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| | |-+  WV/PPP: Tomblin crushes his opponents; other Dems lead as well
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Author Topic: WV/PPP: Tomblin crushes his opponents; other Dems lead as well  (Read 1063 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« on: April 27, 2011, 02:31:59 pm »
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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_0427424.pdf

John Perdue (D) - 37
Betty Ireland (R) - 32

John Perdue (D) - 38
Bill Maloney (R) - 26

Natalie Tennant (D) - 39
Betty Ireland (R) - 33

Natalie Tennant (D) - 42
Bill Maloney (R) - 29

Rick Thompson (D) - 38
Betty Ireland (R) - 35

Rick Thompson (D) - 38
Bill Maloney (R) - 28

Earl Ray Tomblin (D) - 51
Betty Ireland (R) - 29

Earl Ray Tomblin (D) - 56
Bill Maloney (R) - 23

Tomblin's approval is 49/27.

Favorables:

Ireland - 30/23
Maloney - 12/19
Perdue - 27/27
Tennant  - 36/29
Thompson - 25/24
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2011, 06:18:14 pm »
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The lead will probably go down a bit when Tomblin is tied to Obama in commercials but not enough for the Republican to have much of a chance. Assuming that Tomblin is the nominee of course.

Also, can we stop talking about Betty Ireland like she is in the Shelley Moore Capito category of WV Republicans? She did hold statewide elected office, but she beat Ken Hechler to get the job, and she only won the race 52% - 48%.

Republicans badly need a bench in WV. They better hope McKinley can hold down his seat post-redistricting.

edit: Also, in the election she won in 2004 Hechler had barely survived a primary challenge by Natalie Tennant(who currently holds the job), winning by something like 1000 votes.
« Last Edit: April 27, 2011, 06:22:11 pm by Capitan Zapp Brannigan »Logged
HST1948
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« Reply #2 on: April 27, 2011, 08:45:58 pm »
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Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?
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"I believe we can keep the promise of our founders, the idea that if you’re willing to work hard, it doesn’t matter who you are or where you come from or what you look like or where you love. It doesn’t matter whether you’re black or white or Hispanic or Asian or Native American or young or old or rich or poor, able, disabled, gay or straight, you can make it here in America if you’re willing to try.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #3 on: April 27, 2011, 09:21:37 pm »
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Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

It's 2011, but probably not, though it's a special election on an odd date (sometime in October, I forget when), so who knows what turnout will be like.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2011, 01:17:31 am »
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Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

Democrats have a 27 point registration advantage in WV; 60% Democrat sounds about reasonable.
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HST1948
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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2011, 12:27:43 pm »
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Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

Democrats have a 27 point registration advantage in WV; 60% Democrat sounds about reasonable.

Really... Interesting. Thank you!
(BTW... Your time line is great)
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"I believe we can keep the promise of our founders, the idea that if you’re willing to work hard, it doesn’t matter who you are or where you come from or what you look like or where you love. It doesn’t matter whether you’re black or white or Hispanic or Asian or Native American or young or old or rich or poor, able, disabled, gay or straight, you can make it here in America if you’re willing to try.
-Obama
Miles
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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2011, 01:20:21 pm »
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Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

Democrats have a 27 point registration advantage in WV; 60% Democrat sounds about reasonable.

Really... Interesting. Thank you!
(BTW... Your time line is great)

Yeah, last I checked, Democrats have a 56-29 advantage over Republicans in WV.

Smiley  Thanks!
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