Michigan

[Flying Dog]

I did not include edwards because he is polling 1% in the latest Poll

[Beet]

Gephardt will win it unless Dean has won almost all the ones before it.

[Demrepdan]

I don't know too much about Michigan politics, but I would imagine Michigan would swing to Gephardt.

[Nym90]

Gephardt should have a good chance here because of the fact that the union vote is very strong in Michigan.

[jravnsbo]

Gephardt will win it IF HE IS STILL AROUND, otherwise Dean takes it.

[Flying Dog]

mICHIGAN IS labor powered. One of the unions stronghold states. And as you know Gephardt have 6 million to 6.3 million labor supporters in the US. Michigan is also home to the Teamsters and United Autoworkers Union. A michigan UAW endorement whould help gephardt a lot. And Winning Michigan is the 2nd most importent state for gephardt. However Dean Has the SEIU and AFSCME endorsements. whitch could make it diffucult for gephardt to win mICHigan

My predidctions.

Gephardt-32%

Dean-24%
clark12%
Lieberman11%
Edwards5%
Kuchinich5%


I did not includ e the other candidates because I think  they will drop out before michIGAN

[jravnsbo]

not that it matters but Sharpton is in till the end.  he wants a convention speech, boosts him for speaking fees later and also read an article somewhere that he is living it up on funds raised, so why wouldn't he stick around?

[Flying Dog]

not that it matters but Sharpton is in till the end.  he wants a convention speech, boosts him for speaking fees later and also read an article somewhere that he is living it up on funds raised, so why wouldn't he stick around?

SHARPTON is a spoiler

[Nym90]

The UAW has already endorsed Gephardt I believe.

[CHRISTOPHER MICHAE]

not that it matters but Sharpton is in till the end.  he wants a convention speech, boosts him for speaking fees later and also read an article somewhere that he is living it up on funds raised, so why wouldn't he stick around?

SHARPTON is a spoiler

Yeah, Sharpton would be a spoiler in a few major districts in the Lower Penninsula, but not at all  in the Upper Penninsula of Michigan. Nader would be the spoiler in the entire State of Michigan. Not that he'd win the State, but he'd take votes away from the Democrats.

[jravnsbo]

I thought only the Iowa UAW has endorsed Gephardt not the entire organization, could be wrong, but thought that was the news when Dean got the 2 big service unions.

[John]

mICHIGAN IS labor powered. One of the unions stronghold states. And as you know Gephardt have 6 million to 6.3 million labor supporters in the US. Michigan is also home to the Teamsters and United Autoworkers Union. A michigan UAW endorement whould help gephardt a lot. And Winning Michigan is the 2nd most importent state for gephardt. However Dean Has the SEIU and AFSCME endorsements. whitch could make it diffucult for gephardt to win mICHigan

My predidctions.

Gephardt-32%

Dean-24%
clark12%
Lieberman11%
Edwards5%
Kuchinich5%


I did not includ e the other candidates because I think  they will drop out before michIGAN

Gepthart will be Going after Iowa
My Preacdiction is
Dean: 43%
Kerry: 38%

[jravnsbo]

Maybe if Kerry survived NH.

New polls out of NH have Dean ahead either 45-13 ARG poll or Zogby one of 42-12

[Flying Dog]

just to set things straight. The international UAW will not be endorsing a candidate. BUT they are allowing the UAW in states to endose a canadate.
Like the IOWA UAW of 36,000 members endosed gephardt

[jravnsbo]

ahh ty for clear up-- thought that the nat'l hadn't but IA one had

[Flying Dog]

ahh ty for clear up-- thought that the nat'l hadn't but IA one had

welcum

[Nym90]

I agree, no way Kerry gets 38% in Michigan even if he is still in the race, and he'll probably drop out after NH anyway.