WV-PPP: Trump tied with Huckabee for 1st place

[Tender Branson]

If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump who would you vote for?

Donald Trump ................................................. 24%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 24%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 13%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 11%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 9%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 4%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 3%
Ron Paul......................................................... 3%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 9%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_0426424.pdf

Map (slight change in MS, where Barbour is now out, Huckabee takes the lead):

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Pawlenty -> Green

White -> Candidates are tied

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Of course, West Virginia has a caucus that assigns most of the delegates. The one that McCain gamed to deny Romney an early victory there.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

DIdn't Huck send all of his voters to McCain to deny Romney?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Nope, other way around, McCain sent his voters to Huckabee to edge out Romney:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2008&fips=54&f=0&off=0&elect=2

[feeblepizza]

Dear God.

[Lief 🗽]

Ah, so it has begun. Excellent.

[Eraserhead]

Very amusing. Trump's strong showing is obviously tied to birtherism aka racism. In what other way could he appeal to West Virginia? Huckabee, sure... but Trump?

[tpfkaw]

Very amusing. Trump's strong showing is obviously tied to birtherism aka racism. In what other way could he appeal to West Virginia? Huckabee, sure... but Trump?

I imagine West Virginians are into trashy reality TV.

[Mr. Morden]

Response to this question among GOP primary voters:

"Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?"
yes 22%
no 53%
not sure 26%

who wins among:

Obama not born in USA: Trump
Obama was born in USA: Huckabee
not sure where Obama was born: Huckabee
moderates: Trump
conservatives: Huckabee
men: Trump
women: Huckabee
under age 45: Trump
over age 45: Huckabee

[King]

I think it is quite obvious that the vast majority of people who call themselves "moderate" in a Republican primary poll are even more delusional far-right nutters who see themselves as the center of the universe, similar to Libertas' claim that he was a moderate and everybody who disagreed with him held extremist positions.

[Mr. Morden]

I think it is quite obvious that the vast majority of people who call themselves "moderate" in a Republican primary poll are even more delusional far-right nutters who see themselves as the center of the universe, similar to Libertas' claim that he was a moderate and everybody who disagreed with him held extremist positions.

I doubt it.  Maybe that's true for some, but not most.  Giuliani and McCain did markedly better among self-described "moderates" in 2007/2008 GOP primary polls than other candidates did.  Do you really think their supporters were, on average, more conservative than those of Huckabee, Romney, and Thompson?

[King]

I think it is quite obvious that the vast majority of people who call themselves "moderate" in a Republican primary poll are even more delusional far-right nutters who see themselves as the center of the universe, similar to Libertas' claim that he was a moderate and everybody who disagreed with him held extremist positions.

I doubt it.  Maybe that's true for some, but not most.  Giuliani and McCain did markedly better among self-described "moderates" in 2007/2008 GOP primary polls than other candidates did.  Do you really think their supporters were, on average, more conservative than those of Huckabee, Romney, and Thompson?

Maybe not most, but enough to skew the numbers.

[Tender Branson]

The next West Virginia poll should be fun, with 57% now up for grabs ...

This example also shows why it's necessary to start with a blank map now (maybe incl. UT, NH, MA and RI for Romney - because he's way ahead in these states).