


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=1704

In accordance with my rule, the later poll reigns:

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 154
Huge 151



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« Reply #156 on: February 18, 2012, 09:29:57 pm »
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Rick Snyder, R-MI, PPP . Still underwater.

Quote
Michigan Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Rick Snyder’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 40%
Disapprove...................................................... 47%
Not sure .......................................................... 13%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_216.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         317
GOP advantage                                             129      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 152
Huge 153



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« Reply #157 on: February 29, 2012, 12:56:08 pm »
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Quote
Wisconsin Survey Results (PPP)

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Scott Walker’s job performance?
Approve................. 47%
Disapprove............ 52%
Not sure ................ 2%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022812.pdf

Bill Haslam (R-TN), Vanderbilt, simple update

Chris Christie, R-NJ, Quinnipiac:

New Jersey voters approve 55 - 38 percent of the job Christie is doing as governor, compared to his all-time high of 58 - 38 percent October 12. Approval is 62 - 32 percent among men and 49 - 44 percent among women.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/search-releases/search-results/release-detail?ReleaseID=1711&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 152
Huge 153




« Last Edit: March 01, 2012, 05:26:20 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #158 on: February 29, 2012, 12:57:38 pm »
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It seems you forgot to change Wisconsin.
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« Reply #159 on: February 29, 2012, 04:11:40 pm »
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Am I imagining things, or is Quinnipiac more favourable to republicans than other polls in general?
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« Reply #160 on: March 01, 2012, 05:23:10 pm »
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It seems you forgot to change Wisconsin.

Correction made.
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« Reply #161 on: March 01, 2012, 05:28:57 pm »
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Does Andrew Cuomo look like a highly-likely Next President of the United States?

Approve 67%, Disapprove 20%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5897288c-c667-4bc4-be81-23f0d47f5bd8

Simple update here.


Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 152
Huge 153




« Last Edit: March 07, 2012, 05:37:32 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #162 on: March 01, 2012, 07:05:51 pm »
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Wisconsin still blue.

Astonishing that nearly everyone in Wisconsin has an opinion on Walker.
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« Reply #163 on: March 07, 2012, 05:43:30 pm »
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Quote
Maine Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Paul LePage’s job performance?

Approve................. 41%
Disapprove............ 52%
Not sure ................ 7%


Maine hadn't been updated since May of last year.

Maine voters must still wonder how they got that Governor.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_0307.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157
« Last Edit: March 08, 2012, 01:09:26 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #164 on: March 09, 2012, 09:10:35 am »
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California -- Brown (D)

The governor’s job approval rating among likely voters is at 46 percent, similar to January (44%). Since
taking office in January 2011, his approval rating has changed little, but disapproval has grown (20%
January 2011, 38% today). Fewer are undecided about Brown (33% January 2011, 16% today).

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_312MBS.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             119      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 132
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

[/quote]
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« Reply #165 on: March 31, 2012, 07:03:26 pm »
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Nebraska, PPP:

Quote
-Dave Heineman is the only sitting Governor in the country with an approval rating in the 60s in PPP's polling. 60% of voters think he's doing a good job to 27% who disapprove. What sets him apart from most of his peers is that even with Democrats he comes close to breaking even with 42% approving and 44% disapproving of him. That's a rare feat in this era of heavy partisan polarization.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/03/nebraska-miscellany.html

I am not splitting the state by electoral votes on this map.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             124      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

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« Reply #166 on: April 01, 2012, 07:50:21 pm »
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Quote
Massachusetts Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Deval Patrick’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 48%
Disapprove...................................................... 37%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MA_322121.pdf

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             124      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 44



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

« Last Edit: April 02, 2012, 09:52:46 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #167 on: April 02, 2012, 09:57:55 am »
Ignore

I hereby remove two year-old polls for Georgia and Nevada. "D" should apply to April 2012 and not to April 2011.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             102      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 28



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157


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« Reply #168 on: April 02, 2012, 03:25:44 pm »
Ignore

Quote
Majority Want Walker Recalled

A new Rasmussen survey in Wisconsin shows a majority of voters want Gov. Scott Walker (R) recalled in the June 5 election, 52% to 47%.

Key finding: 53% disapprove of his job as governor with a whopping 46% saying they "strongly disapprove" of him.

"D" stands for April as the fourth month of the year, and not "disaster" -- in case someone like Cuomo or Hickenlooper is polled this month

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             102      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 137
Modest 4
Slight 28



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157



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« Reply #169 on: April 04, 2012, 02:46:06 pm »
Ignore

I delete a year-old poll for Nevada, and PPP gives us a new one for the Governor of Nevada.

Quote
Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Brian Sandoval’s job performance?
Approve................. 46%
Disapprove............ 31%
Not sure ................ 23%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NV_040412.pdf

Governor Sandoval will not be enough to keep Nevada from going for President Obama even if he is the VP nominee:
Quote
Q8 If the candidates for President this year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 43%
Undecided....................................................... 6%

Q10 If the Democratic ticket for President was
Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the
Republican ticket was Mitt Romney and Brian
Sandoval, which would you vote for?
Obama-Biden.................................................. 50%
Romney-Sandoval .......................................... 44%
Not sure .......................................................... 6%

The Presidential race is not going to be close enough in Nevada that a popular governor could make enough of a difference as a VP nominee.

Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157
« Last Edit: April 04, 2012, 04:02:23 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #170 on: April 04, 2012, 02:58:08 pm »
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Nevada is dark red it should be dark blue.
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« Reply #171 on: April 04, 2012, 04:02:50 pm »
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Nevada is dark red it should be dark blue.

Correction made.
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« Reply #172 on: April 05, 2012, 03:43:04 pm »
Ignore

Indiana:

Quote
With a 63% job approval rating among all voters, Mitch Daniels is among the most popular governors in the country (along with New Mexico’s Susana Martinez and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo).  The majority (53%) of all voters think the state is heading in the right direction, compared with 26% who think the country is.

http://howeypolitics.com/main.asp?SectionID=10&SubSectionID=278&ArticleID=7612



Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157

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« Reply #173 on: April 07, 2012, 01:48:26 pm »
Ignore

Maine -- Governor Paul LePage is laying an egg, and it isn't an Easter egg.

Quote
Do you approve or disapprove of how Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?

39-56

http://mprc.me/research/mprc_0412can12.pdf




Deficit or surplus for a Democrat or Republican:

  1%   to    4%       ... color 20%
  5%   to    9%       ... color 40%
10%   to  15%       ... color 60%
15% or greater     ... color 80%

EVEN                     40% yellow

red -- incumbent Democratic advantage
orange -- incumbent Democrat in trouble
blue -- incumbent Republican advantage
green --incumbent Republican in trouble


No governor or an independent governor ... white




Now for the gubernatorial advantage for the President:

Use the same intensity, but if the Republican is in trouble or the Democrat is in positive territory, then color the state red. If the Democratic governor is doing badly or the Republican Governor is doing fine, then color the state blue. A tie for either -- it's yellow.  



 


No advantage                                                   7
Obama advantage                                         327
GOP advantage                                             106      
 



Separating the advantages into "huge" (10%+), "modest" (5-9%), "slight" (under 5%), and none or indeterminate:

Republican advantage:

Huge 141
Modest 4
Slight 28



No advantage or indeterminate 7


Democratic advantage:

Slight 6
Modest 148
Huge 157


[/quote]
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« Reply #174 on: April 07, 2012, 01:58:50 pm »
Ignore

Any recent polls for Tom Corbett's approvals?
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