NH-UNH/WMUR: Obama trails Romney, leads Huckabee & Pawlenty
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  NH-UNH/WMUR: Obama trails Romney, leads Huckabee & Pawlenty
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Author Topic: NH-UNH/WMUR: Obama trails Romney, leads Huckabee & Pawlenty  (Read 850 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 29, 2011, 12:33:59 AM »

Obama Approval:

44% Approve
52% Disapprove

Obama Favorables:

44% Favorable
52% Unfavorable

2012:

43-50 Obama vs. Romney
46-42 Obama vs. Huckabee
45-38 Obama vs. Pawlenty

These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. 504 randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by telephone between April 15 and April 26, 2011. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4 percent.

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2011_spring_presapp042811.pdf
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RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
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« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2011, 01:03:29 AM »

Interesting; Huckabee does better than Pawlenty in NH.

Name recognition, I suppose.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: April 29, 2011, 08:57:04 AM »

Guess the other poll wasn't an outlier.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: April 29, 2011, 09:13:53 AM »

It looks like New Hampshire may have a greater chance of flipping than North Carolina.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2011, 09:34:03 AM »

Right now, not surprising numbers, but in the end, NH won't flip. Once Romney is no longer seen as generic, you'll see his numbers drop, that's if he makes it out of the primary.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2011, 01:39:16 PM »

NH is Romney's primary residence. It's his home state since washed his hands of Massachusetts.
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« Reply #6 on: April 29, 2011, 03:05:31 PM »

NH is Romney's primary residence. It's his home state since washed his hands of Massachusetts.

That won't have any effect on his chances in NH, primary or general. You don't really get a home state advantage unless you actually got elected statewide, so no matter where he lives, Massachusetts is still his home state de facto.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: April 29, 2011, 03:27:24 PM »

NH is Romney's primary residence. It's his home state since washed his hands of Massachusetts.

That won't have any effect on his chances in NH, primary or general. You don't really get a home state advantage unless you actually got elected statewide, so no matter where he lives, Massachusetts is still his home state de facto.

He's probably met a good number of the voters in the NH Republican primary. It's not a huge state. I wouldn't underestimate the appeal of having a President elected from the state of N.H. given how extremely unlikely it would be, absent Romney. He's had a compound on Lake Winnipesaukee for a long time and done yeoman's work building ties to the party.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #8 on: April 30, 2011, 06:19:00 PM »

     It does suggest that maybe the other poll was right, though I'd like to see PPP or Quinnipiac say this as well before putting stock in it.
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